S & P Downgrades US Treasuries, DOW Gets Pummeled: Problem
source: http://peacefreedomprosperity.com/5474/s-p-downgrades-us-treasuries-dow-gets-pummeled-problem/
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- shanklinmike
- added this
http://peacefreedomprosperity.com/5474/s-p-downgrades-us-treasuries-dow-gets-pum...
Last week was a bad one for Wall Street. The DOW got pummeled by over 500 points, Standard and Poor’s downgraded the rating on US treasuries, and now no one is quite sure what will happen. Now this is only the tip of the iceberg that many of us have been talking about for almost a year now, but I highly doubt most people even seem to understand the implications involved. Not being satisfied with third hand reports, I downloaded Standard and Poor’s report, and began to see just how messed up things really are.
First of all, the report often makes three assumptions to prevent further downgrading of debt. The first is that the bush tax cuts are removed (or rather allowed to lapse) in 2013. The second is that government spending slows down even more then the new so called budget deal. The third is that the fed raises interest rates. Unfortunately the main body of the report focuses on these things happening to bring forward a ‘best case scenario’. Unfortunately, neither can happen at this point.
To start with, congress didn’t have the backbone to cut spending before. Sure they slowed down the amount of spending taking a savings off of the proposed deal, but it was not nearly enough to meet the bond rating agencies wishes. This happened for two reasons. The first was that the immediate effect of a meaningful cut in deficit spending would mean that many people would not get the government hand outs they were promised – something no one wants to do on a good day – let alone so close to an election. The second was an equal method of political suicide – decreasing tax cuts to increase revenue enough to meet the promised expenditures. This will not change in the future either, so S&P’s idea that it is possible is naïve at best.
As to raising the interest rate, the SP report is very skewed within itself. It states that a plus would be to have the fed incur a loose money policy in a time of monetary tightening (their words not mine). This is foolish because by enacting another round of QEx, the easy money allowed to maintain what the SP sees as a good monetary policy during tight times, will mean an insane amount of money being injected into the bank balance books – on top of the QE2 which has still yet to take full effect as the bankers keep raking it in. Contrary to popular belief, the banks are not only tying up more money than all of the private corporations combined, but and even worse is that government has even more money tied up in promised payouts. This is something Standard and Poor’s did not address in their report.
What I take issue with the most is Standard and Poor’s inferences. It takes into account the slower than expected GDP growth and the increased debt burden. However instead of urging the government to reign in its spending, it encourages it, and follows through with a hint that we need to raise taxes. This is their biggest mistake of all.
What the SP either is forgetting or deliberately leaving out, is that many of our economic woes are from taxes – both corporate and private alike. If these taxes where ever raised to meet government expenditures, then the rate would be far higher than it is now – almost double; and that still would not cover everything. In addition, many businesses have moved their bases of operations overseas just to make it affordable to operate. Should taxes be raised yet again, then even more will go overseas – this creating an even bigger drop in job loss. Less jobs here is less tax revenue, thus making the idea of raising taxes undoable right out of the gate.
However damaging this news is to our bond holders (especially in the future when it gets downgraded again, which will happens as democrats will promise more spending as republicans sign off on it without allowing taxes to go up), it is still pretty petty compared to the much larger issues that will be adding fuel to this fire.
You see as government is able to fund less and less through bond sales, it will need money to cover the difference. QE1 and 2 have already aided in this effort, but still fell drastically short. In addition, the money has not gone to any productive source, but rather into government and big bank balance sheets so that they can keep the toxic assets on their books in an effort to maintain their high prices. This of course is very foolish, and has already allowed money to leak into the private sector allowing the prices to rise across the board. Once QE2 begins to finish piddling out over the next 3-4 months, QE3 will be enacted, and it.................
http://peacefreedomprosperity.com/5474/s-p-downgrades-us-treasuries-dow-gets-pum...
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ReMarker
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To follow this article's proposed solutions is to dilute the strength needed to stop the oligarchs, theocrats, and/or plutocrats.
The Republicans can NOT be stopped by third parties or anarchy. It's that simple, but of course, this article's author probably knows that.
