In this "Politically Direct 2012" preview special, Cenk Uygur, Michael Shure, Ben Mankiewicz and Brian Unger give their predictions for which candidate will win in the Iowa caucus.
Click here to see more videos and the transcript of our live chat.
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ladamyre
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Ben is right, IMO, but for a reason not clearly stated. Romney, if he wins tonight, is going to be the nominee for the simple reason that republicans will, after his victory, be thinking about one thing only, electability. All the vaunted conservative principles will go out the window when that electorate realizes that the party can cast Romney as a softer, gentler moderate candidate in the general election next November.
It's the same formula Bush 43 used in 2000, and the republicans understand it well and will move to Romney immediately, if he wins tonight. If he wins tonight, Super Tuesday will be a Romney landslide. (afterthought) That is, if it isn't a huge Romney landslide in New Hampshire (60%), in which case the race will already be over before Super Tuesday.
- 5 months ago
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ladamyre
