tagged w/ Peak Oil/Energy
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On April 22, the U.S. State Department released a supplemental environmental review for a proposed pipeline that would funnel 700,000 barrels of oil per day 2,750 kilometers (1,710 miles) from Canada’s tar sands to refineries on the Gulf Coast of Texas. The department completed the supplemental review after its initial draft, released in April 2010, was given the lowest possible rating of “inadequate” by the Environmental Protection Agency.
In the year since, U.S. senators, state representatives, and various national, state, and local interest groups also have requested a more detailed review of the safety of the Keystone XL pipeline and its effects on land use and water resources. The route proposed by TransCanada, the project developer, cuts across the High Plains Aquifer System, one of the world’s largest aquifers and the water source for 2.8 million people and nearly 5.3 million hectares (13 million acres) of irrigated farmland.
However, the supplemental environmental impact statement (EIS) has not alleviated those concerns, especially in Nebraska where the $US 7 billion pipeline would cross two primary units of the High Plains Aquifer—the Ogallala and the Sand Hills.
In a written statement, Nebraska’s Republican Senator Mike Johanns questioned the conclusions in the supplemental EIS.
“I was pleased that the State Department issued a supplemental EIS, which I had requested months ago,” Johanns wrote to Circle of Blue. “There is still much to review in the document, but the bottom line is that the State Department’s position doesn’t seem to have changed much. The State Department still thinks the best route goes through the Sand Hills, and I think that’s wrong.”
Though the supplement incorporates minor changes to the location of storage tanks and the intensity of pumping pressure, the new information “does not alter the conclusions reached in the draft EIS regarding the need for and the potential impacts of the proposed project,” according to the State Department’s supplemental EIS.
The State Department is the permitting agency because the pipeline crosses international boundaries. The department has already approved two pipelines from the tar sands to refineries in the U.S., both originating in Hardisty, Alberta. The 992-mile Alberta Clipper line ends at Superior, Wisconsin. The 1,600-kilometer (2,151-mile) Keystone line has terminals in Illinois and Oklahoma. The combined capacity is 1.4 million barrels per day, but the U.S. currently only imports 1.1 million barrels a day from the tar sands.
Potential for Pollution
The areas of greatest concern for water resources—pipeline spills and the location of the proposed route—seem to have been given superficial treatment, said Susan Casey-Lefkowitz, the international director for the Natural Resources Defense Council and a tar sands specialist.
“My feeling is that, rather than really going into detail in areas and fleshing them out, they spent a lot of time and pages explaining why they didn’t need to go more in-depth,” Casey-Lefkowitz told Circle of Blue. She continued, saying that the State Department “seems to take the stance that an accident or spill is unlikely, so we don’t need to worry.”
But when it comes to unlikely accidents linked to energy sector, there are two striking examples over the last year: the Deepwater Horizon blowout in the Gulf of Mexico and the Fukushima partial meltdown in Japan. And, lest it be overshadowed by those monumental bookends, last June there was a spill from a pipeline carrying tar sands oil in southwestern Michigan, where more than 800,000 gallons of oil flowed into a tributary of the Kalamazoo River from a pipeline owned by Enbridge, a Canadian company.
To understand the potential for a pipeline spill, the physical properties of tar sands oil are important.On April 22, the U.S. State Department released a supplemental environmental review... more
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Click here for enlarged version.
Many of you are roughly aware of what our nation's energy mix looks like, though different charts tell different tales. If you look at straight-up electrical generation, coal accounts for almost half. The chart above, put together by the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, shows the total energy usage for 2009 -- and as you can see, our energy mix is comprised of plenty of oil, coal, and natural gas, and, as Dave Robert says, a "rounding error"'s worth of clean energy. Also disturbing is the amount of energy we waste. Yes, over half the energy we generate is 'rejected', or lost -- that's the stuff that falls into that gray tube up in the top right. Ain't that a shame?
There's really no excuse for that -- to lose 54% of the energy we generate across the nation due to inefficiency and pure wastefulness. And there's a reason that energy efficiency aficionados are constantly making calls to pick the plentiful 'low-hanging fruit'. They're right, of course. At a moment in time when we're fully aware of the consequences of burning coal for power, we still can't even be bothered to work to capture and utilize all of the energy it creates?
And we keep seeing projections trotted out for how much more energy we're going to need to produce to meet 'tomorrow's demands'. Well, as plenty of smart people have said numerous times, we can get almost all of the way there with efficiency measures alone.
Now, the following chart, on the other hand, more clearly shows the slice of the pie each energy source constitutes:
http://bit.ly/hlRBjJClick here for enlarged version.
Many of you are roughly aware of what our... more
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The US fears that Saudi Arabia, the world's largest crude oil exporter, may not have enough reserves to prevent oil prices escalating, confidential cables from its embassy in Riyadh show.
The cables, released by WikiLeaks, urge Washington to take seriously a warning from a senior Saudi government oil executive that the kingdom's crude oil reserves may have been overstated by as much as 300bn barrels – nearly 40%.
The revelation comes as the oil price has soared in recent weeks to more than $100 a barrel on global demand and tensions in the Middle East. Many analysts expect that the Saudis and their Opec cartel partners would pump more oil if rising prices threatened to choke off demand.
However, Sadad al-Husseini, a geologist and former head of exploration at the Saudi oil monopoly Aramco, met the US consul general in Riyadh in November 2007 and told the US diplomat that Aramco's 12.5m barrel-a-day capacity needed to keep a lid on prices could not be reached.
According to the cables, which date between 2007-09, Husseini said Saudi Arabia might reach an output of 12m barrels a day in 10 years but before then – possibly as early as 2012 – global oil production would have hit its highest point. This crunch point is known as "peak oil".
