Clerk Kathy Nickolaus’ Fuzzy Math Doesn’t Add Up in Wisconsin Race

The revelation of this sure has put a damper on posts about Wisconsin. Funny how that works.

She gradauted from the Kathleen Harris School of how to count ballots.

So, by counties there was a 20% spread, but in one area there was a 300% difference and this just happened to be the one mishandled?
Prosser should buy a Powerball ticket there!!!

one thing no one has brought up about the so-called 14,000 votes. if 7,500 went to Prosser wouldnt that mean 6.500 went to Kloppenburg. that's closer than the 7,319 lead that they gave Prosser if Kloppenburg was leading before they found them.

First of all, anyone using election methodology presented by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Craig Gilbert is relying on very questionable information. The JS has become a very right leaning propaganda source (they endorsed David Prosser!), Charlie Sykes, who was one of the sources of the new election results, works for the JS. These are far from impartial contributers. I would even question Nate Silver's methodology because of the fact this election was not political business as usual. It warrents a full scale investigation regardless.

I do love fiction!

First of all, let's put the numbers out there before you lead more sheep to think you have a point. If she won 32 counties, that means Prosser won 40. Second, the magic number for a recall as a reason why this total is suspicious? LOL, by now you can likely see the folly of your logic. If someone was going to make a concerted effort to commit voter fraud and force the other candidate to pay for a recount, why not double the fraud to put it far over the required number? Right now, the total difference between the candidates is under 7k votes. That means the state will be paying for the recall.

Second, while there was motivation to vote against Prosser, there was motivation to vote for Prosser. Mostly because we knew that this race was being treated as a proxy against our governor, and, Kloppenburg's lack of class in reference to a victim of sexual assault. If you did any analyzation, you'd find not only did Prosser win more counties, but that he also did better than Walker in many of those areas.

Third, Waukesha County is notorious for high voter turnout. 33%? LOL, maybe in your apathetic area, but not in Waukesha. This county turned out nearly 47% of its voters for this election, and that isn't a surprise. Even the Chair of the county Democrat Party acknowledged the truth of the matter.

Don't under stand why the US Gov doesn't get involved in the vote total in Wisconsin. Seems we go into other countries to oversee elections.

This literally stinks!

so what does this mean? is this going to be investigated or are they just going to give it to prosser?

I'd suggest she likely eliminated votes for Kloppenburg if she's been tampering and considering her methodology, there's only one reason for it, she's screwing the people, imo

Thank you for breaking down the evidence for us, but it's criminally absurd that anyone is taking this woman's word in the first place. Oh, I just deleted the voting stats for the county, but it's alright, I'll just dictate them to you essentially off the top of my head. Why does the number 14315 stick in my mind? If this is the way they plan to subvert democracy they've clearly been caught napping before the big meeting.

I hope this ends up being some kind of walker work

The entire thing is hard to believe. She keeps the voting records on her computer, no way this is legit. The numbers don't add up. +^d

She needs to resign now.

I am surprised that the people of Wisconsin are not up in arms about this. It took 2 days for the republicans to come up with enough numbers to steal this election. If this were your state would any of you be out in the streets?

Rigged elections that most of us have lived through. Florida in 2000. Ohio in 2004. And now Wisconsin in 2011. Tar and feathers and a good blood letting would stop this nonsense.

Clearly from her criminal record in rigging elections, she is guilty of rigging this one in favor of Prosser. These type of GOP members are complete slime balls.

You have to write a script in order to work around Access' auto save function. If she did that, that would be malicious and I would like to hear her reasoning.

I would think that the LAW and ORDER party people would welcome a through investigation into this whole fiasco. After all, they KNOW with out a doubt that nothing hinky went on,so, a complete forensic investigation would only vindicate them. As they are fond of saying, "If you ain't got nothin' to hide, then you ain't got nothin' to fear".
Oh, and please don't whine about the cost, because, really,cant you put a price on justice?...really? ...can ya?
No, of course,not.

the gop will piss on democracy and democratic principles every chance they get
i don't trust her in the least

mmm... another case of incest
seems to be rampant in the republican party...

