Needed: a Copernican Shift
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- pjacobs51
- added this
http://www.enn.com/press_releases/2959
"In 1543, Polish astronomer Nicolaus Copernicus published 'On the Revolutions of the Celestial Spheres,' in which he challenged the view that the sun revolved around the earth, arguing instead that the earth revolved around the sun," says Lester R. Brown, President of the Earth Policy Institute, in a recent release . "With his new model of the solar system, he began a wide-ranging debate among scientists, theologians, and others. His alternative to the earlier Ptolemaic model, which had the earth at the center of the universe, led to a revolution in thinking, to a new worldview."Today we need a similar shift in our worldview, in how we think about the relationship between the earth and the economy. Economists see the environment as a subset of the economy. Ecologists, on the other hand, see the economy as a subset of the environment.
Like Ptolemy's view of the solar system, the economists' view is confusing efforts to understand our modern world. It has created an economy that is out of sync with the ecosystem on which it depends.
Economic theory and economic indicators do not explain how the economy is disrupting and destroying the earth's natural systems. Economic theory does not explain why Arctic sea ice is melting. It does not explain why grasslands are turning into desert in northwestern China, why coral reefs are dying in the South Pacific, or why the Newfoundland cod fishery collapsed. Nor does it explain why we are in the early stages of the greatest extinction of plants and animals since the dinosaurs disappeared 65 million years ago. Yet economics is essential to measuring the cost to society of these excesses.
Evidence that the economy is in conflict with the earth's natural systems can be seen in the daily news reports of collapsing fisheries, shrinking forests, eroding soils, deteriorating rangelands, expanding deserts, rising atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, falling water tables, rising temperatures, more destructive storms, melting glaciers, rising sea level, dying coral reefs, and disappearing species. These trends, which mark an increasingly stressed relationship between the economy and the earth's ecosystem, are taking a growing economic toll. At some point, this could overwhelm the worldwide forces of progress, leading to economic decline.
These increasingly visible trends indicate that if the operation of the subsystem, the economy, is not compatible with the behavior of the larger system-the earth's ecosystem-both will eventually suffer. Recent events in the economic and financial systems cause one to wonder if we're beginning to see the effects of an economy outgrowing its natural base. The larger the economy becomes relative to the ecosystem, and the more it presses against the earth's natural limits, the more destructive this incompatibility will be. The challenge for our generation is to reverse these trends before environmental deterioration leads to long-term economic decline, as it did for so many earlier civilizations.
An environmentally sustainable economy-an eco-economy-requires that the principles of ecology establish the framework for the formulation of economic policy and that economists and ecologists work together to fashion the new economy. Ecologists understand that all economic activity, indeed all life, depends on the earth's ecosystem-the complex of individual species living together, interacting with each other and their physical habitat. These millions of species exist in an intricate balance, woven together by food chains, nutrient cycles, the hydrological cycle, and the climate system. Economists know how to translate goals into policy. Economists and ecologists working together can design and build an eco-economy, one that can sustain progress.
For a full report, see http://www.earthpolicy.org/Books/Seg/EEch01_ss1.htm.
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thorstein
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I think we need a more earthy connection.
- 9 months ago
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thorstein
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AveryMoore
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thorstein:
thorstein,
Yup.
Historically, our species sure has gone head over heels over a lot of abstract notions that haven't the functional utility of a common hinge.
We're great on pounding out ideological imperatives but somehow never modest enough to notice that when a conception fails repeatedly it's time to move on to something that we KNOW works..
Instead, we argue about who's gonna be The Boss. Now THATS important.
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
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thorstein
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thorstein:
Trouble is that our market driven economy thrives on waste. It does so for too many "common-sensicle" reasons - please read the sarcasm when I make this play on Common sense. And it's allowed to encourage the market (whatever market and however it's understood by the insiders that relates to any given company or industry) in whatever way suites its plans for expansion or competition. That equates to alot of power in the hands of a not very responsible few. Call it whatever Greek work that applies, but we have seen it played out for a while now and soon nothing about it will be secret. The politics will get more virulent and the protest will be more radical and desperate.
Remember that the market doesn't want any Copernicans. It's bad for business and they control not only the media but your purse strings as well. I think it was worse in his day in that he could easily be sent to his death or worse (the fate worse than death), but any repercussion could be broader or even more incisive. And there are no "schools" of thought anymore, so I don't know where pjacobs51 thinks we're going to find one that can't be corrupted. It's ridiculous to look back and expect strength of character to come from American culture, at least one that will really gather the following needed. Not very probable.
