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akamaial
The members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee are not optimistic about a quick turnaround for the U.S. economy.

The group released predictions for 2009-2011 from its January meeting--done to "provide the public with information about their views of likely longer-term economic trends."

The committee members said the economy has gotten worse since October, when their last projection were made, and that recovery from this recession would take longer than previous downturns.

IMAGINE THAT ?
No shit Sherlock, what gave you the first clue?
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18 comments // UNUSUALLY PROLONGED RECOVERY ?

  • sammysoul
    • 0
      sammysoul  
    • It's funny to see how the opponents of the stimulus bill now rail against government spending while we are actually in an emergency where this sort of spending is recommended by all mainstream economists.
      Where were these protectors of the tax payer when the Bush administration spent trillions for an unnecessary war, decrease taxes for the wealthy class, gave out no-bid contracts to corporate cronies, have the oil execs write energy bills, etc.?
      You can make your comments as long as you want, but you have simply lost your credibility.

    • 3 years ago
  • nursediesel
    • 0
      nursediesel  
    • By the government using our tax dollars to give to businesses that do not have to deal with the people actually paying them(the business') for their failures makes the money impersonal. There is no stigma attatched, no responsibility. It matters not to them (government nor the businesses) that John Doe and his wife and 2.5 children are struggling to pay bills and groceries and clothes and taxes... are getting nothing in return for the senseless spending spree the government is on is sinful, discusting and down right illegal.

    • 3 years ago
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • Scarabus writes,

      "No academic historian could maintain credibility among the majority of his/her colleagues if she/he decided in advance how the story should come out and then cherry picked data to make that dishonesty sound credible."

      Very careful wording there, sir

      Do we all agree that systemic corruption covers both halves of the political divide? Do we see that the creation of lies by people who know better, but who are paid to misrepresent the meaning of actual events - is wrong? In better times such people might resist, as journalists or academic specialists, but not now..All present in the corporate cesspool must conform to expectations embedded in their job description.

      Our only rival to our brand of Procrustes Bed rant, the tailor-made idiocy of declaring proof based on political dictates, is Beijing and the CCP. Prior to that it was Moscow. Before that Berlin, Rome, and so on.

      What those others did, however patriotic it seemed, was more openly called, "Propaganda.".

      Want a scientific research grant today? It's back to the days of Galileo, isn't it?

      A shift rightwards largely predetermines what you may say in print. Instead of collecting irrefutable evidence, the newbie first determines what is 'acceptable discovery' to others. Next, care is taken (to satisfy those who hold the purse) that no waves will be made, because those who control the process, also hold a newbies' career in their grasp.

      Fail to conform and that job at NASA is toast. Declare global warming ain't no hoax and the EPA brass may not need your counsel further, until another President sweeps away the zealots, assuming he can..

      The joke today about being 'politically correct' is that the trend covers both sides of debate. On the left it's passive, snooty, and Puritanical - thou mustn't!

      On the right, it gets sillier and more dangerous quicker. Standard of proof too often consists of a circularity - 'I don't care what the facts are because whatever I believe must be true!' Asked to elaborate an authority figure whose work they neither understand nor could hope to accomplish by themselves - will be cited with religious reverence..

      'I have a prejudiced belief and so-and-so sort of agrees, therefore end of argument.' That's all it takes.

      Typically the right [once a bastion of eloquence, caution and deference, witness Buckley Sr.] jumps first to personal attacks, slander, libel, defamation, character assassination. If that doesn't work it's incitement to riot, insurrection and homicide.

      Their new conception that facts first must satisfy prejudices, treats any disagreement in the most off the wall manner - e.g Ike was a Commie.

      Had either side been willing to meet half way, who knows, we might have a stable country again. But we don't. Nearly half the population seems perfectly content to stand by their favorite economic fictions to bankrupt us all. 'That'll learn em! Don't you dare mess with God's word in the holy koran of economic doctrine.'