At the very least, there should be a detailed investigation of what went on. This could crack wide open the systematic theft of elections by the right wing. It is a assult on Democracy itself. This must be exposed, once and for all. If WI does not do an indepth investigation, the future of fair elections in any state is in danger.

The destroy America people will NOT win.

Are you listening congoboy, Paratus, Warren_Merrill, etc.

This is going completely unmentioned in the mainstream media here in Milwaukee. They've actually have seemed to written-off the possibility of wrong doing, and Nickolaus' incompetence in general. I could do anything but laugh this morning when TMJ4 interviewed Prossor...get this. Are you ready.....? He is okay with the mix-up and has no doubt they're legitimate. She just made an error. I can't fucking believe it. Really? You're okay with this?! Stop the fucking presses!
Just looking a Processor, he probably thinks Microsoft Access is the password you use to log into your computer. That's if he knows what a laptop is.

Why am I not surprised to hear this?

LIAR LIAR PANTS ON FIRE GOT CAUGHT AGIN..

When are the voters going to wake up and identify the people who steal elections. Is it after the election has been stolen ? In this case yes. Wisconsin are you waking up, someone has stolen your goverment. It can happen anywhere, Florida 2000, Ohio 2004, Wisconsin 2008, I am sure it has happened more then we know about. I am at a loss of what to do but I am paying attention and will be volunteering as a poll watcher from now on. There should be attorneys at all vote counting stations during elections, one from each party.

Kathy Nickolaus math isn't just fuzzy, it's the math they used on 'Bizarro World'! #bangingheadondesk

All of a sudden liberals are concerned about the honesty of a vote. This is a momentous occasion indeed. These things will be recounted more times than the hanging chads. By the time the dust settles on this issue all the people concerned will have long since retired.

You can have the brightest math people in the world come and add up a column of figures and that only tells you the totals in the column is correct.The only way to remove all doubt is to have a special election with the state election board to oversee it that way it would be the people of Brookfield verifying yes that is how they voted

You can't hand in your homework a day late and expect it to count. And this cunt taking a few days beyond the election to "find" votes on her personal computer is bullshit. It should not be a matter of whether these were the actual votes or not (beyond the criminal investigation into election fraud), those votes should be tossed out for being late.

OK, who didn't see this coming? Kathy Nicholaus was always Walker's ace in the hole...It seems she is good at crying 'human error' while throwing elections to republicans...hopefully she doesn't get away with it this time.

She was the Koch brothers ace in the hole .

Democratic Party County Vice Chair verifies Waukesha numbers are correct.
Go to 13 minute mark for the question. She comes on at 13:30.

http://bcove.me/lysfd817

When one takes things that don't belong to them it is stealing, stealing is a crime! What Kathy Nicholaus did was to steal from the people from WI! The key issue I bet she will get a raise in stead of JAIL time! While the GAB has it eye on her actions, she is merely a con artist to distract from a THEFT from some where else. Remember the movie the STING with Redford and Newman? What idiot allowed this pattern of behavior to occur. GAB should hire John Allen Paulos and yes to use stolen evidence to validate a election is batty, crazy, daffy, laughable, loony to say the lease. Her boss or bosses should do jail time!
This was well thought out well in advanced, there is always backup plans not less than 3 if not more. Just follow the money, Just follow the money. Find a criminal investigator that does not have less than %40 clearance rate on crime against property. The best national average %9-15.

someone call chris farley and gary busey

Brookfield's totals, turnout are consistent

Supreme Court race results, which once-missing votes, align with usual patterns

By Craig Gilbert of the Journal Sentinel

The "Brookfield Bombshell" - the sudden appearance of thousands of decisive ballots in the state Supreme Court race - invites all sorts of obvious questions and suspicions about politics and incompetence.

But do the voting figures look fishy from a purely numerical standpoint? Are they implausible on their face based on what we know about the turnout history of Brookfield and Waukesha County compared with other places?

Not at first glance.

