Bolivia: Another Foe of US Foreign Investors Working To End Poverty
source: http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/bolivia-2009-12.pdf
-
-
- peterzylstramoore
- added this
December 2009, Mark Weisbrot, Rebecca Ray and Jake Johnston
This paper examines the Bolivian economy since President Evo Morales took office in 2006. It finds that Bolivia’s economic growth in the last four years has been higher than at any time in the last 30 years, averaging 4.9 percent annually since the current administration took office in 2006. Projected GDP growth for 2009 is the highest in the hemisphere and follows its peak growth rate in 2008.
The paper looks at how Bolivia’s economy has been able to progress despite a number of significant shocks, including falling remittances, declining foreign investment, the United States’ revocation of trade preferences, serious bouts of political instability as a result of separatist political opposition movements, and recent declines in export prices and markets, along with other impacts of the global recession.
Key to the Bolivian economy’s relative success has been expansionary fiscal policy and control over national resources, especially the hydrocarbons sector – a relatively recent development.
In the last three years the government has begun several programs targeted at the poorest Bolivians. These include payments to poor families to increase school enrollment; an expansion of public pensions to relive extreme poverty among the elderly; and most recently, payments for uninsured mothers to expand prenatal and post-natal care, to reduce infant and child mortality. Although the last two years of new programs will probably show some improvement when data is available, Bolivia still has some of the highest extreme poverty rates and infant and child mortality rates in the hemisphere.
See Rest of the Report
http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/bolivia-2009-12.pdf
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Morales_20060113_02.jpg
-
- groups:
- Community, World News
-
- tags:
- Bolivia, Evo Morales
-
-
peterzylstramoore
-
You free marketers need to put away your stupid ideology and learn some basic history.
- 2 years ago
-
peterzylstramoore
-
-
peterzylstramoore
-
If the policies and institutions that the rich countries are recommending to the poor countries are not the ones that they themselves used when they were developing, what is going on? We can only conclude that the rich countries are trying to kick away the ladder that allowed them to climb where they are. It is no coincidence that economic development has become more difficult during the last two decades when the developed countries started turning on the pressure on the developing countries to adopt the so-called “global standard” policies and institutions.
During this period, the average annual per capita income growth rate for the developing countries has been halved from 3% in the previous two decades (1960-80) to 1.5%. In particular, Latin America virtually stopped growing, while Sub-Saharan Africa and most ex-Communist countries have experienced a fall in absolute income. Economic instability has increased markedly, as manifested in the dozens of financial crises we have witnessed over the last decade alone. Income inequality has been growing in many developing countries and poverty has increased, rather than decreased, in a significant number of them.
What can be done to change this?
First, the historical facts about the historical experiences of the developed countries should be more widely publicised. This is not just a matter of “getting history right”, but also of allowing the developing countries to make more informed choices.
Second, the conditions attached to bilateral and multilateral financial assistance to developing countries should be radically changed. It should be accepted that the orthodox recipe is not working, and also that there can be no “best practice” policies that everyone should use.
Third, the WTO rules should be re-written so that the developing countries can more actively use tariffs and subsidies for industrial development. They should also be allowed to have less stringent patent laws and other intellectual property rights laws.
Fourth, improvements in institutions should be encouraged, but this should not be equated with imposing a fixed set of (in practice, today’s – not even yesterday’s – Anglo-American) institutions on all countries. Special care has to be taken in order not to demand excessively rapid upgrading of institutions by the developing countries, especially given that they already have quite developed institutions when compared to today’s developed countries at comparable stages of development, and given that establishing and running new institutions is costly.
By being allowed to adopt policies and institutions that are more suitable to their conditions, the developing countries will be able to develop faster. This will also benefit the developed countries in the long run, as it will increase their trade and investment opportunities. That the developed countries cannot see this is the tragedy of our time.
- 2 years ago
-
peterzylstramoore
-
-
peterzylstramoore
-
continued
The German Historical School – represented by people like Wilhelm Roscher, Bruno Hildebrand, Karl Knies, Gustav Schmoller, and Werner Sombart – attracted a lot of American economists in the late 19th century. The patron saint of American Neoclassical economics, John Bates Clark, in whose name the most prestigious award for young (under 40) American economists is given today, went to Germany in 1873 and studied the German Historical School under Roscher and Knies, although he gradually drifted away from it. Richard Ely, one of the leading American economists of the time, also studied under Knies and influenced the American Institutionalist School through his disciple, John Commons. Ely was one of the founding fathers of the American Economic Association; to this day, the biggest public lecture at the Association’s annual meeting is given in Ely’s name, although few of the present AEA members would know who he was.
