Community | September 17, 2008 | 69 comments

Obama regains lead over McCain nationally

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BuddyP
THE POLL: CBS News-New York Times national survey

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 48 percent, John McCain 43 percent.

OF INTEREST: Obama has regained the lead that McCain erased after the Republican convention. Those who say the economy is getting worse are heavily for Democrat Obama, while those who say it's stable or getting better are more likely to be for Republican McCain. Independent voters have swung back toward Obama. One-fourth of the voters say they could change their mind or are undecided.

DETAILS: Conducted Sept. 12-16 with 1,004 registered voters nationally. Sampling error margin plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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69 comments // Obama regains lead over McCain nationally

  • simplecj
    • 0
      simplecj  
    • I just want Palin to come to the debates in a bikini carrying a plastic rifle!

      That would not only be hot, but it'd seal the deal for Obama and Biden....

    • 3 years ago
  • arcticspirit
    • 0
      arcticspirit  
    • I got polled before last presidential election.
      They asked me a ton of questions about issues as well as what candidate I was likely to vote for.

    • 3 years ago
  • AngelisaJosalisa
  • PurelyTwizted
    • 0
      PurelyTwizted  
    • Im just happy that we are Coming together weve got 2 months to bring it all together Guys. Im tired of the deception and i know everyone else is too but there are still those scared Far Right guys that cant let go of what theyve been "Taught" to. Its ok the Waters fine here in the freedom waters.

    • 3 years ago
  • quacksalot
  • missmydog
    • 0
      missmydog  
    • Unfortunately, if the margin of this election is going to be as close as the analysts say, then we're still going to have a divided nation. We all need to come together and this election seems to be seperating us instead.

    • 3 years ago
  • rebot
  • caseygane
  • rubbersoul
  • UrbanGypsy
    • 0
      UrbanGypsy  
    • McCain is pretty screwed now. The attention is of of Palin and back to the issues. It just upsets me that it took AIG, Lehman Bros. and all that to bring us back to the issues.

      Now McCain has to face the issues. No more dodging... And that's why he's screwed. Because McCain has spent his entire campaign creating issues out of non-issues.

      And about the 48-43 lead by Obama. Let me remind all of you that a five point lead is SIGNIFICANT. The 1988 election was decided by a 8 percent difference. Yet the electoral college was a 426-111 blowout.

      If Obama can create a distance of +5 in the polls then the election might not be close...IMO.

    • 3 years ago
  • littlesparrow
  • UrbanGypsy
  • UrbanGypsy
  • Neghie
  • UrbanGypsy
  • Path_o_Logic
  • ii386
  • des10
    • 0
      des10  
    • i want to figure out who all these economically optimistic people are... they are obviously living in mansions with a giant glass bubble enclosing them in. i personally haven't met a single person who can explain to me how we're doing great or that things are getting better.

    • 3 years ago
  • uroborus8
    • 0
      uroborus8  
    • These polls are way off base. They do not count cell phone only households, which is basically anyone 30ish and under. Young people are more likely to be Obama supporters than McCain.

    • 3 years ago
  • Path_o_Logic
  • hopeful_writer
    • 0
      hopeful_writer  
    • These numbers are so bogus, but it's not because 1000 people are counted on to represented the whole U.S. Statisticians study sample size and everything to make it as accurate as possible. But these polls can't be anywhere near accurate anymore. Pollsters can only call people with landlines to ask them who they're voting for. People our age, college students, are increasingly switching to cell phones as their primary--and only--phone line. Therefore, this group is being largely ignored in national polls, and this group is voting overwhelmingly for Obama. So the race looks a lot closer than it really is.

    • 3 years ago
  • Path_o_Logic
  • Oviedo
    • 0
      Oviedo  
    • Also, Obama is now tied with McCain in Florida, Leads in Ohio, and is only a point behind in North Carolina. I stood up and shouted when I heard the news. I guess people are tired of campaign mud slinging and are putting the attention back on Obama; the candidate still talking about real ISSUES!

