News and Politics | April 15, 2008 | 0 comments

New poll set to be relased sees Obama over Clinton in Indiana

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In a surprising turn of events, not only has Obama's bitter remark not hurt his numbers in polling this week for any of the upcoming primary states a new poll set to be released today may indicate a slight lead for Senator Obama in the state of Indiana today, however, two other polls set to be released will likely maintain a two digit lead for Clinton, a figure likely to be less controversial as she was projected to win Indiana by a wide margin. That wide magin was one of the reasons Senator Clinton has maintained she should stay in the race. Early last month veteran political consultant and analyst, James Carville, stated that "If Hillary looses Indiana she looses the Election, period."

The excitement in the state which last had a major impact on a democratic primary 40 years ago in 1968, and which has only went democrat three times in the twentieth century, has caused record voter registration, and will likely lead to a record turnout amongst Democrats in the usualy staunchly republican state, perhaps even opening up a possible win for democrats in the general election. Bush won by less than ten percent in 2004 while still popular amongst conservatives and with a comparitively low voter turnout.

I have to pose the question, Indiana is also a rustbelt state, that has lost more manufacturing jobs over the last two decades than almost any other, and yet had gone republican in every national election during that period, has Obama's bitter comment perhaps had a positve affect, and put him in touch with the Indiana voter who hasn't participated in an election in years precisely because they haven't felt washington could bring the jobs back? Or had felt the sting of NAFTA, my father is a factory worker, and it's hard to tally how many times he's had to shift positions in the nineties because his factory was relocating or cutting back for cost to remain competitive. He intends to vote this year, he hadn't in any election in my lifetime. Neither had my grandparents, who also intend to vote. It's crazy this is a primary and usualy primaries have a dismal turnout in this state, I have no doubt that this will be the largest ever democratic primary for Indiana and I have trouble finding any political analyst that disagrees.
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