Arctic Ocean freshwater will cause "unpredictable" changes in climate
source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/apr/05/arctic-ocean-freshwater-climate
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- JanforGore
- added this
The water – comprising meltwater from the ice cap and run off from rivers – is at least twice the volume of Lake Victoria in Africa, and is continuing to grow. At some point huge quantities of this water are likely to flush out of the Arctic Ocean and into the Atlantic, which could have significant impacts on the climate. Scientists say they cannot predict when this will happen though.
"This could have an influence on ocean circulation," said Benjamin Rabe of the Alfred Wengener Institute. "It could have an influence on the Gulf Stream."
At present, the freshwater acts as a "lid", preventing the warmer salty water below from meeting the ice, which would melt if the two mixed, according to Rabe. But while it is currently stable, this situation is likely to change as atmospheric circulation patterns shift, and as greater quantities of meltwater spill into the "lake". There were signs of an atmospheric change in 2009 that could have precipitated such an outflow, but that episode did not last.
Laura de Steur, an oceanographer at the Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, said: "The volume of water discharged into the Arctic Ocean, largely from Canadian and Siberian rivers, is higher than usual due to warmer temperatures in the north causing ice to melt. Sea ice is also melting quickly – another new record low for ocean area covered was recently documented by the National Snow and Ice Data Centre, adding even more freshwater to the relatively calm Arctic Ocean."
She added: "Sea ice that is thinner is more mobile and could exit the Arctic faster. In the worst case, these Arctic outflow surges can significantly change the densities of marine surface waters in the extreme North Atlantic. What happens then is hard to predict."
Such an outflow would probably have a measurable impact on the "conveyor belt" or thermohaline circulation, a system of deep ocean and wind-driven currents, including the Gulf Stream, which carries heat from the tropics, said Rabe. An influx of dense, cold freshwater could slow the conveyor belt. If the effect were marked, it would be felt in the form of a change of weather in Europe and America, he said. Europe could find itself cooling, particularly around the Western edges, as the circulations tend to bring warmer air to the continent.
cont.
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- groups:
- Community, Green, Earth and Science, Earth Care, 2 more
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- tags:
- Environment, Climate Change, Arctic, biodistress, 4 more
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- recommended by:
- Vierotchka
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CaptDoug
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Weather here has been all over. This story is troubling because I saw the Al Gore movie and remember the Greenland example.I spent two years in Alaska and now the last year back in the desert. Things are changing all over and the people that have lived in the places notice it. I feel sorry for our kids and kids kids. Well, one more reason to ride my bike to work.
(and oil hit 122.00 today) - 1 year ago
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CaptDoug
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martianrocker
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The way things are going... I don't think we will need to worry about it!
The Nuclear waste water released in ocean from Japan will make all the changes the earth needs, Mother-Earth will shake us off like fleas on a dog!
HAVE A NICE No Government budget BROKE DAY!~
- 1 year ago
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martianrocker
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bailey78
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So whats going to change first. ?? .Mankind or the Earth's ability to sustain us??
- 1 year ago
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bailey78
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IceKat
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I'm just surprised at how many people fall for this government funded nonsense.
- 1 year ago
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IceKat
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HildeNichols
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Oh no, the Irish have enough problems already, with their economy! They can't have their palm trees freeze over on the West Coast! I know, the subject is serious, but there's just too much going on to worry about this, also, right now.
- 1 year ago
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HildeNichols
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bluestranger
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HildeNichols:
I missed the part about the Irish and their Palms. Your right about other serious things going on. When do you think might be a good time to discuss climate change? I vote for before the planet is uninhabitable for all but the hardiest bacteria.
- 1 year ago
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bluestranger
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HildeNichols
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bluestranger:
When I read thru the article I remembered the palm trees that some Irish are proud to grow around homes that are no further than about a kilometer away from the Western Coast Line - a bizarre looking hobby enabled by the warm waters of the Gulf stream. This particular detail is something that seems comic to me, but as I said before, I know that the situation is serious. Just at this moment, when the Fukushima nuclear power plants are about to blow out, I can't make myself focus on this subject.
