Community | February 08, 2010 | 148 comments

Branson warns that oil crunch is coming within five years

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Vierotchka
Sir Richard Branson and fellow leading businessmen will warn ministers this week that the world is running out of oil and faces an oil crunch within five years.

The founder of the Virgin group, whose rail, airline and travel companies are sensitive to energy prices, will say that the ­coming crisis could be even more serious than the credit crunch.

"The next five years will see us face another crunch – the oil crunch. This time, we do have the chance to prepare. The challenge is to use that time well," Branson will say.

"Our message to government and businesses is clear: act," he says in a foreword to a new report on the crisis. "Don't let the oil crunch catch us out in the way that the credit crunch did."

(much more at link)
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148 comments // Branson warns that oil crunch is coming within five years

  • Walks_in_Storms
  • SleepDirt
    • 0
      SleepDirt  
    • Walks_in_Storms:

      That's odd. As I understand it, the annual global rate of oil consumption is nowhere near the numbers that you stated.

      "Since the early 1980s, discoveries have failed to keep up with the global rate of oil consumption, which last year reached 31 billion barrels of oil. Instead, companies have managed to expand production by finding new ways of getting more oil out of existing fields, or producing oil through unconventional sources, like Canada’s tar sands or heavy oil in Venezuela."

      http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/24/business/energy-environment/24oil.html

      Edit---The above article is not correct.

      US alone-20,680,000 bbl/day

    • 2 years ago
  • SleepDirt
  • melynda
    • +1
      melynda  
    • whether or not there are massive oil fields in Cuba does not affect my horse. Or my legs. I'd like to see Richard Branson walk across a bustling metropolis on a daily basis just to go to work and pay his rent. People like me will be walking (or galloping) over the crunchy bones of people like Branson in their future.

    • 2 years ago
  • PressCore
    • 0
      PressCore  
    • melynda:

      Amen to that,lady. I reached the big 60 last April, and I still feel like 17 because for the past 18 months I walked 3 miles and back to work every day. That fundamental exercise routine enabled me to work 7 nights a week for the latter 7 and 1/2 months, effortlessly. From what the RealAge .com website tells me, walking, swimming etc builds proteins in the cells which preps humans for resistance(weight) training. For a man who never exceeded 5 feet 10 inches, I was able to walk the figure 8 path around 2 local lakes in as little as 42 minutes, even whistling, without breaking my stride 8 months of the year here in central New York. When I was 27 and on a vegan diet, I was so light I could run 3 miles after dinner in the Summer. Exercise keeps you alive and kicking. I haven't driven my own vehicle in 2 years now. It's cheaper to do
      as my Dutch brethren do, and simply ride a bike.

    • 2 years ago
  • thewarnerla
    • +2
      thewarnerla  
    • melynda:

      Why do you hate on the Branson? He has made quite a life for himself and much of it is for the good of society. I think he is actually one of the good elite. You don't see Cheney, Bush, or Murdoch telling you about an oil crunch do you. This guy is on your side--and he got rich doing it. Don't hate the fact that he is a mastermind.

    • 2 years ago
  • melynda
    • +1
      melynda  
    • thewarnerla:

      not hating, just being realistic. Actually, Richard Branson may be one of the few elite who will be able to survive. Because once money is gone, what do you have but your brains? And Branson does have some of those.

    • 2 years ago
  • SleepDirt
    • 0
      SleepDirt  
    • Image
    • While I wholeheartedly support alternative engery, peak oil is a fallacy. Why would you think the world's governments are not responding as you might expect?

      Start with 20 billion barrels off the coast of Cuba.

      **The Cuba Super-giant oil find also leaves the advocates of ‘Peak Oil’ theory with more egg on the face. Shortly before the Bush-Blair decision to invade and occupy Iraq, a theory made the rounds of cyberspace, that sometime after 2010, the world would reach an absolute “peak” in world oil production, initiating a period of decline with drastic social and economic implications. Its prominent spokesmen, including retired oil geologist Colin Campbell and Texas oil banker Matt Simmons, claimed that there had not been a single new Super-giant oil discovery since 1976, or thereabouts, and that new fields found over the past two decades had been “tiny” compared with the earlier giant discoveries in Saudi Arabia, Prudhoe Bay, Daquing in China and elsewhere.

      (...) The remarkable geography of Haiti and Cuba and the discovery of world-class oil reserves in the waters off Cuba lend credence to anecdotal accounts of major oil discoveries in several parts of Haitian territory. It also could explain why two Bush Presidents and now special UN Haiti Envoy Bill Clinton have made Haiti such a priority. As well, it could explain why Washington and its NGOs moved so quickly to remove-- twice-- the democratically elected President Aristide, whose economic program for Haiti included, among other items, proposals for developing Haitian natural resources for the benefit of the Haitian people.

