The Earth Is Full - By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/08/opinion/08friedman.html
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- Vierotchka
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“The only answer can be denial,” argues Paul Gilding, the veteran Australian environmentalist-entrepreneur, who described this moment in a new book called “The Great Disruption: Why the Climate Crisis Will Bring On the End of Shopping and the Birth of a New World.” “When you are surrounded by something so big that requires you to change everything about the way you think and see the world, then denial is the natural response. But the longer we wait, the bigger the response required.”
Gilding cites the work of the Global Footprint Network, an alliance of scientists, which calculates how many “planet Earths” we need to sustain our current growth rates. G.F.N. measures how much land and water area we need to produce the resources we consume and absorb our waste, using prevailing technology. On the whole, says G.F.N., we are currently growing at a rate that is using up the Earth’s resources far faster than they can be sustainably replenished, so we are eating into the future. Right now, global growth is using about 1.5 Earths. “Having only one planet makes this a rather significant problem,” says Gilding.
This is not science fiction. This is what happens when our system of growth and the system of nature hit the wall at once. While in Yemen last year, I saw a tanker truck delivering water in the capital, Sana. Why? Because Sana could be the first big city in the world to run out of water, within a decade. That is what happens when one generation in one country lives at 150 percent of sustainable capacity.
(more at link)
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- groups:
- Community, News and Politics, Green, Culture, 4 more
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- tags:
- Climate Change, Global Warming, Population, Resources
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- recommended by:
- Vierotchka
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tommic
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There can be no arguement, the United States Military has acknowledged both over population and climate change as high potential crisis of the future in this century. The Pentagon scenario planners see both with the potential for armed conflicts over many parts of the globe. Fresh water, resources, refugees from natural disaster which are only going to grow with climate change all part of the crisises they see arising. If what can only be descibed as a conservative group, not known to be tree huggers in the U.S. Military feels this way there is sure to be great credence in it.
- 12 months ago
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tommic
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novalinnhe
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Argh, why are sooooo many people arguing? xD It doesn't matter who says it or who the source is or how you state or argument or which underpants you're wearing - we're messing up the world! Everyone knows that. :)
All we really need is to acknowledge it, adapt the way we live and continue on. It's all you guys arguing that's slowing this whole process down! *laughs* ^_^
P.S. Please be nice, I'm small D: xx
- 12 months ago
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novalinnhe
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hoosierdaddy
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Unfortunately, we live in a world where there's no longer much distinction to be made between reality and science fiction. And I don't mean this in a good way.
- 12 months ago
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hoosierdaddy
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tommic
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Worrying time was a long time ago, many prominent persons and scientists were warning about dramatic and wild swings in weather and climate but all were laughed off as kooks over the course of the last two decades. Now unfortunatly for mankind it is too late. The Arctic is melting faster than ever believed possible. Dynamic air masses now covering areas of the world not visited in thousands of years. Displacement of jet streams resulting in changing weather patterens. Acidifcation of the seas, depletetion of seafood fisheries, droughts where there should not be and deluges where there never were. Yes it's too late, Earth passed its tipping point, as Albert Einstein declared for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, the only problem is Earth reacts a bit slower but once it starts there can be no returning. The damage has been done and thinking geoengineering may solve any of the problems is nothing more than delusional thinking. We are our own worst enemy.
- 12 months ago
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tommic
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kitteneater
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The Malthus theory of overpopulation is incredibly outdated and incorrect. We aren't going to "run out of space"-- the human population can fit (shoulder-to-shoulder) within the state of Texas. Given that 85% of the population lives on less than $1.25 a day, I'd venture to say a growing population "using up resources" is not the problem either.
It's all about the rate of CONSUMPTION. Not growth. It has absolutely nothing to do with population growth. Westernized countries, while having a low or negative rate of population replacement, consume more resources than developing nations.Americans use 75% more water per capita than any other state in the world. Still, the US has a growth rate of about 0.6%, decreasing annually.
Here's an example. Kenya, whose population growth rate is 2.3%, is growing more quickly than the US. But they aren't consuming very much, nor do they create much waste. In fact, 1 Kenyan only consumes 1/32 of what an American consumes. A Kenyan would need to have 31 babies to match one US citizen's level of consumption. But an American citizen would only need to have one child to increase waste output 32 times. Growth rate and consumption do not, as you've been told, share a direct relationship; It is an inverse relationship.
