Green | March 29, 2012 | 39 comments

A Message From A Republican Meteorologist On Climate Change

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JanforGore
Acknowledging Climate Change Doesn’t Make You A Liberal
by Paul Douglas, via neorenaissance

I’m going to tell you something that my Republican friends are loath to admit out loud: climate change is real.

I am a moderate Republican, fiscally conservative; a fan of small government, accountability, self-empowerment, and sound science. I am not a climate scientist. I’m a meteorologist, and the weather maps I’m staring at are making me uncomfortable. No, you’re not imagining it: we’ve clicked into a new and almost foreign weather pattern. To complicate matters, I’m in a small, frustrated and endangered minority: a Republican deeply concerned about the environmental sacrifices some are asking us to make to keep our economy powered-up, long-term. It’s ironic.

The root of the word conservative is “conserve.” A staunch Republican, Teddy Roosevelt, set aside vast swaths of America for our National Parks System, the envy of the world. Another Republican, Richard Nixon, launched the EPA. Now some in my party believe the EPA and all those silly “global warming alarmists” are going to get in the way of drilling and mining our way to prosperity. Well, we have good reason to be alarmed.

Weather 2.0. “It’s A New Atmosphere Floating Overhead.”
These are the Dog Days of March. Ham Weather reports 6,895 records in the last week – some towns 30 to 45 degrees warmer than average; off-the-scale, freakishly warm. 13,393 daily records for heat since March 1 – 16 times more warm records than cold records. The scope, intensity and duration of this early heat wave are historic and unprecedented.

And yes, climate change is probably spiking our weather.

“Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get.” 129,404 weather records in one year? You can’t point to any one weather extreme and say “that’s climate change”. But a warmer atmosphere loads the dice, increasing the potential for historic spikes in temperature and more frequent and bizarre weather extremes. You can’t prove that any one of Barry Bond’s 762 home runs was sparked by (alleged) steroid use. But it did increase his “base state,” raising the overall odds of hitting a home run. A warmer atmosphere holds more water vapor, more fuel for floods, while increased evaporation pushes other regions into drought.

snip
Acknowledging Climate Science Doesn’t Make You A Liberal
My climate epiphany wasn’t overnight, and it had nothing to do with Al Gore. In the mid-90s I noticed gradual changes in the weather patterns floating over Minnesota. Curious, I began investigating climate science, and, over time, began to see the thumbprint of climate change, along with 97% of published, peer-reviewed PhD’s, who link a 40% spike in greenhouse gases with a warmer, stormier atmosphere.

Bill O’Reilly, whom I respect, talks of a “no-spin zone.” Yet today there’s a very concerted, well-funded effort to spin climate science. Some companies, institutes and think tanks are cherry-picking data, planting dubious seeds of doubt, arming professional deniers, scientists-for-hire and skeptical bloggers with the ammunition necessary to keep climate confusion alive. It’s the “you can’t prove smoking cigarettes causes lung cancer!” argument, times 100, with many of the same players. Amazing.

Schopenhauer said “All truth goes through three stages. First it is ridiculed. Then it is violently opposed. Finally it is accepted as self-evident.” We are now well into Stage 2. It’s getting bloody out there. Climate scientists are receiving death threats and many Americans don’t know what to believe. Some turn to talk radio or denial-blogs for their climate information. No wonder they’re confused.

“Actions Have Consequences.”
Trust your gut – and real experts. We should listen to peer-reviewed climate scientists, who are very competitive by nature. This is not about “insuring more fat government research grants.” I have yet to find a climate scientist in the “1 Percent”, driving a midlife-crisis-red Ferrari into the lab. I truly hope these scientists turn out to be wrong, but I see no sound, scientific evidence to support that position today. What I keep coming back to is this: all those dire (alarmist!) warnings from climate scientists 30 years ago? They’re coming true, one after another – and faster than supercomputer models predicted. Data shows 37 years/row of above-average temperatures, worldwide. My state has warmed by at least 3 degrees F. Climate change is either “The Mother of All Coincidences” – or the trends are real.

