10 explosive bubbles that will kill capitalism - Paul B. Farrell - MarketWatch
source: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-explosive-bubbles-that-will-kill-capitalism-2012-07-03?p...
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- kennymotown
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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-explosive-bubbles-that-will-kill-...
Well for those who insist that Capitalism is the answer, here's your truth!From a Capitalist no less, this article points out finally what we are headed for. The only answer out of this mess is to tear down the current system it is BROKE!
SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — In mid-2005, three years before Wall Street’s credit meltdown, the Economist warned of the “Biggest Bubble in History.” In five short years after the 2000 dot-com crash property prices across the world had risen an unprecedented 75%. Real estate had become the new dot-com.
In his April 2007 quarterly newsletter, Jeremy Grantham, founder of the $95 billion GMO firm, reinforced the warning: “First Truly Global Bubble, impacting all countries, all assets worldwide.”
By midyear 2007, a deeply concerned Grantham was “watching a very slow motion train wreck.” By October, the “train hits end of track at full speed.” A year later, on schedule, Wall Street’s credit train did crash.
Flash forward: in Grantham’s early 2012 newsletter he saw a bigger train accelerating: When he focused on the “common good, it became quickly apparent that capitalism in general has no sense of ethics or conscience. And probably its greatest weakness is its absolute inability to process the finiteness of resources and the mathematical impossibility of maintaining rapid growth in physical output.”
This we call the Myth of Perpetual Growth, the pseudo-scientific justification for modern capitalism.
Grantham concludes that capitalism’s flaws are so deadly that while it does “a thousand things better than other systems,” it fails in those three crucial areas. And “unfortunately for us all, even a single one of these failings may bring capitalism down and us with it.”
Get it? Capitalism is committing suicide and destroying America too. Here are 10 explosive bubbles that warn of this trend’s accelerating trajectory:
1. Health-care Bubble: Forget court, elections — health care will implode
Dr. Marcia Angell, of the Harvard Medical School, writes in HuffingtonPost: “Why the Court’s Ruling Is Bad for Obama and Bad for American Health Care.”
“The Supreme Court’s decision to uphold Obamacare puts me in mind of the old proverb: Be careful what you wish for.” Why? Angell warns that “with or without Obamacare, the American health system will continue to unravel, quickly if Romney is elected, slowly if Obama is re-elected.”
At 15% of GDP, the highest of all developed nations and destined to go higher, heath-care costs will remain a drag on the economy, especially with 3,300 lobbyists fighting to keep the cost rising.
2. Government Bubble isolates Washington from real America
When will this bubble explode? In a Time feature the “Bubble on the Potomac,” Andrew Ferguson warns, America’s massive debt has created “new affluence flooding the nation’s capital” making Washington society “a world apart from the country it governs,” adding that “this insularity has consequences for the rest of the country.”
The average American may be struggling, but government is “for sale,” in this center of the trillion-dollar government-contracting business, where the federal budget is sold off to the highest bidders. Lobbying is the city’s “biggest business,” with more than 20 lobbyists for every elected official, all publicly advertising the huge benefits they generate, often hundreds of times over an “investment” in their lobbying fees.
3. CEO Pay Bubble up 20% while bank stocks sink as much as 61%
That same mind-set isolates Wall Street. While the average American flat-lines, bank CEOs are doing great. Bloomberg Markets reports that bank “CEO compensation jumped 20.4% in 2011” while “most bank stocks declined.”
Biggest loser? Citibank’s shareholders. Their stock has dropped 61% in three years while CEO Vikram Pandit was paid $14.9 million.
More evidence of America’s growing inequality gap: The Fed says that in the past three years the top 1% gained 2% while our vast middle class lost 39%. In fact, family net worth in 2010 was about the same as 1992.
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- Vierotchka
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jasonwajda
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A Globescan BBC poll on the twentieth anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall (2009) found that 23% of respondents believe capitalism is "fatally flawed and a different economic system is needed", a majority of respondents including over 50% of Americans believe capitalism "has problems that can be addressed through regulation and reform". Of the 27 countries polled, majorities in 22 of them expressed support for governments to distribute wealth more evenly. Socialist parties in the United States reached their peak in the early 20th century. Current active parties and organisations include the Socialist Party USA, the Socialist Workers Party and the Democratic Socialists of America, the latter having approximately 10,000 members. Some of the primary criticisms of socialism are claims that it creates distorted or absent price signals, results in reduced incentives,causes reduced prosperity, has low feasibility, and that it has negative social and political effects. I lean more towards free market capitalism. This story sounds like libetarin socialism propaganda to me. But who I am to stand in the way of the new world socialist movement.