      In March 2004, some months before the University of Texas and American Big Oil launched their ambitious mapping of the hydrocarbon potentials of the Caribbean, a Haitian writer, Dr. Georges Michel, published online an article titled ‘Oil in Haiti.’ In it, Michel wrote,

      … .[I]t has been no secret that deep in the earthy bowels of the two states that share the island of Haiti and the surrounding waters that there are significant, still untapped deposits of oil. One knows not why they are still untapped. Since the early twentieth century, the physical and political map of the island of Haiti, erected in 1908 by Messrs. Alexander Poujol and Henry Thomasset, reported a major oil reservoir in Haiti near the source of the Rio Todo El Mondo, Tributary Right Artibonite River, better known today as the River Thomonde.

      http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=17287

    • 2 years ago
  • asherp
    • +1
      asherp  
    • Has anybody read teh book "only the super rich can save us!" by Ralph Nader?

      I'm wondering how fictional it really is.

    • 2 years ago
  • PressCore
    • 0
      PressCore  
    • asherp:

      Fictional ? I think you could save time by walking to the Fantasy section of your local bookstore. In 1999 Showtime aired a series which lasted only 1 season entitled Total Recall 2070. It was a synthesis of the movies Total Recall and Blade Runner. It portrayed a vision of the future in which global warming made it rain most of the time,. Asian people predominated a high tech world of cities where the entire side of high rise bldgs. was used for video advertisements., Space travel to Mars' domes colonies was routine. And the use of highly sophistocated android machines did the menial work humans do now. Corporations ran everything, taking up most of the role Government does now. The only remant of the Gummint (as Homeboy D. Clown, from the TV series In Living Color would call it) was the Citizens Protection Board, and the Courts to settle disputes, and enforce the laws. The uber rich own the Corporations and controlling interest in Wall St, and all the markets. Ronald Regan, the Bushes et al saw to that. It was a trend they favored, so they accelerated their usurpation. The uber rich aren't interested in saving anyone but themselves, their machines, and anyone whom they can buy as their property. They own more bought dogs than you'll ever see in kennels down on all 4s.

    • 2 years ago
  • asherp
  • zichi
    • zichi [removed]  
    • This comment was removed as a violation of community guidelines.
  • dirtymilk
  • dkl165
    • 0
      dkl165  
    • Coming from a man who is investing heavily in airplanes capable of traveling into outer space for frivolous voyages and gas guzzling by the rich. Disgusting.

    • 2 years ago
  • dalistuff
  • jjammedjr
  • Philip_Robibero
  • PressCore
    • +1
      PressCore  
    • I see this as a cloud with a Silver lining. When people know a crunch is coming, the demand for gas powered vehicles by people with modest means will freeze. And that will scare the living shit out of the "big 3". The Chinese, Japanese, Germans, and French have been developing all electric vehicles for years now. And that revelation will give them a big boost to at last break the 150 year stranglehold of the world Big oil Monopoly. Because when people realize they can save $100. a month in commuter expenses simply by buying MiniCoopers and Renaults, Nissans et al, they'll jump for joy. And who realy gives a shit if they're compelled to buy foreign makes ? The USA has had the opportunity since 1973 to come up with electric cars. Noone in the Gummint before now had any real resolve. And even now they're a day late and a dollar short. They'd rather hem and haw like pack mules than forsake the Big Oil Corporations that own them lock, stock, and oil barrel. The Mini Coopers are a brand bought by BMW now. They were supposed to come out with an all electric mini in 2009, but progress is slow. Within 5 years, they will have perfected the revolutionary breakthroughs in nano tech that S. Korean scientists introduced in 2009. That is the non brittle nano tech materials that, when added to lithium ion batteries, will store DC electric energy X a factor of 10. That means the cruising range of an all electric mini will be 1000 miles at 55 MPH, instead of 130. California can realy use that boost. Big Oil, and their GM shitbags, killed the EV1 there in 1997. And a lot of people died from aspyxiation as a result of the bad air quality in the L.A. area. Noone knows better than me, my beloved aunt died of cancer there from it while I was in college in 1968. Big Oil has been poisoning the air in California for a 100 years now. How obscenely ugly and evil is their cold blooded greed ? My dream is to see every gas station abandoned, with shrubs growing out of the cracks in the concrete.

    • 2 years ago
  • Vesna_Pandurov
  • JanforGore
  • Monkey_Films
  • csmonut
    • 0
      csmonut  
    • And..... getting governments to act on anything with 10 years is a joke. Expecting them to act in 5 years is hilarious!
      They haven't been able to act on climate change in 20 years.

    • 2 years ago
  • csmonut
    • 0
      csmonut  
    • I guess we should start raising our own foodstuffs. When this happens, and it surely will, many people are going to get real hungry.

    • 2 years ago
  • olddogdaddy
    • +1
      olddogdaddy  
    • Our government did not seem to understand the ramifications leading to the mess in the 1970's, and unless more people like Sir Richard Branson use the power of their voices, we'll get caught in an unfathomable crisis!

      maybe now that our highest court feels corporations have the same voice as the citizens, corporate campaign financing from alternative energy suppliers might get a word in edgewise.

      wait a minute...new competing industries to big oil? too late! big oil, and other monied inerests already own our government and they're just chompin' at the bit for another "shortage". ah must be gettin' cynical in my old age.