    • 3 years ago
  • aliasone
    • 0
      aliasone  
    • If you spend 3 years as a brilliant community organizer, become the first black President of the Harvard Law Review, create a voter registration drive that registers 150,000 new voters, spend 12 years as a Constitutional Law professor, spend 8 years as a State Senator representing a district with over 750,000 people, become chairman of the state Senate's Health and Human Services committee, spend 4 years in the United States Senate representing a state of 13 million people while sponsoring 131 bills and serving on the Foreign Affairs, Envi ronment and Public Works and Veteran's Affairs committees, you don't have any real leadership experience.

      If your total resume is: local weather girl, 4 years on the city council and 6 years as the mayor of a town with less than 7,000 people, 20 months as the governor of a state with only 650,000 people, then you're qualified to become the country's second highest ranking executive

    • 3 years ago
  • eyesunderwater
  • menmykoko
  • mjsmith11
    • 0
      mjsmith11  
    • There are many different polls. It looks like the democrat party has abandoned their "50 State Strategy" and are just focusing on the large Electoral Vote states they need to get elected.

    • 3 years ago
  • AveryMoore
  • shroomfairy
    • 0
      shroomfairy  
    • Good news, but I never believe the polls entirely. I've never been polled in my entire adult life! Who are they polling? 100 people form 1 town?

    • 3 years ago
  • Path_o_Logic
  • metalcookiesxy70
    • 0
      metalcookiesxy70  
    • I just hope Mr. Barack Obama does all the right things to make the world at peace, we may not know what he is going to do to make it happen, but i hope he does it right!

    • 3 years ago
  • stone246
    • 0
      stone246  
    • that;s awesome so the polls are right this time around depending on which candidate they favor . polls don't mean anything be it national or electoral college. for every one American polled there are probably ten more that weren't polled in that state that don't agree with the polled American. but Americans love numbers and polls and assurance but this election isn't about that. and besides the debates haven;t happened yet so all this polling s are basically worthless. and even after those debates they won't mean anything because nobody knows what will happen when the voters finally get to choose no one.

    • 3 years ago
  • Robroy1
  • HolyCity2012
  • JanforGore
    • 0
      JanforGore  
    • LOL, so now all the people who were complaining last week when McCain was said to be "ahead" and that the polls were wrong now think they are accurate. Amazing how Americans can be manipulated and led by the nose by polls.

    • 3 years ago
  • Mr_Costello
    • 0
      Mr_Costello  
    • I understand Obama paid for an expensive two-minute slot on national cable television, targeting the 12 so-called battlefield or swing states. Being from the UK im clueless - can anyone tell me which is the most vulnerable or unpredictable state in the US?

    • 3 years ago
  • NickerBocker09
    • 0
      NickerBocker09  
    • Mr_Costello:

      Theres a couple.

      I'd say Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Florida and perhaps Minnesota are the tightest. However Virginia has been a complete dead tie for months now, and the other 4 have a leader even if its only like 2 percentage point.

      Virginia - 13 electoral votes
      Ohio - 20
      Michigan - 17
      Florida - 27
      Minnesota - 10

    • 3 years ago
  • HaloedGriot
    • 0
      HaloedGriot  
    • Image
    • Well, now the real contest begins. All the pre-game show is wrapping up and we can get started with the actual contest. I don't know about you, but I am looking most forward to the first debate on September 26th.

      The link to the rest of the debates, times and locations are linked above.

    • 3 years ago
  • WorldPeaceTV
  • Releaser31
  • rube
    • 0
      rube  
    • Some keep asking why isn"t Senator Obama way ahead?

      Last I looked it was pasty codgety crusty stoic men that were graduating near last in their perspective
      colleges that were the norm for president!
      Not intellectual African Americans that...seem to have a connection problem with ac ertain demographic!

      Surely not an intelligent African American man that spend 3 years as a brilliant community organizer, become the first black President of the Harvard Law Review, create a voter registration drive that registers 150,000 new voters, spend 12 years as a Constitutional Law professor, spend 8 years as a State Senator representing a district with over 750,000 people, become chairman of the state Senate's Health and Human Services committee, spend 4 years in the United States Senate representing a
      state of 13 million people while sponsoring 131 bills and serving on the Foreign Affairs, Environment and Public Works and Veteran's Affairs committees, and single handedly created the largest political grass roots movement in American History based around a constituency of middle-class American Citizens!

      Self-righteous codgety pasty "Washington Insiders" with DUIs, an AWOL, failed businesses that are intellectually challenged are the norm!