My father, a devout Republican, who escaped a communist regime in East Germany, always taught me to never take my freedom for granted, and “actions have consequences.” Carbon that took billions of years to form has been released in a geological blink of an eye. Human emissions have grown significantly over the past 200 years, and now exceed 27 billion tons of carbon dioxide, annually. To pretend this isn’t having any effect on the 12-mile thin atmosphere overhead is to throw all logic and common sense out the window. It is to believe in scientific superstitions and political fairy tales, about a world where actions have no consequences – where colorless, odorless gases, the effluence of success and growth, can be waved away with a nod and a smirk. No harm, no foul. Keep drilling.
snip

Biblical Scripture: “We Are Here to Manage God’s Property”
I’m a Christian, and I can’t understand how people who profess to love and follow God roll their eyes when the subject of climate change comes up. Actions have consequences. Were we really put here to plunder the Earth, no questions asked? Isn’t that the definition of greed? In the Bible, Luke 16:2 says, “Man has been appointed as a steward for the management of God’s property, and ultimately he will give account for his stewardship.” Future generations will hold us responsible for today’s decisions.

snip
The climate is warming. The weather is morphing. It’s not your grandfather’s weather anymore. The trends are undeniable. If you don’t want to believe thousands of climate scientists – at least believe your own eyes: winters are warmer & shorter, summers more humid, more extreme weather events, with a 1-in-500 year flood every 2-3 years. For evidence of climate change don’t look at your back yard thermometer. That’s weather. Take another, longer look at your yard. Look at the new flowers, trees, birds, insects and pests showing up outside your kitchen window that weren’t there a generation ago.

This is a moral issue. Because the countries least responsible will bear the brunt of rising seas, spreading drought and climate refugees. Because someday your grandkids will ask what did you know…when…and what did you do to help? We’ve been binging on carbon for 200 years, and now the inevitable hangover is setting in. Curing our addiction to carbon won’t happen overnight. But creative capitalism can deal with climate change. I’m no fan of big government or over-regulation. Set the bar high. Then stand back and let the markets work. Let Americans do what they do best: innovate.

snip
We don’t have much time. Earth Day is April 22, but every day is Earth Day. Native Americans remind us of the sacred responsibility we have for all those who come next:

“We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors…we borrow it from our children.”

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39 comments // A Message From A Republican Meteorologist On Climate Change

  • Tayllerand
    • -1
      Tayllerand  
    • I don't want to upset anybody here but I hear that the government is going to make illegal, if people deny global warming aka climate change.

    • 1 year ago
  • Kelly_Balthrop
    • +2
      Kelly_Balthrop  
    • I too was a moderate republican a few years back; like the author, I was a fiscal coservative that always thought we should be good stewards of the Earth. After the Republican party went all wacko, I swithched sides, stopped drinking the cool aid (watching Fox), and woke up to the reality around me. I laugh at the stupid shit I used to believe.

    • 1 year ago
  • savroD
    • -1
      savroD  
    • Kelly_Balthrop:

      Admirable admission and position to take. Congratulations!

      Now, you have to start reading and accepting the science which will mean the difference long term to our survival, and survival of our childrens childrens children. For exampe, we certainly can't pray an asteroid off course!

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
  • jimstoner
    • +1
      jimstoner  
    • How many times can this Paul Douglas guy contradict himself in one message? First he says "acknowledging climate change does not make you a liberal", then he says " Republicans are loath to admit it". Next he tells us about his respect for Bill O'reilly, and in the very next sentence tells us how O'reilly is part of a well funded effort to spin (fancy way of saying lie) about climate change using the same scientists that lied about big tobacco. Then he tells us about the three stages of truth, that we are in stage two, and scientists are being threatened by Americans who do not want to believe. Sure they are being threatened. By conservative Americans. Next he tells us to trust the experts when he knows full well the conservative clarion call is anti-science. Next he tells us that man is supposed to be stewards of the Earth. That's liberal. Man has domain over the Earth. That's conservative. Finally he tells us that this is a moral issue. By what stretch of the imagination does he think conservatives would ever think of climate change as a moral issue. Wrong Paul Douglas, you do have to be a liberal to acknowledge climate change. He says "This isn't your grandfather's weather anymore". That's right. What Paul Douglas needs to understand more, is this is not his father's conservative Republican party anymore.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • jimstoner:

      "Next he tells us that man is supposed to be stewards of the Earth. That's liberal. Man has domain over the Earth. That's conservative."