Ladies and Gents, this is actually case of unchecked distribution of goods. It has nothing what so ever to do with population growth.
(Ask me for links, and I'll gladly hand them over)
- 12 months ago
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kitteneater
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Kelly_Balthrop
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kitteneater:
Kitten, if you read Friedman's writing, then you know his main thesis is that as third world countries and China start trying to attain the lifestyle we enjoy in the west, it most assuredly will place constraints on the global supply of resources. If you were trying to make the point that Americans need to consume less, then we both would agree with you.
- 12 months ago
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Kelly_Balthrop
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kitteneater
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Kelly_Balthrop:
I was clearing up the article's ambiguous usage of the word "growth." When used without a modifier, "growth" is commonly equated to "population growth," and Malthus theory. Rate of consumption doesn't usually come into play when people read the word "growth." The point I was trying to make is clearly stated at the bottom of my post-- this is a case of unchecked distribution of goods. Population growth takes a back seat to consumption.
And it's kitteneater. Not Kitten. :p
- 12 months ago
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kitteneater
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Kelly_Balthrop
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Hot, Flat, and Crowded
Why We Need a Green Revolution - And How it Can Renew AmericaThomas L. Friedman's no. 1 bestseller The World Is Flat has helped millions of readers to see globalization in a new way. Now Friedman brings a fresh outlook to the crises of destabilizing climate change and rising competition for energy—both of which could poison our world if we do not act quickly and collectively. His argument speaks to all of us who are concerned about the state of America in the global future.
- 12 months ago
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Kelly_Balthrop
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crystalman
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meanwhile the climate goes on changing indifferent to the leftylib loons.
- 12 months ago
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crystalman
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rustyred
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crystalman:
What I see in this cartoon is a selfless liberal not thinking of only himself in the face of death. Go liberals!
- 12 months ago
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rustyred
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crystalman
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Recommended reading
- 12 months ago
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crystalman
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CreditFigaro
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crystalman:
Those bullet points are more applicable to religion.
- 12 months ago
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CreditFigaro
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crystalman
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Friedman is a no nothing moron. Using him as a source is a sign of desperation.
- 12 months ago
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crystalman
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CreditFigaro
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crystalman:
Do you mean "know nothing?"
Always attacking the source, rather than the argument. Hence your failure to make sense.
- 12 months ago
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CreditFigaro
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ShanePer
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crystalman:
yeah, 3 pullitzers - he's definitely a moron. And way to submit valid arguments to his points. If you want to contribute, please provide some substance. Otherwise, you're part of the problem.
- 12 months ago
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ShanePer
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Johnny_Los_Angeles
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We are living in the Age of Stupid.
- 12 months ago
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Johnny_Los_Angeles
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rustyred
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In the end, it will all boil down to water (no pun intended). The need for potable water. After global warming and human pollution, this resource will soon become scarce. When it does, all hell will break loose on this planet. Wars for oil will look like skirmishes compared to wars over water. By the way, there is very little free potable water left in the world today. Water supplies are owned by both governments and the wealthy. Is it no wonder that water is now sold in bottles all over the world? It will come down to, if you can't pay, you can't have water. However, we could take a tip from the French and just drink wine instead. Oui?
- 12 months ago
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rustyred
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Ricky84
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This is a sloppy article. Friedman confuses the difference between the concept of an ecological footprint and the carrying capacity of a given area. This is from the Global footprint Network, the organization mentioned in the article,
"Carrying capacity is a technical term that refers to the maximum population of a species that a given land or marine area could support. Many species have easily defined and consistent consumption needs, making carrying capacity relatively easy to define and calculate. For humans, however, carrying capacity estimates require assumptions about future per-person resource consumption, standards of living and “wants” (as distinct from “needs”), productivity of the biosphere, and advances in technology. An area’s carrying capacity for humans is thus inherently speculative, and difficult to define.
Ecological Footprint accounts approach the carrying capacity question from a different angle. Ecological Footprints are not speculative estimates about a potential state, but rather are an accounting of the past. Instead of asking how many people could be supported on the planet, the Ecological Footprint asks the question in reverse and considers only present and past years. The Footprint asks how many planets were actually necessary to support all of the people that lived on the planet in a given year, under that year’s standard of living, biological production, and technology. This is a scientific research and accounting question that can be answered through the analysis of documented, historical data sets."