I mean, we all know that climate change is happening and that we have to do everything we can do to stop it - if some new detail of the threat gets known, that doesn't make me react, especially when the time frame is totally open like in this case. By the way, in the ocean science thriller "Der Schwarm" (The Swarm) by Frank Schätzing the possibility of this development is already mentioned. It is not new. - 1 year ago
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HildeNichols
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bluestranger
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HildeNichols:
Speaking of the melt down, it to relates to global warming. It is the most dangerous attempt we have made to replace the fossil fuels. The fossil fuels that are a part of the glacial melt down. Isn't it something how it all interconnects.
- 1 year ago
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bluestranger
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HildeNichols
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bluestranger:
You know what? I agree with you. Still I think it must be allowed to joke on a page like this.
- 1 year ago
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HildeNichols
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IceKat
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HildeNichols:
"I mean, we all know that climate change is happening..."
When was there a time when the climate didn't change? The mythical perfect climate before man built a factory did not exist.
"...and that we have to do everything we can do to stop it"
Well, good luck with that one. Droughts, floods, rain, snow, heatwaves and even earthquakes all occurred in regular amounts in times long before man discovered oil. - 1 year ago
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IceKat
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bluestranger
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This melting could already be having a chain reaction effect. The sheer weight that is lost can effect the earths crust. This in turn influences volcanic activity and earthquakes. Also, as the land beneath is exposed it adds to the amount of methane in the atmosphere. Once again, don't mess with Mother Nature.
- 1 year ago
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bluestranger
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JanforGore
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vr2MD3lxhjM&feature=related
Unless we remember we are nature, we will lose her.
I really don't know how else to say it anymore.
The Prism of life is filled with too much potential to just give up on it.
But I agree that we as a species need to now definitely start planning for adaptation. - 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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wyndesonge
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JanforGore:
It won't be Nature that gets lost, It will be us. The Big Momma knows how to deal with waste, fraud, and abuse. In a couple of million years, She will have evoled some other species which may be more intelligent and respectful.
- 1 year ago
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wyndesonge
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PoliticalAmazon
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In our earth's previous history, on occasion there have been severe changes to the environment.
If it happens slowly enough, many of the gazillions of critters and their societies/milli-ecocystems can adapt, evolve, and survive. If enough survive and successfully evolve, the changes in the overall earth's ecosystem/environment can be small.
However, if the change is abrupt--say, by a catastrophic event--, if too many critters and their societies are unable to adapt and evolve, then, like an exponential domino set-up, the earth's ecosystem starts collapsing.
In some events, the collapse was very severe and it took many millions of years for our earth's many environments to become re-habitated and stability established. One thing for sure--what became established, in many cases, was very different from what was there before.
I'm not an expert on this, but it is one of my fascinations, and I've read a lot about it.
I can't think of any of these events, where there was a significant collapse of a large percentage of our ecosystems, where the ecosystem that at least partially survived was NOT the ocean.
In other words, it seems that the ocean is our earth's buffer for survival.
At least part of the critters/ecosystems in the deepest parts of the ocean appear to have survived when shallower ocean ecosystems did not.
This is what is driving me ape-shit about Japan and the lack of international oversight on how they are handling their clusterfuck of a nuclear disaster at Fukushima:
If enough of the radioactive material makes its way down to the deepest parts of the ocean, and if enough damage has already been done to the rest of the ecosystems of the, will our planet have been killed by the avarice and greed of Japan, TEPCO, GE--who have handled this clusterfuck-express disaster, and by the other nations' governments who were too timid to stand up and provide interventional oversight?
- 1 year ago
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PoliticalAmazon
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Debra_
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This requires a broad solution encompassing all humanity. Cutting carbon can be accomplished by a carbon exchange. We need more vaccines for poor countries to decrease net carbon release from early deaths, and we need to prepare to grow new scientifically proven strains of food in a post global warming meltdown era.
- 1 year ago
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Debra_
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JanforGore
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Debra_:
What subtle GMO shilling. FAIL. GMOs exacerbate "global warming". Agroecology and getting off fossil fuel intensive industrial farming could sequester 40% of carbon emissions and provide enough yield to feed the world. Monoculture only exacerbates the threat of global famine, carbon emissions through deforestation to grow fuel instead of food, soil degradation, poverty and toxicity through pesticides that are also oil based.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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Debra_
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JanforGore:
We can genetically manufacture strains that don't produce any carbon foot print at all. This is a crisis and desperate times call for desperate measures.