      No, that's the problem. And people who perpetuate that are part of the problem. Seems there are just as many liberals as there are conservatives who when challenged to push their biases aside to work with others for the betterment of this Earth simply can't do it.

    • 1 year ago
  • jimstoner
    • +2
      jimstoner  
    • JanforGore:

      What are you talking about. Man is one of the few creatures who can affect the environment the way we do. If conservatives wanted to give the E.P.A. more power, I'm sure liberals would be more than willing to work with them. If conservatives wanted to put more safeguards on the way large corporations go about treating the environment I am willing to bet liberals would be right there with them. We as liberals don't have to do a thing to change our attitudes toward the Earth and the environment. It's not up to us to try to work with conservatives. It's up to us to stop them. Man being stewards of the Earth is liberal. Man having domain over the Earth is conservative. I heard a conservative say it's their right to rape the earth if they want to. You can't work with that.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +2
      JanforGore  
    • jimstoner:

      If that were true Obama wouldn't have stood in Cushing Oklahoma touting a destructive oil policy to suit the very Republicans in Congress working to destroy the environment. You are doing just what many of them do. Generalizing to suit your own political biases. That's what I am talking about. Not every Republican is a conservative who hates the environment. I know people who are Republicans who care about this planet as I do. I also know Democrats who care very much for this planet as well and don't base that love and care on a political label... and that is what we need to do now... draw out all Americans regardless of political label to raise their voices to demand that this government address this crisis NOW.

      That is what Paul Douglas called for, so why aren't you agreeing with that? Because he is a republican and you can't get beyond your own politcal biases to even agree with him? All you did was rip the article apart. We won't get to any real solutions of substance by continuing that petty bs. This man wrote truth about the state of our climate and stated to his fellow Republicans that this is real and they need to hear that and understand it. I don't agree with all he said either regarding Bill O'Reilly, etc., but he's right on this and maybe, just maybe if enough republicans like him start speaking out about this the tide can turn.

      I am not talking about RW oilogues in this Congress who are bought and sold. I am tallking about Americans out here who need to understand this and start speaking out like this man did to hold them accountable. But it won't happen if people on both sides continue to put up these political roadblocks all for their precious partisan politics which has actually been the chief reason why this crisis has now gotten to the point it has. If we can get 1 million Americans of all political persuasions to sign a petition to the FDA to label GMOs, there is also hope that we could get a million Americans of all political persuasions to understand they need to speak out about climate change now. We can't do it otherwise. However, if you prefer to stay in the world where your political label is more important than reaching out to try to do something about this on a human level, that's your prerogative. Any republicans who step forward like this to let it be known that we must do something about climate change are doing something that needs to be done now, and I for one we hope we see more of it.

    • 1 year ago
  • jimstoner
    • +1
      jimstoner  
    • JanforGore:

      I agree with everything you are saying. The trouble is you will never get conservatives or the conservative minded American to go along with any of that. I like the fact that this rare conservative said the things he said about climate change. I was pointing out his contradictions. He actually said he admires Bill O'Reilly and then said he knew full well the man was involved in an effort to lie to the American people. How can you admire a man that you know is lying to the public. You say not every conservative is a Republican that hates the environment. Then show me one, other than this man, who is calling out the Republicans for their stand on global climate change. I didn't say they hate the environment, I said they think the environment was there to use as they see fit come what may. You talk about the Democrats under Obama having an oil policy that seems to suit the Republicans. Sure he does. 30 years of trying to work with conservatives in Washington has turned the Democratic party into Republican light. Trying to work with conservatives in Washington over the last 30 years has accomplished nothing but to dismantle almost every liberal institution in the country. What has working with Republicans on the healthcare issue done for Obama? The very thing they are beating him over the head with is a mandate of their creation. The conservative group The Heritage Foundation are the ones that pushed for the mandate, and now the conservatives are using it to try to bring the President down. The reason the United States is in the trouble it is in is because people think they can work with conservatives. You can't. If you try to compromise with them to get something done they will give you hand grenades disguised as flowers. I was not trying to rip the article apart. I was pointing out his contradictions and the fact that the incredible rarity of a single conservative claiming he knows that climate change is real does not mean you don't have to be a liberal to acknowledge it. Sure you can find conservatives saying they believe in global climate change. And this one seems to know it's man made. How many more do you think you will find that think, or are willing to admit to that? Especially in Washington. Maybe you don't have to be liberal to acknowledge climate change. You do have to be liberal to admit why it's happening and want to do something about it. In my opinion.