So Friedman is absolutely correct that the world is full so long as humans stop being humans. That means no more evolution, innovation, changing attitudes, practices. That's a ridiculous notion, but hey doom and gloom sells I guess.
- 12 months ago
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Ricky84
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good_stuff
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That is the reason we have to keep 3rd world countries as third worlds. If we can't take their resources, then we'll have to live with less ourselves. Doesn't everyone know this?
Ever heard the statement "if you're not growing you're dying"? At some point growth cannot continue and our systems are not built with that in mind. Look at the ponzi schemes of medicare and social security.
- 12 months ago
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good_stuff
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rodstradamus
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Climate does change. CO2 has little to do with it. Sustainability and alternative energy methods are good, but eliminating people through soft-kill eugenics, taxing and trading carbon dioxide will not alter the weather, but it will make Al Gore and Goldman Sachs rich, so take your eugenics propaganda and shove it Tom Friedman. The only denial is you losers denying the existence of the New World Order. You better turn off the TV and do some research.
- 12 months ago
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rodstradamus
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samthesixth
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rodstradamus:
Thank you!
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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CreditFigaro
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rodstradamus:
Not making much sense, there. Do some research? Climate scientists say the opposite of what you say. They do research for a living.
- 12 months ago
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CreditFigaro
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rodstradamus
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CreditFigaro:
Just like thousands of Architects and Engineers for 9/11 Truth have come out to dispute the "official story" of 9/11, tens of thousands of scientists have come out in protest the hoax theory that CO2 is the main driver for so-called "Global Warming." So this consensus you claim to be the accepted view of science is false. Here's the 2008 UK Telegraph article. Also, watch "Global Warming or Global Governance?" for more insight into this Ponzi Scheme. Its free online.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/2053842/Scientists-sign-petition-denyi... - 12 months ago
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rodstradamus
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Vierotchka
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rodstradamus:
CO2 is one of the main drivers for global warming (which is very real). There are others, mainly methane.
- 12 months ago
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Vierotchka
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Incredulous
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one of my favorite authors V...
+^d - 12 months ago
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Incredulous
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samthesixth
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Tripe and crap. Friedman is only the second biggest idiot to work at NYT. Like his fellow America basher Paul Krugman, this guy is a horse's ass with an overpriced education. He is as wrong a s Paul Ehrlich was.
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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onemalefla [removed]
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samthesixth: This comment was removed by its owner.
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onemalefla [removed]
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samthesixth
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onemalefla:
Funny. I live completely off the grid and own a small organic farm. I am curious as to what steps you have taken to reduce your impact on the fragile ecosystem. I don't think if we all became off the gird and organic farmers that it would make one bit off difference to cool the earth. It's like tapping the top of a soda can that has been flipped upside down in the hopes of keeping from spilling forth when opened.
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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ampersand
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samthesixth:
Given what you've written, I don't understand why you apparently deride the idea and impacts of overpopulation and industrial driven climate change.
- 12 months ago
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ampersand
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Vierotchka
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samthesixth:
Pointing out facts and truths about the US' situation is, in your mind, America Bashing? Sad.
- 12 months ago
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Vierotchka
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samthesixth
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ampersand:
I don't deride them nor do I intend to come across that way. I believe in Lovelock's theory that the earth is a living organism. I believe we are just fleas upon it. We can certainly do what my wife and I have done to decrease the irritants we produce as fleas, but even if all the fleas did it simultaneously, I don't believe we could make a demonstrable and definitive impact that would be enough to "save the planet."
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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samthesixth
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Vierotchka:
No, America bashing is propagating bs about how horrible we are in the world, how having a superpower is dangerous, how if we all sang cumbya and acted more like Europe the world would be a better place and that is sad. I would love to see how these two hypocrites would fare in Teheran, Moscow, Caracas, Bejing, etc.
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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ampersand
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samthesixth:
It is true that our impact as individuals to positively affect planetary environmental outcomes is painfully and absurdly infinitesimal.
It's odd, isn't it, that the havoc we can wreck individually is so many times greater?
One human can burn a hundred thousand acre forest, or order it clear-cut.
It would take one human several lifetimes to plant that many trees.
So here we are.