- 1 year ago
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Debra_
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The_Mack
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Debra_:
That is an absurd statement. A plant itself provides no carbon footprint whatsoever. It is the human activity associated with its cultivation that provides the footprint.
The plant fixes CO2 from the air into organic carbon compounds that it uses to build itself. The very existence of a plant means that it has already sequestered carbon out of the atmosphere.
- 1 year ago
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The_Mack
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Persecuted
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The_Mack:
hello mack... meet debra... our most absurd contributor on this site.
- 1 year ago
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Persecuted
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Persecuted
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Debra_:
i've heard cow farts... but this is the first time that ive ever heard human deaths are destroying the ozone... so what, we need to come up with a vaccine to make people live forever so they dont release carbons upon their deaths? lmao... thanks for the laugh deb...
- 1 year ago
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Persecuted
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JanforGore
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Debra_:
Who's "we?" The company you are shilling for?
http://gmoreport.blogspot.com/2011/04/agriculture-and-environment-its-our.html
For your edification.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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JustZ
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As JanForGore posted: These are people that are so afraid of science, so devoid of logic and reason, so anesthetized by their own ideological rhetoric that we are now entering a dangerous period."
That's the understatement of the century. All we have to do is look at Japan to see what tons of Ocean water can do to humanity in just minutes.
- 1 year ago
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JustZ
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Steamed_N_More
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Thanks for the update and reminder. I saw that the Artic's (I think) Ozone layer was depleted 40% as well.
- 1 year ago
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Steamed_N_More
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JanforGore
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Steamed_N_More:
Yes, the troposhere is warming while the stratosphere has been cooling. We are reaping the results of our actions in every way.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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IceKat
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JanforGore:
Lower troposphere temperatures have been cooling for some time - try to keep up!
- 1 year ago
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IceKat
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JanforGore
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IceKat:
I have.
http://www.theenvironmentsite.org/stratospheric-cooling-tropospheric-warming/
Your propaganda is failing.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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IceKat
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JanforGore:
Your propagandist article is from 2010. It is incorrect and, like all government and extremist propaganda, relies on the CO2 myth.
Already in 2010 lower tropospheric temperatures were falling. This is an indisputable fact. Why do you choose not to acknowledge this fact? Seeing as temperatures (including sea surface temperatures) are falling, please can you explain CO2's role in this. I'm sure your followers are wondering why CO2 is failing to warm the planet, unless there are other factors at play here? Maybe CO2 isn't responsible to the extent you want us to believe it is?
Why is the planet cooling Jan?
Why did you not tell your followers that "Global Warming" has been completely wiped out within the space of a few months? That's a drop of 0.653°C since March 2010. Now, maybe you call that tropospheric warming, but come on... - 1 year ago
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IceKat
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twinite
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I find it absolutely frustrating,heartbreaking, and terrifying that here we are, in the midst of erratic weather changes everywhere, and yet we are still busy debating the cause and trying to decide which alternative source of energy we should use. This should have been decided on and implemented years ago.
- 1 year ago
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twinite
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The_Wanderer_KS
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twinite:
Several nations that the "industrialized" world sees as marginal have made huge strides towards those goals, we just did not follow thier lead. Do a quick read on energy policies in Brazil. They have been targeting alternate energy since the 70's oil market upheavals.
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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JustZ
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twinite:
it would have been decided decades ago...if it wasn't for the banksters and big oil's circle jerk. These individuals are the most selfish bipeds on the planet. They simply don't give a shit about anything but their bloated account balances.
- 1 year ago
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JustZ
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JustZ
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The_Wanderer_KS:
Indeed...or the Dutch. They let the banks fail completely. It almost killed their economy but now their growth rate is well above average and the banksters are out of business there.
- 1 year ago
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JustZ
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twinite
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JustZ:
Very true...
- 1 year ago
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twinite
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twinite
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The_Wanderer_KS:
Great point and your right...we are sorely lagging
- 1 year ago
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twinite
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The_Wanderer_KS
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JustZ:
Go Dutch! Yay!
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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sue4e3
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AMSTERDAM — Scientists are monitoring a massive pool of fresh water in the Arctic Ocean that could spill into the Atlantic and potentially alter the key ocean currents that give Western Europe its moderate climate.