    • 2 years ago
  • BIGDADDYMELVIN
  • csmonut
  • PressCore
    • +1
      PressCore  
    • BIGDADDYMELVIN:

      I was born in 1949 as one of the boomers, so I was driving a Ford 289 V8 when the Arab Oil Embargo hit during the Winter of 1973 into 1974. I recall seeing $.28 as the last recorded price on a pump at a station that had gone out of business trying to compete with another station too close to it. That cheap price reflected the value of money when Silver was in circulation. And that price stability which maintaining a semi precious metal as money accomplished, kept the price of gas very low for decades. I would not be surprised if that gas station went out of business 10 years before the Arab Oil Embargo in 1964 when the last of the 90% Silver coins were minted, because $.28 was likely the gas price still in 1944 during WW2. Even then, I couldn't miss the irony of it, because, like the Arab Oil Embargo of 74, WW2 was the only other time during the 20th century when Americans were subject to rationing because of the National Emergency. Don't forget the purchasing power of the modern dollar is less than 10% of what it was in 1941, and less than 2% of what it bought in 1907, today in the year 2010. When the price jumped to $.75 during the Arab Oil Embargo, it reflected more a devaluation of our dollar, by the OPEC oil cartel, because in 1974 the Ike Dollars, and Kennedy Halves, were still being minted in the traditional size of genuine Silver dollar/half dollar coins, but made of cheaper metals. If you compare the value of Silver now to the price of gas, it's roughly the same as it was, simply adjusted for inflation. Because when the Gummint abandoned the Constitutional standards for our money, and let their metal values float as commodities on the world market, they created a precious metals barometer to inversely measure the devaluation of our currency. It's shocking to see gas priced at $3.5-$4.00. but that's why Bush/Cheny invaded Iraq. To double the price of Saudi Arabian oil. Watch the Michael Moore documentary Fahrenheit 9/11 sometime, and you'll see what I mean. The Bin Ladins are a Multi Billionaire Saudi Arabian Oil magnate family whom Bush was an unregistered foreign agent working for-to promote their agenda.

    • 2 years ago
  • olddogdaddy
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • BIGDADDYMELVIN:

      What they crave to do is Peak Oil Story us to death to drive the price up then spring electric cars on us at 1000 miles range => leaving the price of crude where they jacked it to pre-electrics. They'll bleach our hair on both ends then. Hell is just a giant see-saw?

    • 2 years ago
  • Katmai512
  • Vierotchka
  • PressCore
    • +2
      PressCore  
    • Katmai512:

      What will happen to the U.S. Dollar ? 1982 was the last year in which the Gummint produced Copper cents, which was the last vestige of the U.S. Dollar
      established by the Constitution in 1789. Ever since 1983, they've been stamping copper coated aluminum slugs. I picked up one cars ran over. It's no different than a steel slug. And it's not like it's the first time they've ever coined slugs. They did that during 1943, which was the last extreme National Emergency. I own steel cents made out of recycled artillery shell casings. They needed Copper for the electrical wiring used in planes, ships, and tanks. It's simply that the current National Emergency has no end in sight now because now we're always at war as Orwell predicted we'd be back in 1943.

      Meaning no offense, friend, but where have you been ? The Gummint hasn't been anything but bankrupt since 1983. How can it be solvent when the "secret" National debt was debt clocked at $64.Trillion in August 2007 ? Do you have any idea how much money that amounts to ? The entire GDP of the USA produces in 5 years would only approach, not match, that amount. In other words, if the USA were a citizen, it would have to hold it's breath and exist on nothing for 5 years, and devote all its resources in paying that debt off to even glimpse the end of carrying that debt. An impossibility. The debt was only $4 Trillion when Jimmy Carter left office. Because it can't be solvent, with the black hole debt the Reaganites have been running up since then, by borrowing from the future to pay for today, how can it produce honest money ?

      The Foreign owned bankster cartel which owns the "Fed" has been printing their substitute Monopoly parlor game currency in place of U.S.Treasury Notes aka Silver Certificates, since 1970 when the 2nd last vestige of the U.S. Dollar disappeared. Ever since the "Fed" ate the Treasury, they've been pawning off their debt like blind people selling pencils on a street corner during the last Great Depression. I'd ask: When will people ever learn that paper is anything but money ? But you'd need to refer to the quotes of P.T. Barnham before you could understand the meaning of the answer. The real U.S. Dollar disappeared 80 years ago after the Ponzi scheme which caused the 1929 Stock Market Crash saw 40% of the Gold bullion coins exported to Rothchild owned French and Swiss banks. That the shorted money supply caused the Great Depression. FDR had to devalue the dollar to 60 cents, and abandon the Gold Standard. A Dollar is only a dollar when it's comprised of 100 Copper cents. Welcome to the machine.

    • 2 years ago
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