    • 1 year ago
  • savroD
    • 0
      savroD  
    • jimstoner:

      Interesting points; however, it remains to be seen what long term impact humans will have on the planet, much less the solar system, the galaxy, and ultimately the universe. Humans are too enamoured of themselves. They either think their the only most important life put here by their invisible imaginary plaything; Or, aliens can't wait to get here to see what's in our bowels!

    • 1 year ago
  • coolplanet
    • 0
      coolplanet  
    • savroD:

      This is not about our impact on the solar system, galaxy or universe.
      It is about our impact on our precious little planet Earth.
      Space aliens are not a part of this plot.

    • 1 year ago
  • savroD
  • coolplanet
  • Steamed_N_More
    • +2
      Steamed_N_More  
    • Image
    • I always appreciate a convert to reality, regardless of how it happens. Opponents to climate change are powerful and influential, but evidence is choking off even their supporters. In business terms, the cost of recent events surpass Insurance industries ability to honor policies in a reasonable way and in the expected manner. Property owners see significant premium increases. Why? Because the changes required are promoted as fiction and irrational panic by the organiztions sponsored by the carbon fuel industry.

    • 1 year ago
  • thedirtman
    • +2
      thedirtman  
    • Fox news viewers are trained to listen to all the wrong sources of information. They get their climatology from economists. They get their biology from their bartender. They get their religion from the television set. They get their chemistry from the garden shop at Walmart. Etcetera.

      But, I respect conservative scientists that have earned their position, and have not been appointed for their political views.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +4
      JanforGore  
    • thedirtman:

      Then it is the duty of those who know the science and the reality of this to start winning the conversation and to stop using Fox as their excuse to be silent and allowing them to continue lying. I really wish we could see that. Where are their climate change lies being vocally challenged? Current could do that if they had an environmental/science show because climate change isn't really even mentioned much at all on any of their current political shows, even though Al Gore has correctly stated none of the candidates (including Obama) are discussing it. Maybe they would have no choice if we make them.

    • 1 year ago
  • savroD
    • -3
      savroD  
    • While I respect him attempting a common sense approach, he lost me when he admitted being a christian and using the bible as a reason to do the right thing. Listen folks.... you don't do your duty on the floor in your homes; and, you shouldn't do it with CO2 to our atmosphere either, climate change or not. Case closed!

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +3
      JanforGore  
    • savroD:

      If he believes the Bible speaks to him in regards to being a good steward of this Earth so what? It is better and actually refreshing to see someone say that as opposed to the RWers who use it as an excuse to trash this planet and murder people in the name of God. Just as knowing the facts and seeing the urgency of climate change does not automatically make you a liberal, being a Christian does not automatically make you a RW zealot and extremist who uses it like extremists of all religions use them for their own ends. Granted, I do not believe in the old testament of the Bible and really do not use the Bible at all as my guide to life (the Gnostic Gospels are more inspirational to me) but if this man claims that there are passages or words in it that inspire him to actually be a better person who are we to judge that? I don't have to believe or even read any of the books that religions have such as the Torah, Bible or Koran but I certainly respect anyone's right to believe in them just as I believe it is someone's right to not believe in any of them or even God. Again, putting up roadblocks to actually working together to solve this crisis which affects us all, will doom us.

    • 1 year ago
  • LivingPong
    • +2
      LivingPong  
    • savroD:

      If it motivates people to treat others and their environment with respect I can't see any harm in it. As long as people admit to themselves that waiting for problems to solve themselves is pretty foolish, then they can do something about it.

      Observable and scientific evidence is overwhelming, only the problem of people unwilling to act remains. Doing nothing is no solution at all, merely but a cop out that people use when they refuse to acknowledge a substantial problem.