The oceanographers said Tuesday the unusual accumulation has been caused by Siberian and Canadian rivers dumping more water into the Arctic and from melting sea ice. Both are consequences of global warming.
If it flushes into the Atlantic, the infusion of fresh water could, in the worst case, change the ocean current that brings warmth from the tropics to European shores, said Laura De Steur of the Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research.
German researcher Benjamin Rabe, of the Alfred Wegener Institute, said the Arctic's fresh water content had increased 20 percent since the 1990s — about 8,400 cubic kilometers. That is the equivalent of all the water in Lake Michigan and Lake Huron together or double the volume of water in Lake Victoria, Africa's largest lake.
Increased runoff from the great northern rivers "could potentially impact the large scale ocean circulation in the Atlantic Ocean. This is important for us in Western Europe because our climate is pretty much dictated by the Thermohaline ocean circulation," said De Steur.
The Thermohaline current loops like a conveyer belt from the tropics to the North Atlantic, driven by the differences in salt content and wind patterns. Warm water from the south gains in salinity and grows heavier as it cools. At its northern end, the current is further chilled by cold air and sinks, warming again and rising as it travels south.
That cycle could be affected when the pool of fresh water is released into the Atlantic, said De Steur and Rabe. The icy water has been kept bottled up in the Arctic by wind patterns, which have not shifted their general clockwise direction for the unusually long time of 12 years. Normally, the winds change at intervals of five to 10 years.
The two scientists spoke to The Associated Press as part of a European Union initiative, called Clamer, to collate and publicize information from 300 EU-funded research projects conducted over the last 13 years on climate change and marine ecology. Rabe and colleagues from the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven, Germany, published their research last year in the journal Deep Sea Research on the effects of higher river runoff on ocean salinity.
De Steur said most of the excess fresh water has collected in the Canada Basin, but in the last three years changes also have been noticed in the Eurasian side of the Arctic Ocean.
"It's important to monitor this to see if this can be transported to the Atlantic, where it might potentially effect the Gulf Stream and the Thermohaline circulation," she said.
Rabe cautioned that scientists have not been studying the situation long enough to predict what may happen, and the results of model simulations also were inconclusive.
- 1 year ago
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sue4e3
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coolplanet
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"Will Cause"?
IS causing!
Like last January, when a high pressure system moved up the Pacific into the Arctic, pushing the cold air down into temperate zones, producing the hottest January on record in the Arctic and ice age-like weather across America, Europe and Asia.
And the deniers chanted "So much for global warming" not having a clue. - 1 year ago
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coolplanet
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The_Wanderer_KS
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coolplanet:
Thats a well reasoned post, I hadn't been watching weather patterns lately, I will have to look more into that thank you!
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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coolplanet
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The_Wanderer_KS:
Check out the important article JanforGore posted here last February.
I believe it was entitled 'Warmest January Ever Recorded in the Arctic.' - 1 year ago
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coolplanet
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tverdell
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The_Wanderer_KS:
Google Artic Paradox.
- 1 year ago
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tverdell
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Forgotten_Echo
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We have "watched" in silence for quite some time, seeing the slight changes in your climates. Our species harvested the resources of our planet until there was literally nothing left. Despite the knowledge that our planet's mantle was honeycombed from mining processes, we trusted that our leaders knew what they were doing and that we were safe because they informed us that we were.
Our way of life had such great cost upon on our planet, to the point that shield generators we used to stabilize the mantle, keeping our world from collapsing in upon itself. Soon, our power sources began to dry up and the shields began to weaken.
There was no slow crumbling of our world, had there been, perhaps we could have found a means to escape, to continue as a species. Instead, with one soft spot in the sheilds, a cascading effect took place in a matter of hours. In horror, our world imploded in upon itself, taking our entire species into its own destruction.
How we came to be as we are now, we do not know. There are many of us, trapped as nothing more than a host of conscienceness and awareness. Somehow, we have been able to communicate through a few of your species, yet we feel reserved in becoming involved.
We have seen the good in many of you, trying to protect and save your world, understanding the delicate balances between the many components of your environment. There are many however, that have no care and would destroy your world for they own immediate gain.