- 5 months ago
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jasonwajda
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ampersand
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I have mixed feeling about responding to this, as "juicy" as it is, as Artemis so aptly observes.
First, I don't think any comment of mine will have any particular effect, or probably any great benefit to others.
Second, my thoughts on this are mostly not very encouraging.
Still...The basic statements here are accurate.
US health care IS rotten. Despite the marketing "happy talk" from Republicans, US health care is far from the "best in the world."
It is corrupt, and psychotically expensive beyond all reason because of its multiple layers of corruption. Its actual services would put most third world countries to shame. The "doctor-patient" relationship is a uniquely constructed hell hole of paranoia and greed.
I can say this having seen health care in many other countries in the world.
I live in the most beautiful place in the US and am happy being here in own bit of sustainable ocean side autarky but I know I must establish an alternate base in a country civilized enough to have good health care at some point soon. Fortunately, there are many countries like that outside our borders.Human greed has found its perfect nesting place in unregulated capitalism but that doesn't mean as overwhelming as the evidence is that we are murdering the planet through mass collective poisoning, the "system" will change.
Socialism isn't going to be happening.
The planets resources are firmly in the hands of the same people who control the financial system, (holding several trillions of dollars of currency and laughing at impotent and impoverished governments around the globe including ours), the legal system, and a world wide array of armies and militarized police forces.
I don't want to be Debbie Downer about this, but wishing and hoping isn't the same as talking a clear look at the balance sheet and seeing who owns, and controls, what.Doubtless my cynicism has grown with the passage of time.
I admire JanforGore's unflagging attempt to educate and stir others to moral action (and I myself support those on the cutting edge of the struggle like Julian Assange), but except for the thin thread of hope provided by science what I mostly see is continued and very fast degradation of the planet; something that I have been witnessing continuously first hand for all of my adult life.I must confess that the very end that the best hope I see is for what most would term disaster.
Except for a very small elite, I do see a continuing economic collapse.
It would be wonderful if all the woggy fundamentalists on the planet suddenly received and benefited from a college level understanding of the issues of human population and climate change and everyone pitched in and saved the planet from the enemy, (as Pogo put it), which is US.
But outside of some very hokey movies, that is not going to be happening.However you label the virus of human greed and human devastation of the planet it is here and its not going away.
At least, that is, until the virus follows the pattern of most plagues. - 5 months ago
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ampersand
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letsliveinpeace
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We will do one of two things: either we become a socialist country or prepare for a crash that will make 1929 look pleasant in comparison. Heath care and Wall Street reform are a start, but we as a people need to enforce a standard of behaviour on all the raging capitalist. Where are they going to go and to whom will they peddle their wares to. I have hope for the working poor as they stand up to Walmart and McDonalds. The taxpayers should not be subsidizing their profits by supplying food stamps and medicaid for them, it's their profits that bleed out our economy.
- 5 months ago
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letsliveinpeace
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kennymotown
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letsliveinpeace:
Very well said! Two thumbs up :)
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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attilatheblond
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Good stuff, Kenny.
Edward Abby boiled it all down: “Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of the cancer cell.”
- 5 months ago
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attilatheblond
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kennymotown
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attilatheblond:
Perfect, and it makes sense!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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MSII
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attilatheblond:
Exactly!
- 5 months ago
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MSII
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Leen61
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Great find, kenny! These 10 things are sounding the alarm for the collapse of the capitalist system. The pure enormity of the obsticals the system has created, will eventually prove it's downfall.
- 5 months ago
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Leen61
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kennymotown
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Leen61:
Thanks!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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Leen61
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kennymotown:
You're welcome!
- 5 months ago
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Leen61
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JanforGore
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Is it capitalism inherently or the corrupted individuals controlling the system? Could you not have corruption in any other type of system as long as the people controlling it are immoral?
- 5 months ago
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JanforGore
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think_more_do_more [removed]
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JanforGore: This comment was removed by its owner.
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think_more_do_more [removed]
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kennymotown
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JanforGore:
I'm sure you could, but I'll take my chances with a government and social system like Denmark's any day. Besides Capitalism cares absolutely nothing of protecting resources and individuals.