The new figures put the total vote in the city of Brookfield at 14,315. Brookfield has a voting-age population in the 2010 census of 29,007. So that would make its April 5 turnout equal to 49.4% of voting-age adults.

That number is 15 points higher than the statewide turnout of roughly 34%, but there is nothing odd about that. Brookfield is a high-turnout community in a high-turnout county. Last fall, Brookfield had a rather amazing turnout of 73% of voting-age adults, which was 23 points higher than the statewide turnout of 50% of voting-age adults.

The 49% Brookfield turnout is also higher than the overall turnout in Brookfield's home county, Waukesha, which would equal 42% of voting-age adults, using the adjusted returns. That's consistent with what happened last fall, when Brookfield's turnout was about nine points higher than the turnout rate in Waukesha County as a whole.

Nor would a 49% turnout rate in Brookfield be out of line with other upscale communities that have high voting rates, according to calculations based on 2010 census data and the still unofficial voting returns from Tuesday.

The city of Madison turnout was roughly the same as Brookfield's - about 49%.

Some Milwaukee County suburbs had higher turnout rates than Brookfield, including Whitefish Bay (59%), Shorewood (51%) and Fox Point (56%). Others were lower, such as Wauwatosa (48%) and Franklin (40%).

Not so big a drop
Before the new votes were added, Waukesha County was an outlier in one sense. It had shown by far the largest drop-off in turnout between the 2010 race for governor last fall and Tuesday's judicial race (from about 63% to 37%, for a decline of 26 points). After the adjustment, the drop-off in turnout is still one of the biggest in the state (from 63% to 42%), but not freakishly so. The statewide decline in turnout was only 16 points.

The addition of the new votes raised Waukesha's turnout rate from 37% to 42%, which brings it more closely in line with the neighboring GOP strongholds of Ozaukee (44% turnout) and Washington (41%) counties.

One important note about the numbers: All the turnout statistics used here are based on the percentage of voting-age adults who cast ballots - not the percentage of registered voters who cast ballots. The two are not comparable.

Local election clerks typically report turnout rates based on the share of registered voters, which means those turnout percentages are going to be significantly higher. But using turnout figures based on voting-age adults has distinct advantages: It's how the state of Wisconsin measures turnout; it's much easier to compare turnout levels over time and among states and localities; and it more accurately reflects the population of eligible voters in Wisconsin, since this state has same-day registration, meaning people can still vote without registering prior to the election day.

Wait a minute! If I remember correctly, YOU DON'T USE ANY SAVE COMMAND AFTER MAKING ENTRIES IN MS ACCESS data view or form view! CHANGES ARE SAVED AUTOMATICALLY when you leave a field in a record and go to the next one! So what changes did Nickolaus go back and make? What was she really saving?

Her excuse, by itself, should be grounds for an investigation.

Kathy had the same funny expression on her face that George Bush, and Condoleezza Rice had on their faces after they stole the 2000 election from Al Gore.

And here I thought it was her fuzzy ethics.

The Left's most trusted Pollster believes the story, unfortunately.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy
By NATE SILVER

"Here again, Waukesha County’s expected turnout falls between its original and revised figures. But again the fit is not terribly strong, so this represents a rougher guess than we get from using the 2010 data.

A better way to think about this is in terms of a 95 percent confidence interval, or margin of error. For instance, based on the 2010 data, we’d estimate that Waukesha County’s turnout should have been 51.5 percent, plus or minus 7.8 percent, meaning that there was a 95 percent chance that the true figure was in the range of 43.7 percent to 59.3 percent. The original turnout estimate, 42.3 percent, falls outside this range, meaning that we can be fairly confident that something unusual (like failing to count an entire city’s ballots) had occurred...

If this was a conspiracy, it was one executed with an extraordinarily high degree of cunning and competence. I’m more inclined to think that Ms. Nickolaus, who has drawn complaints for her sloppy management practices in the past, is no savvier than she seems.

If you’re still not persuaded, you’re welcome to play around with the data yourself, which you can download as an MS-Excel file here."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/04/08/vote-counting-error-in-wisco...

Someone's Got some Splainin' to Do!!!!