On a more minor issue, I must say I'm curious about what grievous fault you find with Paul Krugman. - 12 months ago
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ampersand
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samthesixth
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ampersand:
On your first point that is why my wife and I do what we can locally as far as food and energy.
My problem with Krugman is that he is routinely anti American and comes from the school of thought that says either America is not that special a place or we need to be more like our European brethren who are no longer even capable of defending themselves militarily. He clings to outdated Keynesian economics that have proved time and again to be inconsequential at best and exacerbatory at worst. He supported the election of President Obama by writing fluff pieces about him as a candidate but now thinks President Obama is not progressive enough. He perpetuates the corporation benefiting system we have by constantly siding with one party and overlooking the faults of that party, while disingenuously promoting the notion that the parties actually differ when he knows full well Goldman Sachs and the Fortune 100 get paid no matter who is in power.
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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ampersand
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samthesixth:
I appreciate anyone who is making a conscious effort not to continue destroying the planet.
I think you are bit harsh on Krugman, however.
Although you may not agree with his view of economics, which differs from the dominant brutal Chicago School of "supply side" economics we've continue to suffer from today. (And which, by the way, in his studies of economic depression got him a Noble Prize in Economics--a tough world-wide competitive process and not at all like the sometimes politically compromised Noble Peace Prize.)
I think you have to give Krugman credit for being forthright about criticizing major economic players in the economy, including Obama, and detailing why.We have been extraordinarily lucky in the US in having the resources we have. Unfortunately, if a tiny group of people continue to control and monopolize those resources with little or no oversight or regulation, life for 99% of the people in the US will be continue to get bleaker.
Much like the human body, to have a healthy economy you need full circulation of its life-blood. If you want a long-term economy you also need to exercise a similar type of conscious restraint that any living body would.
Psychotic gluttony just isn't a great model for life systems in any form.I must say I detect a bit of chauvinism in your imputed view that the US can learn nothing from European countries.
After all, our culture, and most every system we have in the US (like our systems of law, education, etc.) are European and constantly updated with lesson we observe and learn from in those countries.
I love my place here in the US but I also enjoy Europe and look forward to being there from time to time. It's a great break from the US echo chamber.
In fact. I'll be there next week for quite a while. I'll let you know if I happen across anything I'd recommend we consider adopting. - 12 months ago
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ampersand
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samthesixth
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ampersand:
I agree that the Nobel Prize in economics is a more serious prize than the peace prize.
I acknowledge that he won the prize and that their is an entire school of economic thought that agrees with him (the Keynesians).
I disagree that the policies advocated by the Keynesians have helped. I think they have caused harm and created dependency.
If Krugman stuck more to economic commentary and moved away from Dem talking point Repub bashing, I would respect him more.
Of course we can learn things from the Europeans. But copying economic mistakes that have left them vulnerable militarily and financially is not prudent. Their system is artificially propped up by our bearing the majority of their defense costs. If we adopt their system, who will bear the cost of their and our military?
I too love Europe and graduated from high school in Germany and am always open to new ideas and ways of thinking. If they are doing something right, that we should adopt, by all means we should have the discussion.
- 12 months ago
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samthesixth
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Wyley_Wombat
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Great post. I can see there will be waves of de-Nile and we aren't even in Egypt.
- 12 months ago
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Wyley_Wombat
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Milieu
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Excellent article. Thank you Vierotchka.
I hope that Gilding is correct, but I fear the chaos that will take place when the changeover comes.
- 12 months ago
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Milieu
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ampersand
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Milieu:
Perhaps I've given in to my dark side, but frankly, I find myself agreeing with James Lovelace, in that that the inevitable wave of chaos now beginning to hit the shore, IS the appropriate answer to the toxic systems overdraft we caused, and are swimming in.
- 12 months ago
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ampersand
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letsliveinpeace
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Good article!
- 12 months ago
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letsliveinpeace
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onemalefla [removed]
- This comment was removed by its owner.
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onemalefla [removed]
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letsliveinpeace
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onemalefla:
Awesome video!
- 12 months ago
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letsliveinpeace
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onemalefla [removed]
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letsliveinpeace: This comment was removed by its owner.
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onemalefla [removed]
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thedirtman
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onemalefla:
A movie named accurately indeed.
- 12 months ago
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thedirtman