- 10 months ago
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ReMarker
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cwebbpt4
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So in your anarcho-utopia, what exactly is stopping the local, privatized security firm with the most guns and resources from exerting control over other people? Hint** nothing would. It would simply manifest into...GASP...another form of government!
- 10 months ago
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cwebbpt4
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nikonwilly
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The fraud and corruption is finally starting to crumble in on itself...let it fall!
- 10 months ago
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nikonwilly
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ReMarker
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How many times will you post this same article with a different name? Repeated posting will not change its faulty logic or the baby poop shade of yellow of the T-shirts you sell.
- 10 months ago
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ReMarker
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SandyBerman
- This comment was removed as a violation of community guidelines.
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SandyBerman
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bluestranger
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SandyBerman:
The best example of double speak I've seen in a while. Toxic waste bonds are good? When will people learn to quit listening to bean counters? Good catch, Sandy.
- 10 months ago
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bluestranger
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Vic_Romano
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SandyBerman:
What's to say that the ratings agencies aren't lying about our AAA bond rating? It's obvious that they're not to be trusted. But instead of them lying us down, I'm starting to wonder if they've been lying us up for years. And while we still have the power to print our way out of debt, it's becoming increasingly clear to me that our government is becoming ineffective at performing the most mundane of functions.
- 10 months ago
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Vic_Romano
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joynoel
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I think it is very telling that noone talks about the real drain on our resources, the war against terror. I think we would be best served to bring our men home and use the money that we are spending building roads and schools, etc in the Middle East on our own country. Why are the "patriots" of the tea party not yelling about this huge debt burden. Why are we okay with building hospitals in Iraq and not okay with little black or hispanic children using our hospitals here. Is Iraq any more destitute than the Americans who live in Appalachia. THey live in a war zone right in this country. Why don't we just look at the government's checkbook over the past year and examine where the money is really going. Congress is so slick and sneaky in using our funds to give money out to whoever they want and there really is no way we are keeping track.
- 10 months ago
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joynoel
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Sarah_Honea
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http://offering.it
The relationship between government and Graft Street is dysfunctional.lowering taxes is not the way to go. The premise that corporations are moving overseas for the sake of operating costs and expenditures is FALSE as Grannys teeth.
But they are not doing that . All the corpses are doing is sending their companies away on paper. the real movers and shakers are STILL here. They have been doing this in a cycle for decades. 'move' whine, bribe, tax break, legal burdens dropped. Rinse, citizen Amnesia, repeat for the last forty yeas!So while corps have been making out like bandits, we are taking on the burden. They fuck up and we cover their tab. Remember that: THEY FUCK UP-WE PICK UP THE TAB no questions asked.
You cannot run country without revenue. How do you thing roads are going to be built--schools maintained, parks, everything that makes life manageable-- its not the tooth fairy. Its taxes, and the Upper Class and the American Aristocracy have not been paying their fair share for a very long time.
This is why our schools, roads, and emergency services have not been maintained. The police turning into the Samurai Class, and the rest of the 99 percent fighting each other for stale crumbs. If we Obliterated the Pentagons budget by 50 percent or more, we can pay offour debt, have free education and enough left over to start paying off our increasing debt
We as US citizens choose to forget that there is an Aristocracy at OUR OWN PERIL. So please, do not sit down and have a stress pill that HAL 5000 is offering.it does not mean that you will be safe in its taking.
- 10 months ago
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Sarah_Honea
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Vic_Romano
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Two words: Liquidity trap.
- 10 months ago
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Vic_Romano
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JLaughbon
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First of all, Standard & Poor is a joke. I'm not exactly sure why anyone even listens to these guys and judging by the behavior of the DOW, people don't. As the DOW fell, sales of US Treasury Securities went up. Which means, people still trust the US to pay them back. Let's be clear too, S&P is the same rating agency that deemed the toxic mortgage assets as triple A. They said the same thing about Liemann Bro's, AIG and Enron up to a month before they collapsed. It's obvious these individuals are terrible at their job or the government didn't bribe them enough. The DOW, however, is dropping in response to the a global meltdown in the market not specifically to our rating drop. And our rating drop is not based on any kind mathematical equation, it's based on some sort of voodoo analysis of our political discord and our Congressional gridlock when issues arise. One thing does ring true, in regard to the downgrade and our political problems, is that the Tea Party anarchists are certainly changing the way government operates. The rest of the political apparatus need to come to terms with the intentions these morons and be cautious of their motives.