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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kennymotown
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think_more_do_more:
I believe Denmark, Sweden, and Germany just to name a few with socialistic leanings have proven it works!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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MSII
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JanforGore:
It's a UN-regulated capitalism, the laissez-faire crony-style capitalism we've DE-volved too. Sane sensible European Social-Democracies have capitalism, but they have the sense and sanity to keep the cancerous-beast properly bound to serve PEOPLE not the corporate-FASCIST pseudo-"persons", the "corporate people" (as enshrined by lunatic court decisions) who would enslave and destroy.
- 5 months ago
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MSII
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MSII
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kennymotown:
Truth!
- 5 months ago
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MSII
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MSII
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kennymotown:
Good sane Social-Democracies!
- 5 months ago
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MSII
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kennymotown
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MSII:
Indeed, it's the only logical end to this madness and they know it! :)
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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MSII
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kennymotown:
...and they'll fight tooth&nail, to their dying breath for their "beliefs" (as opposed to logic&sanity), and for their precious 1%er-corporate-FASCIST-masters.
- 5 months ago
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MSII
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kennymotown
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MSII:
Yup!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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attilatheblond
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JanforGore:
Well, the malfeasance of some who reach for, and attain, power have managed to screw up any system, up to and including, the worthwhile teachings of that Christ guy. Yep, when human beings get involved, there will be corruption of any system.
The only defense, and it is always threatened, is cultures which will not tolerate corruption beyond some point. Sadly, that doesn't seem to describe any of the dominate cultures at this point in time.
- 5 months ago
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attilatheblond
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artemis6
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kennymotown:
It is a great improvement . We need to act fast a radically to save the planet .
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
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artemis6
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attilatheblond:
I think the monetary system is largely to blame ... it opens the opportunity to DETACH AND HOARD , in vast amounts , that other systems such as time banking do NOT . Being in the Oppressor class , the aristocracy spawns a dangerous narcissistic/sadistic mentality . It views all nouns as things to posses , people included . They are Human havings , they cannot experience their own BEING-NESS . They are empty inside . Without possesions they would loose contact with the world . Eric Fromm , who survived a concentration camp has observed this phenomenon . They cannot relate to life on a fundamental level , so this relationship , is replaced by death with the interval of dehumanizing and disconnected "thingness" . Take the money AWAY . This will give us at least a fighting chance , if not far better .
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
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kennymotown
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artemis6:
Agree!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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attilatheblond
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artemis6:
Lose coinage? Ah, then the king has no power.
Yeppers, I personally have been advocating basing the economy on the oatmeal cookie standard since I was oh, 17 or so. Nobody is gonna hoard much that way, and if inflation gets too bad, we get to eat the money.
- 5 months ago
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attilatheblond
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Forgotten_Echo
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JanforGore:
And yet, once again, you have hit it head-on! Regardless of whatever system may be in place, the corruption of individuals seem to find a way to unravel any benefit to a society overall, solely for the benefit of those that are corrupted.
- 5 months ago
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Forgotten_Echo
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think_more_do_more [removed]
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kennymotown: This comment was removed by its owner.
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think_more_do_more [removed]
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JanforGore
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kennymotown:
It's the people who need to care regardless of the system.
- 5 months ago
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JanforGore
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kennymotown
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JanforGore:
Well yes, of course! :)
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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kennymotown
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think_more_do_more:
One of the best story's over the last few years in Denmark is the fact they had to close 2 of their prisons because not enough inmates!
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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artemis6
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attilatheblond:
I used to calculate my finances in terms of Pizzas ... but cookies are good too .... may be even better !
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
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artemis6
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Oh , this is a juicy one ....
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
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kennymotown
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artemis6:
Right from a Capitalist mouth, the true story of where Capitalism is taking us, on it's race to the bottom.
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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kennymotown
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4. Inequality Bubble now at 1929 level, warning of end of capitalismNobel economist Joseph Stiglitz shines in his new book “The Price of Inequality:” “America likes to think of itself as a land of opportunity,” he writes in Project Syndicate. But while we all have individual examples “what really matters are the statistics: to what extent do an individual’s life chances depend on the income and education of his or her parents?”
And unfortunately, today the “numbers show that the American dream is a myth … the gap’s widening.” Since 2008 “the top 1% of U.S. income earners captured 93% of the income growth. … The clear trend is one of concentration of income and wealth at the top, the hollowing out of the middle, and increasing poverty at the bottom.”
