Information from Prevel Consulting You Don't Want To See

Cap and Trade and the Environment:
It will probably not come as a surprise that this legislation has nothing to do with any environmental issue. It comes to light that the goal of the UN is to achieve a source of funding independent of the political decisions of the member states.

There is still not a single piece of peer reviewed science that supports the claims of the UN report on the subject. The entire argument is based on a group of computer models. The flood of solid science refuting UN claims grows almost daily and we’ll continue to report on the highlights.

The proponents of human caused global warming are fond of saying that the science is settled. It looks increasingly as if they are correct. But not in the way they intended. The latest setback relates to the “tipping point” hypothesis.

One of the core assumptions of UN report on climate change is the assumption that there is a “tipping point” in the climate. As temperature increases a positive feedback causes temperatures to increase faster. It is built into the computer models in the form of a positive feedback between temperature and outbound radiation.

All of the computerized forecast models used by the UN accept this assumption. The claim is that we are at risk of a runaway greenhouse effect where temperature skyrockets.

Several months ago we reported on a draft of a study from Lindzen and Choi at MIT. The study has now been released. It shows the opposite of the UN assumption.

Dr Richard Lindzen took 30 years of satellite measurements from the Earth Radiation Balance Experiment (ERBE) satellite and constructed the actual relationship between surface temperature, inbound radiation and outbound radiation for the Earth.

[In the charts below] a declining line is a reduction of net outbound radiation with increasing temperature (a positive feedback effect). All 11 of the UN sponsored computer models show this pattern. In the upper left chart the Lindzen/Choi analysis of actual measurements shows the opposite relationship. In short there is no tipping point. The feedback is negative and the climate is self correcting.

The radiation balance of the Earth behaves exactly as the laws of thermodynamics require. If Congress wants to believe in a tipping point, they will need to start by repealing the laws of thermodynamics.

A second assumption of the modelers is the persistence of CO2 in the atmosphere. All UN sponsored models assume without evidence a 100 year residency. The evidence from 36 peer reviewed studies produce values of 3 to 23 years with an average of about 8. Only six studies came in over 10 years.
It is increasingly clear that the UN computer models are junk. Computer simulation models are not science.

Science is about measuring something. It now seems likely that the parameters of the models were selected to produce the desired political outcome. This isn’t science. It is at the very least academic dishonesty.

When the actions are taken to achieve financial gain, it is fraud. We have a process that is supposed to prosecute Americans who commit fraud. Who
prosecutes the UN? And for what violation?


Energy supply is growing dramatically if you look beyond the “proven reserves” definition dictated by the accountants. Total reserves (proven and estimated) have exploded. Last month we reported on the billion barrel megafield discovery in the Gulf of Mexico.

The Baaken field in North Dakota, Montana and Saskatchewan has seen its estimated reserves increased again to 4 billion barrels of oil. Last week it was announced that a second field has been discovered a few thousand feet below the currently developed field. This field is available using the same technology deployed at Baaken.

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