As to the subject of the article above, the increasing amount of freshwater in this Arctic "lake" should be see as very troubling indeed. As mentioned, this freshwater lake acts as a cap to keep the warmer, as well as saltier waters below the Arctic region. This is a very delicate balance which maintains a somewhat predictable climate worldwide.
Should the pressure within this "cap" become to great, it will flood out into the lower, warmer waters. This flood will cool the average sea tempartures, quite likely causing a slow-down in the global circulation of sea waters. It is afterall, the circulation of the sea waters which does stabilze the different climates around the globe.
Should this freshwater cap push downwards, out of the Arctic, we would predict the imminent onset of a global cooling trend of massive proportion. In front of this massive cooling trend would be major weather turmoil in all regions around the globe. Survival would be possible, but only for a small few!
- 1 year ago
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Forgotten_Echo
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The_Wanderer_KS
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Forgotten_Echo:
Interesting post as it is almost exactly the thoughts I have head on the matter for some time, an induced iceage through oceanic disturbance, how can I contact you to discuss potential solutions and what avenues to explore to resolve this?
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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ninetyseven
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Forgotten_Echo:
we trusted that our leaders knew what they were doing and that we were safe because they informed us that we were.
Well Said Echo....and about the TRUSTED OUR LEADERS thing (:+( - 1 year ago
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ninetyseven
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JanforGore
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Forgotten_Echo:
So true. The false ways humans ascertain worth have now catapulted us into an abyss that will take all of our moral strength to survive. Our apathy and disrespect for the water, the land, the seed, the air and all of the systems of Earth and species that give us life have now manifested in what we see happening worldwide. And those of us who care and who do all in our power to try to make it right now stand as if watching an accident happen that we have no control over. And for me, that is unacceptable.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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The_Wanderer_KS
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JanforGore:
Eloquently stated.
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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gypsysailor
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I suggest we move, (forceably if necessary), all the anti-climate changers to the low spots around the world.
- 1 year ago
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gypsysailor
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The_Wanderer_KS
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gypsysailor:
More exacting research needs to be done on what areas will be safest and what precautions will be best, I seriously suggest higherground away from too heavy a concentration of humanity.
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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Nephwrack
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and yet the oil junkie douchebags will still deny global warming even after there are no icecaps left.
- 1 year ago
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Nephwrack
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Persecuted
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Nephwrack:
they know they're melting. they just think the melting would have happened with or without human intervention. once people get their minds set on something, nothing anyone says, even scientists, can change their views.
- 1 year ago
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Persecuted
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tverdell
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Persecuted:
That is true, but they don't consider the pace of the melting.
This is where man has compounded a natural cycle.So deniers can fall back on the science and say that warming is natural, but conveniently forget the science surrounding the pace of the warming.
- 1 year ago
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tverdell
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Persecuted
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tverdell:
yep and theres no way to convince them otherwise. this group of people who doubt climate change are the same people who fell for the whole americanism package after the 9/11 attack. theyre the same people yelling government healthcare is unconstitutional while waving their "dont touch my medicare" signs. the same people who think wars are neccessary and justified. they're fools.. they lean to the right and they believe anything they hear from people they support... very complex issue... a handful of stupid people are ruining the entire earth, our way of life, helping to stop progress.
- 1 year ago
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Persecuted
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tverdell
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This is in Gore's Inconvenient Truth movie.
- 1 year ago
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tverdell
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JanforGore
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tverdell:
Yes, and I just posted this yesterday. The reality will not lie.
http://progressivesforgore.blogspot.com/2011/04/al-gore-went-to-congress.html
I posted the above entry five years ago... five years ago. And Al has gone up to the hill at least three times since then. And still, Congress has done nothing to address the cataclysmic effects of biodistress that have remained unchecked nor taken seriously by this body as a whole. As a matter of fact, we are now seeing the takeover of this Congress by those who would have condemned Galileo where he stood. People so afraid of science, so devoid of logic and reason, so anesthesized by their own ideologic rhetoric that we are now entering a dangerous period.