They are obviously not in government to "run" it, they are in government to bring it down.
- 10 months ago
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JLaughbon
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davids80
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JLaughbon:
Two things I have ? about then...
1"The DOW, however, is dropping in response to the a global meltdown in the market not specifically to our rating drop. And our rating drop is not based on any kind mathematical equation, it's based on some sort of voodoo analysis of our political discord and our Congressional gridlock when issues arise." - Given that the global response is from many of the countries that own a great percetnage of US treasuries, I have to question this statement for example. According to the treasury, China alone onwns nearly a Trillion bucks worth. So I am wondering why you said that.2 - "One thing does ring true, in regard to the downgrade and our political problems, is that the Tea Party anarchists are certainly changing the way government operates. The rest of the political apparatus need to come to terms with the intentions these morons and be cautious of their motives." - No - the anarchists are not as they do not participate in the governing bodies. The tea partiers however have changed govt for the time being. Ironically, most of them caved to their House Leader and compromised, leaving less then a handful who actually voted oppose to the debt deal. So in all actuallity, they hve not changed govt one iota - debate - form party lines - compromise - vote....Evn though advocating for less spending is definitely a plus. What would be even better is to deal with the poor spending that already occurs. Anytime the government controls something, it adds cost to it.
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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shanklinmike
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JLaughbon:
First of all, what does Tea Partier mean to you, and what does anarchist mean to you? What do you say about the fact that government is funded through the threat of imprisonment.... that it can tackle peaceful people and throw them in a cage for simply disagreeing...?
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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ThirdSection
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JLaughbon:
I think one reason Treasury Securities went up is anticipation that the rate of interest paid on them will increase as a result of the downgrade.
This leads me to wonder: How many of the people who call the shots at S&P hold Treasury bonds?
- 10 months ago
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ThirdSection
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mizlydia
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I detest that term "toxic assets" as bull$hit doublespeak. They're called LIABILITIES!!!
- 10 months ago
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mizlydia
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sharin
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"that the immediate effect of a meaningful cut in deficit spending would mean that many people would not get the government hand outs "
"What the SP either is forgetting or deliberately leaving out, is that many of our economic woes are from taxes ""You see as government is able to fund less and less through bond sales"
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GOP talking points, allthe "government hand outs" ? as in the monies that WE have put into SS?
"from taxes" !!!!! we do NOT have a spending problem, we have a REVENUE problem
"less through bond sales" ? oh really? then why is it that US treasury bond sales skyrocketed yesterday as common stocks dropped?
- 10 months ago
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sharin
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davids80
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sharin:
Not GOP talking points. The GOP is all about taking money from everyone else to fuel their embargoes, wars, nation building etc. Which all costs a major amount. As to a cut in taxes - well yes, there should be - because the more i get taxed the less money i have to buy biapers for my baby girl, and other necessities for my family. As covered in the article, taxes would have to be almost doubled to meet current govt spending levels, or incur debt.
""less through bond sales" ? oh really? then why is it that US treasury bond sales skyrocketed yesterday as common stocks dropped?"
Because the rest of the world still believes them to be a good buy for now despite the fact that the only way to cover then is to put more money into the system to fund them. Only way to do that is to raise taxes as the govt only provides services - it does not produce anything. Those who did still buy the bonds are doing the old buy low sell high, and hoping it pays off. Unfortunately, this will not be the case. - 10 months ago
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davids80
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davids80
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davids80:
Also - bond sales occuring in one day do not a trend make. However I was giving you the benefit of the doubt on that one. Did you check the US treasury site to see if they were long term/short term? Actually lol, just did that. The long term bond sales fell (of course as they were the ones that were downgraded), and the short term went up. TYpically the longer term has the biggest overall payoff making them preferable to short term. This makes sense then give that the long term bonds are no longer so appealing.