      Pity. Nobel winners or not, Economics, like Politics and Philosophy before it, was and is, theological. It simply isn't up to the scientific task of handling all the variables life throws in our path. Instead of recognizing this, and moderating policy accordingly, debate now revolves around which set of fabulously misunderstood generalizations is to be dominant. Since no one will admit that no one has a monopoly of understanding on Reality, the struggle is now over which blind prejudices are to be believed and acted upon.

      These are the new Dark Ages. Terminally divided, we are awash in superstitious manias ardently espoused by people with incredibly short fuses, and even less capacity to absorb detail.

      Use proportion to weigh and balance facts fairly? Unthinkable! .Fascistic! Communistic!

      Impartiality? Too sane for our times

    • 3 years ago
  • McCainiac
    • 0
      McCainiac  
    • FDR was a communist pig. His new deal screwed the economy for ten years. After the recession of 1920-21, the fed raised interest rates, they cut spending, and they didn't bail anyone out. The economy recovered by 1922. The new stimulus package, which is really a porkladen fleecing of the citizens of the US is going to send us into a long protracted recession. We may have a slight pick up with some of the trillions pumped into the economy, but when the jobs end and the interest has to be paid back, we will be screwed. We have retards spending our current and future tax dollars like a bunch of drunk pirates.

    • 3 years ago
  • Scarabus
    • 0
      Scarabus  
    • History is just that: a story. The trustworthiness of the story depends on the honesty and competence of the "narrator."

      No academic historian could maintain credibility among the majority of his/her colleagues if she/he decided in advance how the story should come out and then cherry picked data to make that dishonesty sound credible.

      However, if you are a non-academic, spending your time at one or another conservative think-tank, you have nothing to worry about. A recent example is Amity Schlaes, the English major become journalist who has written a revisionist history of the New Deal. By picking and choosing data dishonestly and/or incompetently, she purports to "prove" that FDR's New Deal hurt rather than helped during the Great Depression.

      In contrast, Paul Krugman, a Nobel Prize winning genuine economist with a world-wide reputation, chooses data honestly, chooses data that are important rather than incidental, and not surprisingly comes to exactly the opposite conclusion.

      So which are you going to trust: the journalist who spends her time almost exclusively with neo-con fellow-thinkers, or the Nobel Prize winning academic who prevailed in the open market of ideas among critical colleagues of all ideological persuasions?

      Me, I'm going with the professional economist rather than the journalist. History shows that the New Deal did work. The worst year before the war was 1936, the year when conservative critics had pressured FDR into cutting back on spending.

    • 3 years ago
  • nursediesel
  • Scarabus
    • 0
      Scarabus  
    • Scarabus:

      Nurse Diesel*, that not every prize award is universally approved is a point well taken. But even when I've thought other choices might have been more deserving, I've never felt that the Nobel winners didn't carry serious international cred. Can you cite examples of persons who won the award for strictly "feel good" reasons, without international cred? (And who was expected to feel good about it?)

      *Coincidentally, I'm showing "Young Frankenstein" in one of my classes. Mel Brooks directs, and Chloris Leachman plays a central role in the ensemble class. Made me think of your "High Anxiety" moniker.

    • 3 years ago
  • Scarabus
    • 0
      Scarabus  
    • Scarabus:

      Plusaf, your assertion about process is correct (I'm told, not being a professional economist). But so what?

      Which will you trust: An unprofessional, unvetted, process followed by a journalist? Or a professional, thoroughly vetted (by opponents as well as supporters) process deemed worthy of world recognition by a host of other trained economists? (That's honestly tested economists, not in-bred neo-cons.)

      I'll still go with Krugman. A tested process might occasionally err, but most of the time it will lead to correct conclusions. An untested, unvetted process might occasionally lead to a sound conclusion. Hey, the odds of winning the jackpot in the Florida lottery are @23,000,000 to 1. But players do win through blind luck. Given the choice, though, I'll go with the proven process rather than the unproven, let alone blind luck.