5. Debt Bubble: Debt-ridden college grads selling burgers, lattes
For more evidence of the gap see the amazing cover on Utne, a cartoonish Albert Einstein serving a McDonald’s hamburger special: “Fries with that? What’s a college degree worth these days?” Not much.
And in Good magazine’s “Minimum Rage,” many stories about grads handicapped by college debt. We’re killing our competitive future: 27-year-old NYU grad “Emily Sanders has been a waitress or bartender, on and off, for almost a decade. … She has no health insurance, no 401(k), and a pathetic savings account. Most days, she gets to her first job at noon and leaves her second after midnight. If she’s sick but a little short on cash, she downs some DayQuil and goes into work anyway.”
6. Global Jobless Bubble: Governments warned, revolutions coming
In “The Fallen,” Rolling Stone’s Jeff Tietz gives us another snapshot of capitalism’s accelerating train wreck: A “sharp, sudden decline of America’s middle class … They had good stable jobs, until the recession hit. Now they’re living out of their cars in parking lots.”
Time used a wider-angle lens on the new global “Jobless Generation” where “tens of millions of young people are unemployed.” This is bigger than Arab Spring and OWS. Governments are warned: Figure out “how to get them jobs before they become unemployable — and erupt in fury.”
But if Grantham’s right, governments won’t act till it’s too late, and anticapitalism revolutions sweep the planet.
7. Oil Bubble: New oil crisis will trigger new Arab Springs
Financial advisers say invest in emerging markets, the “new normal” for U.S. stock returns is too low. Maybe not: Foreign Policy’s Steve Levine warns that petro-rulers worldwide are watching the price of oil “plunge at a rate they have not experienced since the dreaded year 2008. Industry analysts are using phrases such as ‘devastation’ and ‘severe strain’ to describe what’s next,” possibly a “fresh round of Arab Spring-like” revolutions, “the nightmare scenario” for oil dictators.
8. Risk Bubble: U.S. recovery threatened by global economic risks
Writing in Project Syndicate, Stephen Roach, former Morgan Stanley chairman, warns that since 2008 “the U.S. economy has been on a weak recovery trajectory.” Why? The American consumer went cold “in the aftermath of the biggest consumption binge in history.”
Since then “exports have accounted for 41%” of America’s rebound, with a whopping 83% of our export growth from Asia, Latin America and Europe. But since all three are now “in trouble, the U.S. could be quick to follow.”
9. Slow-Growth Bubble: New normal is anemic returns, austerity
Listen closely: Over 200,000 financial advisers across America already heard this report. Advisers have been warned to start “preparing clients for a low-return reality,” code for a new normal and austerity: “Slow economic growth, modest and selective improvements in equities, and interest rates remaining low.”
Get it? “Anemic growth in the second half,” with huge risks ahead. In fact, individual investors and American capitalism alike will face three doomsday scenarios in the near term: The Euroland crises, America’s post-election “fiscal cliff” and the risk of global recessions in emerging markets.
10. Capitalism Bubble: selfishness weakens our role as a leader
“The world is in a state of drift, transition or even increasing chaos,” writes Brent Scowcroft in the recent National Interest. Scowcroft’s a retired Air Force General and Bush-41 National Security Adviser.
In an update to his 1998 book, “A World Transformed,” Scowcroft says, “once we were viewed as trying to do our best for everyone: now we are seen a being preoccupied with our own special interests,” a myopic vision that reflects the trend among many politicians to govern using Ayn Rand’s extreme capitalism.
Now you know why Grantham warns of capitalism’s total lack of “ethics or conscience” and “its absolute inability to process the finiteness of resources and the mathematical impossibility of maintaining rapid growth in physical output.”
No moral compass. No vision of the future. No grasp of the consequences of their short-term thinking. These three threats are merging into a critical mass that will trigger a scenario that will “bring capitalism down and America with it.”
Bottom line: America’s new Ayn Rand style of extreme capitalism is self-destructive.
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- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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artemis6
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kennymotown:
I feel the change coming ... and this time there is no FDR to save them ... from themselves . This time We will . capitalism , is already dead . I have noticed the very clever are switching quietly to resources ...
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
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kennymotown
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artemis6:
Yes, and the only real way for the people too survive will be a much larger form of Socialism and collective.
- 5 months ago
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kennymotown
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artemis6
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kennymotown:
indeed !
- 5 months ago
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artemis6