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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shanklinmike
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sharin:
GOP talking points?!? I think you are confused... neocon republicans are actually more aligned with your mentality of pillage and imprison. They too, unlike us, are government supporters. You see, us anarcho-capitalists would never use violence on peaceful people unlike you...
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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sharin
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davids80:
I find is sad that you have such a low opinion of government. We are a country of laws and a UNITED states supposedly pulling together in the direction of the common good of all.
"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence,[note 1] promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America".Governments are established to be governing bodies without which there would be chaos. Our government is, you might say, a "non-profit" organization whose revenue comes from taxes AND: (staight from Wikipedia - ease google search)
"Revenues from sales of state assets
Rents, concessions, and royalties collected by the state when it contracts out the right to profit from some good or service to a private corporation. An example are contracts for resource extraction (for such natural resources as minerals, timber, petroleum and natural gas, or marine resources) collected privately under license from state-owned lands
Fines collected and assets forfeitured as a penalty. Examples include parking fines, court costs levied on criminal offenders
Fees for the granting or issuance of permits or licenses. Examples include vehicle registration plate permits, vehicle registration fees, watercraft registration fees, building fees, driver's licenses, hunting and fishing licenses, fees for professional licensing, fees for visas or passports, fees for demolition, rezoning, and land grading (which causes silt), and sometimes for increasing stormwater runoff, destroying native vegetation, and cutting-down healthy trees.
User fees collected in exchange for the use of many public services and facilities. Tolls charged for the use of toll roads are an example"The GOP in congress have been busy waging war and nation building without raising more revenue but instead ran the debt up and now want to pay for these incurred debts by cutting government services: pay fewer teachers less money, cut expenditures for senior medical care, reduce the food inspection staff of the FDA, don't replace crumbling buildings, roads or bridges etc etc etc.
yes, our taxes support our government, but there are other ways to raise revenues than just to raise tax rates. For instance:
1) how about putting people back to work - more working people, more income taxes.
2) elimination of subsidies to highly profitable energy companies
3) elimination of tax loop holes that allow large profitable corporations to pay NO taxes
4) actually collect those royalties on things like oil and gas
5) the average middle income Joe pays about 22% in taxes and the wealthiest pay 16%( http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/UploadedPDF/412106_federal_income_tax.pdf ), mostly because the bulk of income for the wealthy comes not from wages but from investments of one sort or another which are taxed at a much lower rate - this needs to be correctedthe debts were not incurred in a year, it is unrealistic to think they can and should be paid off in a year - it is a gradual process that doesn't mean doubling our taxes
this author also makes excuses for businesses moving operations overseas - this is NOT because our tax rates are too high but because they can get REALLY cheap labor and then import the goods back to the US without having to pay any tarrifs (free trade agreements)
lastly: "the only way to cover them (Tbonds) is to put more money into the system to fund them" uh, what?!! the purchasers are "fund[ing]" these bonds
- 10 months ago
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sharin
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sharin
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shanklinmike:
because I don't believe as you believe then I am confused?
"mentalty of pillage and imprison" ?
"anarcho-capitalists would never use violence on peaceful people UNLIKE YOU" where exactly do you get that I support any sort of violence?as for "anarcho-capital[ism]" - very eutopic thinking - as if you could get any large group of people to abide by that belief.
here are the two criticisms I find most accurate of your philosophy:Robert Nozick argued in Anarchy, State and Utopia that anarcho-capitalism would inevitably transform into a minarchist state, even without violating any of its own nonaggression principles, through the eventual emergence of a single locally dominant private defense and judicial agency that it is in everyone's interests to align with, because other agencies are unable to effectively compete against the advantages of the agency with majority coverage. Therefore, he felt that, even to the extent that the anarcho-capitalist theory is correct, it results in an unstable system that would not endure in the real world. Paul Birch argues that as in the world today, legal disputes involving several jurisdictions and different legal system will be many times more complex and costly to resolve than disputes involving only one legal system. Thus, the largest private protection business in a territory will have lower costs since it will have more internal disputes and will outcompete those private protection business with more external disputes in the territory. In effect, according to Birch, protection business in territory is a natural monopoly.[1]
A criticism of Rothbard's version of anarcho-capitalism, in which certain fundamental natural rights will be followed, is that in the absence of a state which guarantee such rights, this idea is merely wishful thinking.[8] Critics argue that one can observe private protection organizations in practice in gang wars, where different gangs compete with each other on the same "turf" to "protect" their interests, causing high violence.[3] Another problem is that of externalities, such as pollution.[9] - 10 months ago
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sharin
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kvb1
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The fall in the market has many reasons, but economists have been saying since the Dow went over 10K that the market was over valued. The government's credit rating is meaningless, especially as the government has not only the funds, but the means to raise the funds to pay its debt. What prevents this is the money spent by corporations and the rich to pressure the representatives of ALL the people from raising taxes and closing loopholes.