      Does anyone really have to ask why the nation is in it's current state?

    • 3 years ago
  • SDLN
  • eyesunderwater
    • 0
      eyesunderwater  
    • SDLN:

      A good point to remember. Alot of "cheating" , no other word for it occured at the final end of elections to teeter a Bush win
      So much reform is needed in the voting process.

    • 3 years ago
  • miles_ahead
  • AveryMoore
  • NickerBocker09
    • 0
      NickerBocker09  
    • Thanks abteen....the media is finally throwing out their fluff news and puting in hardcore real issue stuff. No more "hard working hocky mom, lets look into her life"..I was getting scared it might turn into another 2000

    • 3 years ago
  • abteen
  • enjoydivision
  • HolyCity2012
  • simplecj
    • 0
      simplecj  
    • A sample of just over 1000 people is going to tell us which way it's going?? COME ON!!!

      What's 5% of 1000??? 50!!! SO A DIFFERENCE OF 50 people is really a proper way to gage what the millions of people in America are going to vote?

      Give me a break... show me some stats with a survey of at least 10,000 people from proportionally dispersed areas of the US and then I might listen to what you have to say... This is why the media, especially politics gets it's slanted view of things because they're allowed to site statistics that don't have reliable leg to stand on, yet they state it as if it were fact... baloney!

      ANYWAYS.... I kinda hope Obama takes it, I don't think McCain will be any different from Bush...

    • 3 years ago
  • NickerBocker09
  • yougottabekiddingme
    • 0
      yougottabekiddingme  
    • simplecj:

      Amen. The thing about these surveys... They call landline phones only. Since a majority of the younger generation uses a cell phone only, I question how many Obama supporters are not being surveyed. I hope these numbers are incorrect in the way that Obama is really leading by MUCH, MUCH more.

    • 3 years ago
  • Path_o_Logic
  • sephig
    • 0
      sephig  
    • national polls are really a non factor look at the state polls to get a better sense of whats going on. Obama could win the popular and still lose the election its happened before. who cares what the polls from california,oregon,alaska say. most analyst agree that whoever wins 2 out of 3 of ohio penn and michigan will win the election sorry your vote in california dosen't count.

    • 3 years ago
  • NickerBocker09
  • uroborus8
  • Path_o_Logic
  • lulu81
  • Brentehuffman
    • 0
      Brentehuffman  
    • Finally some good news! I almost don't know how to take it. It has been so long since I've heard anything positive about our country in these sad economic times.

    • 3 years ago
  • Ryz0n
  • rachelmaechel
    • 0
      rachelmaechel  
    • Im still not convinced Obama will win. If the state of our economy has thrust him FAR ahead of McCain by now...then what will it take? It shouldn't be this tight.

      Are we waiting for an A-Bomb to go off under our asses before we get into gear?

    • 3 years ago
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • rachelmaechel:

      I never bought the idea that Americans would rally behind two of God's most celebrated and blatant examples of failed evolution to create for themselves A New Imperial Gloatocracy to continue the pillaging..

      Hint - I'm lying.

      Before the collapse of Wall Street which Europeans have been predicting now for nearly a year - things were looking incredibly grim.

      But you clearly understand that there's danger in complacency. People could think "Well, Obama's got it sewn up!" and return to the happy coma of couchpotatohood.

      With the sophistication of technological vote manipulation unless the numbers against McCain are damn near overwhelming every voter has to put these scamsters out of business..

    • 3 years ago
  • Nephwrack
  • neocongo
  • RonenA
    • 0
      RonenA  
    • neocongo:

      If you look at the chart at the bottom, you see that the republicans are slowly losing their previous dominance. There is not a single state that was blue in the past but is red now but there are a few red states going democrat.

    • 3 years ago
  • VoyagerFilms
    • 0
      VoyagerFilms  
    • mcSame is running on empty. He's been looking gaunt lately also - any one notice?

      I watched a radio interview - sure you say, you watched a radio interview? Okay, it was filmed. mcSame had a very difficult time forming coherent sentences. He was struggling for words.

      The "elixir" he's been taking is shortening his life - as it did to Hitler. If he can't take a month or so off, I doubt he'll finish the campaign.

    • 3 years ago
  • kennymotown
  • derrock313
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