    • 3 years ago
  • nursediesel
    • 0
      nursediesel  
    • Yes, the stimulus packages will slow recover to a near halt, just like FDR's did. Too, bad congress never had an honest history class to learn from....or maybe they were sleeping, tripping, stoned, or just skipped that class. then again the recent history books are high on female figures not even in our history,and low on USA actual history. Lets just get into a group and let the gifted child do the work.... and everyone gets an A for effort... Subjects to choose from: how do you feel about your influence on your history, how the ant had to share all the food he spent all fall harvesting with the other ants that just watched him work, or how only a few intellectuals actually know what everyone else needs.

    • 3 years ago
  • Kylsport
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • It took over a year to admit a recession of a year's duration.

      Only recently has the IMF said - 'Oh look! Golly, we're in a Depression now too!'

      So I guess that means that this "simple correction" stuff is (what was Nixon's term?) "Inoperable?"

      The idea that Depressions may be 'unusually prolonged' seems redundant and obtuse. No?

      The only people who predicted that this was going to be a quick fix were

      a/ those who failed to admit it was possible because "The Economy Is Strong!" Very reassuring campaign slogan that one.

      b/ those whose policies pushed us over the economic cliff on the advice of the same people who said, "The Economy Is Strong!"

      We're so lucky to have such great communicators working feverishly to provide us with timely and helpful information.

      Aren't we?

    • 3 years ago
  • akamaial
  • nursediesel
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • AveryMoore:

      Nursedeisel writes,

      "If the congress would have just left the failures fail the economy would have burbed and corrected itself with new better run businesses."

      ...and you know this must be true, and there is no other possible outcome, by what means?

      Pls advise...

    • 3 years ago
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • AveryMoore:

      plusaf,

      You don't mean to tell me that you think Congress is populated by a collection of smarmy crooked ass-kissers who made their way up the ranks by doing favors for big spenders, do you?

      You're not hinting that maybe the admonitions to "save lots!" and then "don't save lots!" were economic fantasies, are you?

      Do you join with others who say - well shit, just let the banks fail! - and everything will get better! - do you?

      If so please give us an estimate.

      Approximately what proportion of investors are willing to invest money in a brand new bank - during a long term Depression?

      If anyone does you understand how long it takes as lead time to set up any big business. You have to interview and vet staff, buy equipment, rent space and secure the necessary insurance coverage and state and federal clearances to do so.

      But from where will investors get the money to pay for all of this?

      What's the expected time before investors ever see one cent of dividends in what you think [and I agree] is likely a 12 year meltdown?

      I can understand the rage out there to hammer corporate arrogance out of business once and for all. But I'd like the dragon-slayers out there to ponder leaving all the threatened citizens [including bank employees below the exec level] out of the casualty figures.

      Otherwise I've got to ask - without banks how is anyone going to turn paychecks into cash?

    • 3 years ago
  • AveryMoore
    • 0
      AveryMoore  
    • AveryMoore:

      akamaial writes,

      "..it seems that most politicians are so deeply confounded by what to do with this mess, that they appear to "not see the forest because of all the trees"

      I doubt they see the trees either.

      More likely they are too busy lining up campaign contributions to see past their donor lists.

      Who loses when Congress refuses even to read what it passes before it votes? It isn't our pols - is it?

      I think we need to return to a system where we have One Item Only bills. Instead of cramming a whole lot of irrelevant pork into every opportunity at spending, gut the pork, focus on the issue.

      I'm pretty old but I don't remember a time when so much was spent to elect so many inept people who neither thought things through first, nor could comprehend why being federal politicians meant that they should concern themselves with the health and survival of the entire nation.

    • 3 years ago
  • akamaial
    • 0
      akamaial [removed]  
    • Just a little teaser to those who are hanging onto the illusion the the "stimulus" packages are going to make these mean ole nasty hard times go away and we will be all better soon...

    • 3 years ago
  • eden49
    • 0
      eden49  
    • I dont know about yu, but Im still recovering from last subject. Moving on. Does Captain Obvious have a name, lol, for above revelations...

    • 3 years ago
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