Their total lack of moral standing on this crisis is an embarrassment to this country. Their sellng out our future to the likes of those like the Koch Brothers is criminal. Their seeking to now roll back all of the environmental progress we have made for the last forty years is unconscienable. And yet, we had good men like Al Gore up there warning them of the future. A future he began warning about in the 70s as a Senator when he called Roger Revelle up to the hill because he thought members of Congress would think it important. And actually, I could understand more that back then it wouldn't be considered as urgent as it is now. But not now. Not with the plethora of peer reviewed science that lays out the facts. Not with the consensus of over 90% of climate scientists in our world. Not with the reality we see before us from the Arctic to every continent on this planet.
So, Al Gore went up on the hill five years ago to show them the presentation and lay out the facts once again... and was virtually (not by all) but virtually ignored by this body that is supposed to be there to do right by the people. But by ignoring this crisis in lieu of their own politics and profit they do nothing more than remain accomplices to a crime of nature unlike anything we have ever seen before.
Shame.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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tverdell
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JanforGore:
Or they will just humiliate him with naked unflaterring pictures.
- 1 year ago
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tverdell
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JanforGore
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tverdell:
Yes because they are ignorant. a**_es.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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tverdell
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JanforGore:
Yeah, it's a shame that our Congressmen would stoop so low.
Like Al Gore or not, he is an elder statesmen and should be treated with respect.You may disagree with him, but we shouldn't be so demeaning to someone in his stature.
- 1 year ago
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tverdell
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Vierotchka
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We've been having unusually warm and dry weather these past three months in my neck of the woods. We're actually been having a drought, which is practically unheard of at this time of year.
- 1 year ago
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Vierotchka
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JanforGore
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Vierotchka:
Yes and it's been erratic here. Still colder than normal but heading for wamer weather this weekend. We seem to get only two seasons here now, winter and summer.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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simplecj
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Vierotchka:
We've been in a drought for about 10 years here in Utah. Interestingly, we currently have an average of 160% snow pack throughout the state and are preparing for spring floods from the huge run off. They're even draining reservoirs in anticipation of the huge volume of snow melt. They say we haven't had this much snow since 1983.
For further comparison, previous years this last decade or so ended with 50 - 60% "normal" snowpack.
- 1 year ago
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simplecj
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Nephwrack
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simplecj:
it has to go somewhere.
- 1 year ago
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Nephwrack
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Persecuted
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JanforGore:
its been very weathery where i'm at. just downright weathery.
- 1 year ago
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Persecuted
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simplecj
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Persecuted:
lol...
- 1 year ago
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simplecj
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JanforGore
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I think it is already having somewhat of an effect.
- 1 year ago
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JanforGore
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The_Wanderer_KS
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JanforGore:
I feel very strongly that is an understatement.
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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artemis6
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This is very troubling . I worry for the future .
- 1 year ago
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artemis6
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The_Wanderer_KS
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artemis6:
We all should, and try to figure out how to really fix our transgressions against our Mother, if this God is our Father...why do religious have a heard time seeing that connection?
The Da Vinci Code was at least partially right, that a lot of femenine acceptance was missing from the teaching given in the Bible, and I think it's connected to the oral tradition of a "mother nature" figure in almost all earlier religions. The council of Nicea(or an even earlier group involved in the workings of religion in that region) wanted a unified voice and opted for a monotheistic text to avoid potential for contradictionary teachings to solidify a religion. Good for "business" of religion but shortsighted perhaps in worldly effects.
Father God and Mother Earth, thats an interesting spiritualist concept.
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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coolplanet
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The_Wanderer_KS:
I like the way Native Americans considered the Great Spirit -- Grandmother Earth and Grandfather Sky.
The Maya call it Heart of Earth and Heart of Sky.
The Hebrew Essenes thousands of years ago referred to God as our Earthly Mother and Heavenly Father.
The original Hebrew word for God -- Elohim -- is plural. 'Eloh' is feminine and 'Im' is masculine.
But then came the synogogues, churches and mosques and ruined everything.
Call me a Druid but my temple is a Mount of Olive trees. - 1 year ago
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coolplanet
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The_Wanderer_KS
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coolplanet:
ROFL so my simple observation may have strong basis in fact, thanks for that more detailed information on what I half expected to be the truth already! Great post!
- 1 year ago
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The_Wanderer_KS
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artemis6
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The_Wanderer_KS:
And a healthy one as well ....
- 1 year ago
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artemis6