Between the Civil War and the Second World War, the USA was literally the most heavily protected economy in the world. In this context, it is important to note that the American Civil War was fought on the issue of tariff as much as, if not more, on the issue of slavery. Of the two major issues that divided the North and the South, the South had actually more to fear on the tariff front than on the slavery front. Abraham Lincoln was a well-known protectionist who cut his political teeth under the charismatic politician Henry Clay in the Whig Party, which advocated the “American System” based on infrastructural development and protectionism (thus named on recognition that free trade is for the British interest). One of Lincoln’s top economic advisors was the famous protectionist economist, Henry Carey, who once was described as “the only American economist of importance” by Marx and Engels in the early 1850s but has now been almost completely air-brushed out of the history of American economic thought. On the other hand, Lincoln thought that African Americans were racially inferior and that slave emancipation was an idealistic proposal with no prospect of immediate implementation – he is said to have emancipated the slaves in 1862 as a strategic move to win the War rather than out of some moral conviction.
In protecting their industries, the Americans were going against the advice of such prominent economists as Adam Smith and Jean Baptiste Say, who saw the country’s future in agriculture. However, the Americans knew exactly what the game was. They knew that Britain reached the top through protection and subsidies and therefore that they needed to do the same if they were going to get anywhere. Criticising the British preaching of free trade to his country, Ulysses Grant, the Civil War hero and the US President between 1868-1876, retorted that “within 200 years, when America has gotten out of protection all that it can offer, it too will adopt free trade”. When his country later reached the top after the Second World War, it too started “kicking away the ladder” by preaching and forcing free trade to the less developed countries.
- 2 years ago
-
peterzylstramoore
-
-
peterzylstramoore
-
There is currently great pressure on developing countries to adopt a set of “good policies” and “good institutions” – such as liberalisation of trade and investment and strong patent law – to foster their economic development. When some developing countries show reluctance in adopting them, the proponents of this recipe often find it difficult to understand these countries’ stupidity in not accepting such a tried and tested recipe for development. After all, they argue, these are the policies and the institutions that the developed countries had used in the past in order to become rich. Their belief in their own recommendation is so absolute that in their view it has to be imposed on the developing countries through strong bilateral and multilateral external pressures, even when these countries don’t want them.
Naturally, there have been heated debates on whether these recommended policies and institutions are appropriate for developing countries. However, curiously, even many of those who are sceptical of the applicability of these policies and institutions to the developing countries take it for granted that these were the policies and the institutions that were used by the developed countries when they themselves were developing countries.
Contrary to the conventional wisdom, the historical fact is that the rich countries did not develop on the basis of the policies and the institutions that they now recommend to, and often force upon, the developing countries. Unfortunately, this fact is little known these days because the “official historians” of capitalism have been very successful in re-writing its history.
Almost all of today’s rich countries used tariff protection and subsidies to develop their industries. Interestingly, Britain and the USA, the two countries that are supposed to have reached the summit of the world economy through their free-market, free-trade policy, are actually the ones that had most aggressively used protection and subsidies.
Contrary to the popular myth, Britain had been an aggressive user, and in certain areas a pioneer, of activist policies intended to promote its industries. Such policies, although limited in scope, date back from the 14th century (Edward III) and the 15th century (Henry VII) in relation to woollen manufacturing, the leading industry of the time. England then was an exporter of raw wool to the Low Countries, and Henry VII for example tried to change this by taxing raw wool exports and poaching skilled workers from the Low Countries.
Particularly between the trade policy reform of its first Prime Minister Robert Walpole in 1721 and its adoption of free trade around 1860, Britain used very dirigiste trade and industrial policies, involving measures very similar to what countries like Japan and Korea later used in order to develop their industries. During this period, it protected its industries a lot more heavily than did France, the supposed dirigiste counterpoint to its free-trade, free-market system. Given this history, argued Friedrich List, the leading German economist of the mid-19th century, Britain preaching free trade to less advanced countries like Germany and the USA was like someone trying to “kick away the ladder” with which he had climbed to the top.