Hate to sound so negative, but you are free to rebuttle. - 9 months ago
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thorstein
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AveryMoore
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thorstein:
thorstein?
Are you sure you aren't being too Optimistic?
"...the market doesn't want any Copernicans"
What Market?
From what I've read, when the Derivatives avalanche hits next, our system is expected to owe more money than exists on earth.
What will that do what to our omniscient, all powerful, reality-determining Economic Divinity? Make it more powerful? Dubious. It will make the state more unstable than ever. Witness the fall of the Soviet Union and then, their recovery.
I think we've reached a point of transition where our old nemesis, reality, again is about to knock down our splendid patrician financial house of cards and leave us no choice but to rebuild. Or perish.
I think President Obama in part was "allowed" to take over for two main reasons.
1/ If he fails to stop the Titanic from sinking - he gets all the blame.
2/ If he doesn't fail and the system recovers, he has a two term limit and he's gone in 8 years.
If Obama was more like Eisenhower the business community would be terrified. Taxes to pay for WW2 were set at 90% during Ike's term. He not only paid down war debt in record time, but oversaw the most amazing expansion of infrastructure America has ever, and probably will ever, see. His efforts are currently crumbling from chronic neglect and that, due to an ideology he never would have sanctioned.
Am I pessimistic about politics and business? Absolutely. They should be divorced in the same way the founding fathers saw fit to separate Church and State. As to the population? They saw fit to elect Obama and are despised by the fanatics on the right. As far as the population is concerned I have far more confidence in their overall honesty, trustworthiness and strength, than those incompetents who created this mess.
Prediction: We'll be humbled, but not destroyed.
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
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AveryMoore
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Scarabus,
Wow. Very fine reasoning.
That said, having identified a character flaw in certain individuals, what makes all this so awkward is that they are not bystanders. In their official capacity they are soothsayers prone to a Compartmentalization which really works only in the military, and for different reasons.
A social psychologist says, "Look it's pathological to insist on destroying a planet merely to maintain a means of social control through promissory notes earned and exchanged for needs."
A likely response would be a friendly, "And where did you study Economics?"
This is turf stuff. Turf stuff can result in the strangest compromises,
--that psychiatrists were so easily co-opted to conduct torture sessions,
--that lawyers fabricated laws that assumed torture and international covenants were irrelevant in Law,
--that military and intelligence agencies who were adamantly opposed to torture for its sheer unreliability - caved under pressure.
--that all of these professionals (a la Professor Stanley Milgram) surrendered judgment and conformed to stupid concepts "voluntarily" to protect or enhance their status suggests to me it's time to change the paradigm.
Are people imperfect? The founding fathers certainly thought so. Enough to enact a web of frustrations to entrap and confound anyone who sought to exceed a limit on power.
That limit has long been broken. Eisenhower warned about it and was in turn ignored. Rational people accept that other rational people can accept the damnedest sophistry as sufficient cause to do something stupid.
Like ignore the fact that an economic policy is Kamakzi.
I think we both expect the same results. They will look something like this. In order to avoid being harmed themselves by the bunglers who have led us to this impasse, wiser hands, people with wider bandwidth than one or two narrow disciplines, will be given a chance to make their pitch.
Should those people be economists? No. Because there is something too cold and narrow about their reasoning. It's like asking Borat, or Joe The Plumber,
"Hey, c'mere. I've got a problem reconciling the pre-socratic philosophers and quantum gravity theory - got a moment?"I think the gulf between economics and other more proactive humanistic disciplines is not a matter only of character flaws, but the fear of being pounced on by others, differently qualified.
Some years back I asked a fellow I knew who was a psych professor why he hadn't written some, "I'm OK your OK" text and made a pile of money. His response?
"I've only got a PhD in psych."
My blank look inspired more detail. I paraphrase here.
"If I tread into the turf of Biologists, Chemists, Neurologists and Physicists, and I'm not careful in avoiding a step, inadvertently, on any one's toes, anyone of these disciplines could crucify me. See?"
It made sense. Ooops. Look! His academic reputation in ruins for a book panned by others, differently qualified. How would he recover? People issuing grants would know about it. People considering tenure would ponder it heavily.