According to the Washington Post "Tax cuts are estimated to have totaled $2.8 trillion, which we guess would count as “trillions,” as the president put it. Strictly speaking, the two big tax cuts during the Bush years are estimated to total about $1.5 trillion, But many continued into the early years of the Obama presidency, and in December he cut a deal with Republicans to extend them even more, which brings us to $2.8 trillion.
(In case you are wondering, the cost of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars was $1.26 trillion through 2011 and the Medicare prescription drug program totaled $272 billion.)"
$2.8 trillion over ten years is what raising the debt ceiling cost Americans in terms of benefit cuts. Which means that it will cost us $5.6 Trillion over the 20 years the tax cuts will have been in place plus the loss of benefits.
The market was and still is over valued. Corporate stocks in America are over valued, especially when you consider the cost of lost revenue to foreign workers, increased costs of unemployment insurance, medicaid coverage for those who now find themselves economically disadvantaged, and a further reduction in real pay as wages are continually driven down, while corporate management pay continues to raise as does profits.
The gamblers are taking their money out of the game for now, we should stop them from re-entering in the future.
- 10 months ago
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kvb1
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critic [removed]
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Wake up call people - you better start questioning everything, 'cos the lies that are about to come out of D.C. (Devious Criminals) mouths.
- 10 months ago
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critic [removed]
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shanklinmike
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critic:
about to?!? They have been...
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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Polochick09
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Great work Shirk!
- 10 months ago
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Polochick09
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davids80
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Polochick09:
Thanks - now if more people would understand exactly what is going here, things could actually start to really change - except for settling for the same thing over and over again - just like a broken record...
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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Polochick09
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davids80:
but most people believe in government taking care of them... it will be a hard shell to crack.
- 10 months ago
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Polochick09
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shanklinmike
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Polochick09:
That's why I had to post this... just too good. Love it, very informative.
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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davids80
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shanklinmike:
Thing is - will people start believing real facts over the mountains of media and their politicians rhetorical bull?
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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shanklinmike
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davids80:
I think they might call the government on their BS more and more as their pocket book shrinks. Promises won't feed the baby.
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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sharin
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shanklinmike:
and yet you want us to believe the GOP BS rhetoric you have posted here
- 10 months ago
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sharin
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davids80
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sharin:
It is not GOP BS rhetoric, and the sources are cited in the article. This is the second time you have attacked this article without actually debating the content with anything more then name calling and accusations. Just saying.
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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shanklinmike
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sharin:
GOP rhetoric?!? Man, you are so confused it isn't even funny... it's violent people like you (people like you who throw peaceful people in cages for not paying their extortion to the mafia "taxes") who are closer to the GOP than I will ever be... You see, us anarchists would never use violence on peaceful people who simply disagree... unlike you, who support a system which is only funded through such means. You republicans/democrats should be ashamed of yourselves...
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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shanklinmike
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davids80:
When people don't have facts, they turn to name calling... they can't even understand how taxation is a threat of tackling my grandma and throwing her in a cage even if she has never infringed on anyone else.
- 10 months ago
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shanklinmike
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davids80
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I wonder id Moody's is next. I would bet my bottom dollar most other agencies will wait until QE3 is enacted.
- 10 months ago
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davids80
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davids80
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davids80:
and the follow up article: http://peacefreedomprosperity.com/5479/s-p-downgrades-us-treasuries-dow-gets-pum...
- 10 months ago
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davids80