      Theology and science are two completely different subjects and theologians would be wise to not step into shoes that don't fit. However they do have a responsibility to speak up for the natural environment and the protection of it's future, without which precious life would not exist.

      There are a large number of options to solve the problems we face, yet still short sighted, short term financial gain and an old way of doing things are the prime driver behind the thinking of old oil/gas men, their investment and their public relations. Now if they weren't so stubborn and finally accepted they were steering a sinking ship they would not find themselves wearing the blame. Change course, avoid the looming iceberg, then wise up and realise it's time to adopt new technology, a new attitude or find yourself relegated to history by much smarter and sleeker craft. What's still amazing is that people actually want to climb on and support something that is obviously going to the bottom. There are plenty of ruins of civilisations that may not of seen what was on the horizon, we don't need to end up as another.

    • 1 year ago
  • savroD
  • savroD
  • Vierotchka
  • JanforGore
  • Progresshiv
  • JanforGore
    • +3
      JanforGore  
    • Progresshiv:

      I live not far from water either and NYC is slated to be one city feeling the effects of sea level rise. The island of Manhattan is actually not far in difference regarding being above sea level in comparison to the Maldives. It is already happening here however slight but at the rate we are going, in twenty years those with beachfront property will not have the choices they now have.

    • 1 year ago
  • Progresshiv
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • Progresshiv:

      Oh, I missed that. I will have to go to the CBS site to view it. Thank you for mentioning it. And yes, Mr. Nasheed is a great man. A true fighter for all that is good. I truly respect him for all he has been through and what he continues to do.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +3
      JanforGore  
    • JanforGore:

      Addition:

      I have to post this now. One of the few presidents of the world (I still consider him a president even though he was deposed in a coup) who actually used his voice as a president on climate change to bring about change. We need to see more of that too.

    • 1 year ago
  • coolplanet
    • +3
      coolplanet  
    • "These are the Dog Days of March. Ham Weather reports 6,895 records in the last week – some towns 30 to 45 degrees warmer than average; off-the-scale, freakishly warm. 13,393 daily records for heat since March 1 – 16 times more warm records than cold records. The scope, intensity and duration of this early heat wave are historic and unprecedented."

      I hope this is what it takes to change peoples minds and take serious action.
      It will only get worse until we do.

    • 1 year ago
  • coolplanet
    • +2
      coolplanet  
    • coolplanet:

      "...warnings from climate scientists 30 years ago? They’re coming true, one after another – and faster than supercomputer models predicted."

      Perhaps his most important point.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
  • chew_chew
  • JanforGore
  • JanforGore
  • JanforGore
    • +6
      JanforGore  
    • If only the republicans in Congress bought by the fossil fuel industry would listen to people even in their own party... perhaps if republicans who are aware of the science voted their consciences as well and voted these oil whores and deniers out we might make some progress in working to address this in order to give a better future to our children. This is not or should not be a political issue, but making it one is one of the biggest obstacles to addressing it or even talking about it. It is a moral issue. I know people on all sides of the political spectrum are in agreement on this, but we will not move those who need to be moved until we put the political biases aside to see how this is really affecting our lives now and demand change as one voice. I give props to Mr. Douglas for writing this. We all have to live on this Earth together.

    • 1 year ago
  • coolplanet
    • +3
      coolplanet  
    • Image
    • JanforGore:

      I find this chart from DeSmogBlog fascinating.
      Back in the 1970s liberals and conservatives had equal respect for science. Look what happened after Reagan!
      The most interesting thing is that moderates have always had a distrust of science according to the polls.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +2
      JanforGore  
    • coolplanet:

      Yes, I really think the key to this is to make Americans of all politics understand that we are all affected by this. I remember the day when there was bi-partisanship on the environment and we got good things done for this country. It is imperative we go there again, and those who continue to stall progress on meeting this climate challenge on any side ( but yes it is moreso Republicans) need to be voted out of office.

    • 1 year ago
  • MSII
    • +1
      MSII  
    • coolplanet:

      Their holy-saint-reagan-the-mad was the single worst thing to happen to amerika in living memory - no single thing or person has done more long term harm.

    • 1 year ago
  • coolplanet
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