So what happens as knowledge fragments into isolated facets of brilliant microscopic insight? No one sees the larger picture.
This is turn recapitulates a classic icon.
The Tower of Babel.
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
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Scarabus
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The article presents an undocumented, two-valued orientation. Earnest; heart-felt; but not really constructive.
There's no essential conflict between social scientists and global warming scientists. (Save the debate about which disciplines qualify as sciences. Separate question.)
Take the extreme case: global warming destroys civilization. How could economists possibly want that? No civilization? No economy. No economists. Sheesh!
The real questions are more practical and immediate. Do some compromised economists try to provide rationalizations for the greedy pirates who are raping the planet? Of course! But that's an indictment of character, not of an academic discipline.
Do some extreme environmentalists commit acts of terror? Of course! But that's an indictment of perspective and character, not of environmentalism itself.
Economists who can provide arguments to demonstrate that "green" investments are rational? What a gift to environmentalists! Environmentalists who can rally support for those economists? What a return gift!
- 9 months ago
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Scarabus
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kennymotown
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I'm for going back to nature and forming tribes and living in the woods, with all the greed and misunderstanding of what community is anymore, If people don't want a civilized society by not paying taxes for being incredibly greedy and fortunate while our earth suffers for their extremes and not to mention the very workers that allowed for their good fortune go without the basics such as a roof over their heads or health care, then so be it. I can see my tribe conforming to the rule of nature and on weekends we go to the nearest gated communitee and pillage it and take their women or men whatever my members of my tribe prefer. A civilized and respectful social order my ass, it will never happen the pigs have gotten too fat and the greedy to greedy bring on the new age.
- 9 months ago
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kennymotown
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jubal
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kennymotown:
Lets here it for tribes. I am all for that.
- 9 months ago
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jubal
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fun_size
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Hmmm very interesting article. As the world becomes more and more populated and resources become more scarce, a sustainable economy more in touch with nature is needed now more than ever.
- 9 months ago
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fun_size
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carmalite
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"The larger the economy becomes relative to the ecosystem, and the more it presses against the earth's natural limits, the more destructive this incompatibility will be."
There are individuals who have come to this conclusion and they have been laughed at by conservatives, especially religious conservatives who see the earth and the ecosystem as simply something to dominate and mine rather that care for so that it continue to be viable."The challenge for our generation is to reverse these trends before environmental deterioration leads to long-term economic decline, as it did for so many earlier civilizsations."
I sincerely hope that our scientists and economists start to recognize the fact that the economy is really a a subsystem and work together before it is too late.Thank you for this very interesting article.
- 9 months ago
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carmalite
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AveryMoore
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carmalite:
Good points.
For decades the United Nations "accounted" for any area of land in the following manner.
Forget that the earth has any intrinsic value per se, forget that it may be populated by fabulous animals, forget that nature has an inherent right to be left pristine. It doesn't. On this point all governments agree.
No way.
The UN's accounting logic was based on evaluating the many ways amounts of money could be generated by "using" land. Otherwise those wild green mountains and shore, that Northern Jerusalem of England, was both the opposite of T.S. Eliot's vacuous midden heap of cultures called London, but it was still, "The Waste Land" if the dirt wasn't making no bux.
By virtue of commercial perception, only if a landscape generated revenue could land have any value, and that value was money. A transcendental object and as such the measure of all things.
Who cares if one one, or even a thousand species are forced into extinction, as long as money, prevails. Money: the vast fiction of it, the social control it is most useful for imposing, in Yen, Rubles, Yuan Renminbi, Rupees, Drachmas, Euros Pesos, and Dollars!
By convention alone it is the measure of all other things that were, that are, and that could ever be, just ask any scientist trying to find funding.
Maybe 40 years ago National Lampoon ran an addition called "Lemmings."
That and I think it was Gary Larson who drew a cartoon, of a herd of Lemmings in a fast flowing river which was in turn heading over a precipice.
Near the back was one single Lemming, the only one smiling, Around him was an enormous inflated inner tube. The other Lemmings looked very intense as though something had not quite happened as expected.
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
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AveryMoore
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"Economics? Why do they call it a Science, when it isn't one?"
Our economics-disconnect (from the earth and survival) is like a fractal, reiterating itself across a computer screen. You can watch an incredibly elaborate shape being formed, but if the variables it is composed of are inept and unbalanced it is worse than useless. It is just pretty, non representational, conjectural expensive Art.