List was not alone in seeing the matter in this light. Many American thinkers shared this view. Indeed, it was American thinkers like Alexander Hamilton, the first Treasury Secretary of the USA, and the (now-forgotten) economist Daniel Raymond, who first systematically developed the infant industry argument. Indeed, List, who is commonly known as the father of the infant industry argument, in fact started out as a free-trader (he was an ardent supporter of German customs union – Zollverein) and learnt about this argument during his exile in the USA during the 1820s
Ha-joon Chang "http://www.paecon.net/PAEtexts/Chang1.htm
- 2 years ago
-
peterzylstramoore
-
-
peterzylstramoore
-
For those who suggest Bolivia, or any of the 'leftish countries' aside Cuba are planned economies don't really have any idea what they are talking about.
The truth is that the US interfered in the market well it was developing as well. It restricted trade of industrial goods because it new it couldn't compete with European industrial goods, and it new if it wanted to develop it would have to plan, nurture and develop it's industrial sector. It followed Britain who while developing had the HIGHEST TARIFFS in the world.
It's a good call for these countries to take control of their natural resources, and use the profits to pay for social services, and to subsidize the development of industry.
- 2 years ago
-
peterzylstramoore
-
-
bombastinator
-
Keep in mind his government is the one that creates those statistics, and he is running a "planned economy" instead of a market economy. The early soviet union also published growth rates in excess of 15% for years until it was determined they were largely fraudulent.
This guy's support is very much solely in the uneducated and very poor. It could just as easily be said "Another foe of the US handing out the pork to his constituents."
If he can make his economy work he can make it work. but you can't trust statistics published by autocratic governments running planned economies. Even the ones from democratic market economies are almost too difficult to keep even relatively clean.
- 2 years ago
-
bombastinator
-
-
endovenoso
-
less corruption and foreign extraction of wealth is good for a developing country?!
- 2 years ago
-
endovenoso
-
-
jubal
-
All I have to say is that whomever is an enemy of the US Corporatocracy is courageous and obviously doing something right to be demonized by the Empire Builders.
- 2 years ago
-
jubal
-
-
bombastinator
-
jubal:
so you're a fan of Bin Laden then? he does that a lot too. The end does not justify the means.
- 2 years ago
-
bombastinator
-
-
JanforGore
-
Morales is a man who cares about his people. He is good for Bolivia which is bad for corporate America so they demonize him.
- 2 years ago
-
JanforGore
-
-
bombastinator
-
JanforGore:
he's not as bad as some, I'll give him that, but don't assume he's telling you everything. This guy has really put the hammer down on a lot of things. It is not all roses over there. i wouldn't start kissing his toes quite yet.
- 2 years ago
-
bombastinator
-
-
csmonut
-
I remember when Morales was elected. News media was all over him. he was going to destroy the country, etc.....
If the report is true, it would appear he is doing pretty good.
Take that! U.S. and Bolivian corporate greed. - 2 years ago
-
csmonut
-
-
bombastinator
-
csmonut:
yep. IF.
- 2 years ago
-
bombastinator
-
-
treewolf39
-
-
Morales is fighting the good fight.
- 2 years ago
-
treewolf39
-
-
bombastinator
-
treewolf39:
well that of course depends on whether he is giving you handouts or kicking you out of your home.
- 2 years ago
-
bombastinator
-
-
ampersand
-
Evo Morales seems a very sincere and dedicated man. I wish him all the luck and success in the world. The mountain of obstacles in front of him in tackling the economic and social problems of Bolivia is staggering. I've traveled all over the world, and bar none, Bolivia was the poorest country on the planet I've seen. The people seem to hang on to existence by licking the dust off of rocks.
I'm not sanguine about the outcome when considering the opposing entrenched economic forces and the inertia of colossal poverty in Bolivia, but more power to him.
If it works to any degree, it will lift all of our spirits and give us a thread of hope. - 2 years ago
-
ampersand
-
-
tommic
-
U.S. Corporations can't control Morales so they claim him a danger. The fear of socialism in countries that have long been abused by the United States is pathetic. Whether Venezuala or Bolvia the leaders in these countries are helping the poor at the expense of the rich who in most cases profited from connections to the large corporations from the U.S. The flight of the wealthy in those countries speaks volumes about their own patriotism to their countries and their unwillingness to be part of the solution instead they choose to move their money offshore and flee to other countries. South American countries have much to offer the entire western hemisphere. Minerals, oil and agricultural products are abundant in South America with some of the best cattle as well. Its time to let those countries find their own way and for the United States to stop interfering. We have used and abused the people of central and south America for over a century.
- 2 years ago
-
tommic