The author of the quote atop this post is a physics wonk. He maintains that life, given all its simultaneous dimensions (and contrary to economic theories which he considers uniformly bizarre) is not a linear system. The universe is far from it.
Thus the formulas, equations and grandiose philosophizing about The Market, (what "It" wants and what "it" can do if we appease "it") is snake oil sophistry serenaded from the back of the POX NEWS covered wagon..
I hear this a lot from people whose career involves Actual Hard Science.
Why not? A science is judged by its ability to predict events correctly over time, otherwise instead of creating a valid theory that you can work with, all you've got is an untested and untestable "hypothesis."
It's not a bad thing to start with a hypothesis unless it's wrong and you're betting the planet on it being brilliantly successful. We do that.
Business has a neat near-scientific litmus test for new ideas - it's called Proof Of Concept. You want to thrill some money out of a wealthy investor or consortium - "OK! Prove your idea works. Show us, kid."
This is not required with Economics. First, whether it is Marxism, supply side, Keynesian, neo-junta-ism, or what have you - it is applied until it fails, miserably. It is like using a vacuum cleaner to apply jam to toast - "But it's all I've got to do the job!"
Once the worst happens, then the accusations start to fly. 'False Prophecy!' 'Intellectual Fraud' 'Voodoo Divinationism!' Oh, and "give back those damned Nobels for Economics!"
We have yet to face that we live in a superstition-bound cargo cult, an economic theocracy that is equally as primitive in outlook as ever humans were before us.
We can't bring ourselves down to a level that admits, with calm and poise, "I have no damned idea what's going on, or what's going to happen. All I can do is hope my best guess works when I need it to."
Were we to do that we'd be modest and smart. But we wouldn't be able to micromanage our fantasized world all the way to our conjectural Utopia.
Because humans seem always to have been dependent upon gross but flattering fictions we need to have some idea that we know what's going on, who understands it, and who we can lean on for the straight poop to keep us out of the quicksand. In short - folie a deux, or co-dependency.
So, when our ecomomist\sages stoop to inform us of how many market forces can dance atop a pinhead, we lower our heads to think, "Damn! I was right! It wasn't deregulation! Historically speaking It was Austerlitz and Napoleon! The Dolt! He did it for Josephine!"
http://www.mpdailyfix.com/2009/03/no_magic_beans_no_magic_formul.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-buzenberg/the-mega-banks-behind-the_b_197454....
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
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Saladin
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AveryMoore:
Your posts are fucking solid bricks of gold.
- 9 months ago
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Saladin
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AveryMoore
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AveryMoore:
A mad Englishman I knew used to answer his date's frantic inquiries (as to why he was so bloody, um, "hands on") that his deepest concern had been uttered by Bertrand Russell, noted wiseguy, and another over-hot Englishman.
Russell, in a very serious lecture, had observed that "any organ not in constant use, ATROPHIES" My friend was not of a mind to let down, what he needed to keep up.
This aroused in him a typical frenzy which in time led to several marriages, numerous children, a mountain of debt, law suits, paternity suits, none of which Mr. Russell had thought to mention.
Friends. If you are lucky enough to fall in with a good crew, with sharp minds, quick wits, intellectual scope a light touch with humor, and compassion, it is very hard to get fed up with living.
Someone will point something out ideas, and connections that you'd never have thought before, and knock off your balance. Sometimes that thought or sequence returns decades later - 'No wonder she said such and such - there IS a "violet hour."
You just have to be in Europe on a Wednesday in Geneva to see it, apparently.
Luck. A group of friends, by being no more than perceptive, persuasive, and exceptionally bright helps to dent the usual armor-plated certainties we otherwise must settle into.Their plasticity, and I don't mean that in any sense pejoratively, their ability to find themselves in quicksand and not panic, reminds you that 50 years from today people will be looking back at a generic picture of us, pondering - 'how on earth could they have been so primitive and - panicky?'
I think if we start with that main observation - we are consistently more passionate than is wise - a truth embedded in every religion I know of, we're likely to moderate our views more painlessly. Then we can adapt to the idea that most of what we know is inaccurate, much of what we do is redundant, but what we can do with our minds is to create a lively community which enriches us to such an extent that we carry it with us all of our days. .
In short: I blame my fiends, I'm kind of their unpaid stenographer, in absentia.
Elgar called it "Enigma Variations."
- 9 months ago
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AveryMoore