Husseini said that at that point Aramco would not be able to stop the rise of global oil prices because the Saudi energy industry had overstated its recoverable reserves to spur foreign investment. He argued that Aramco had badly underestimated the time needed to bring new oil on tap.
One cable said: "According to al-Husseini, the crux of the issue is twofold. First, it is possible that Saudi reserves are not as bountiful as sometimes described, and the timeline for their production not as unrestrained as Aramco and energy optimists would like to portray."
It went on: "In a presentation, Abdallah al-Saif, current Aramco senior vice-president for exploration, reported that Aramco has 716bn barrels of total reserves, of which 51% are recoverable, and that in 20 years Aramco will have 900bn barrels of reserves.
"Al-Husseini disagrees with this analysis, believing Aramco's reserves are overstated by as much as 300bn barrels. In his view once 50% of original proven reserves has been reached … a steady output in decline will ensue and no amount of effort will be able to stop it. He believes that what will result is a plateau in total output that will last approximately 15 years followed by decreasing output."
The US consul then told Washington: "While al-Husseini fundamentally contradicts the Aramco company line, he is no doomsday theorist. His pedigree, experience and outlook demand that his predictions be thoughtfully considered."
Seven months later, the US embassy in Riyadh went further in two more cables. "Our mission now questions how much the Saudis can now substantively influence the crude markets over the long term. Clearly they can drive prices up, but we question whether they any longer have the power to drive prices down for a prolonged period."
A fourth cable, in October 2009, claimed that escalating electricity demand by Saudi Arabia may further constrain Saudi oil exports. "Demand [for electricity] is expected to grow 10% a year over the next decade as a result of population and economic growth. As a result it will need to double its generation capacity to 68,000MW in 2018," it said.
It also reported major project delays and accidents as "evidence that the Saudi Aramco is having to run harder to stay in place – to replace the decline in existing production." While fears of premature "peak oil" and Saudi production problems had been expressed before, no US official has come close to saying this in public.
In the last two years, other senior energy analysts have backed Husseini. Fatih Birol, chief economist to the International Energy Agency, told the Guardian last year that conventional crude output could plateau in 2020, a development that was "not good news" for a world still heavily dependent on petroleum.
Jeremy Leggett, convenor of the UK Industry Taskforce on Peak Oil and Energy Security, said: "We are asleep at the wheel here: choosing to ignore a threat to the global economy that is quite as bad as the credit crunch, quite possibly worse."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/feb/08/saudi-oil-reserves-overstated-wikileaksThe US fears that Saudi Arabia, the world's largest crude oil exporter, may not... more
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A New Report:
Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization: The Current Peak Oil Crisis
Global Climate Change, Human Security & Democracy
Orfalea Center for Global & International Studies
Department of Global & International Studies
University of California, Santa Barbara
October 2010
(free download available)
direct link:
http://www.global.ucsb.edu/climateproject/papers/pdf/Morrigan_2010_Energy_CC.pdf
all publications:
http://www.global.ucsb.edu/climateproject/papers/index.html
Synopsis
Peak oil and the events associated with it will be an unprecedented discontinuity in human and geologic history. Peak oil crises will soon confront societies with the opportunity to recreate themselves based on their respective needs, culture, resources, and governance responses. Peak oil will require a change of economic and social systems, and will result in a new world order. The sooner people prepare for peak oil and a post-peak oil life, the more they will be able to influence the direction of their opportunities. Nevertheless, there are probably no solutions that do not involve at the very least some major changes in lifestyles. Consequently, peak oil will probably result in some catastrophic upheavals. Peak oil will also present opportunities to address many underlying societal, economic, and environmental problems.
Humanity has already passed the threshold for dangerous anthropogenic interference with the natural climate system. Peak energy resources and economic decline may make it more challenging for societies and their economies to adapt to future climate and environmental changes.
This report considers energy resources, climate change, ecological balance, and the Earth’s capacity to supply food and water to support human life from the perspective of governance and human security
Some key messages from the report include:
• Peak oil is happening now.
• The era of cheap and abundant oil is over.
• Global conventional oil production likely peaked around 2005 – 2008 or will peak by 2011.
• Global oil reserve discoveries peaked in the 1960's.
• New oil discoveries have been declining since then, and the new discoveries have been smaller and in harder to access areas (e.g., smaller deepwater reserves).
• Huge investments are required to explore for and develop more reserves, mainly to offset decline at existing fields.
• An additional 64 mbpd of gross capacity – the equivalent of six times that of Saudi Arabia today – needs to be brought on stream between 2007 – 2030 to supply projected business as usual demand.
• Since mid-2004, the global oil production plateau has remained within a 4% fluctuation band, which indicates that new production has only been able to offset the decline in existing production.
• The global oil production rate will likely decline by 4 – 10.5% or more per year.
• Substantial shortfalls in the global oil supply will likely occur sometime between 2010 – 2015.
• Furthermore, the peak global production of coal, natural gas, and uranium resources may occur by 2020 – 2030, if not sooner.
• Global peak coal production will likely occur between 2011 – 2025.
• Global natural gas production will likely peak sometime between 2019 – 2030.
• Global peak uranium will likely occur by 2015 to sometime in the 2020's.
• Oil shortages will lead to a collapse of the global economy, and the decline of globalized industrial civilization.
• Systemic collapse will evolve as a systemic crisis as the integrated infrastructure and economy of our global civilization breaks down.
• Most governments and societies – especially those that are developed and industrialized – will be unable to manage multiple simultaneous systemic crises. Consequently, systemic collapse will likely result in widespread confusion, fear, human security risks, and social break down.
• This current transition of rapid economic decline was triggered by the oil price shock starting in 2007 and culminating in the summer of 2008. This transition will likely accelerate and become more volatile once oil prices exceed $80 – $90 per barrel for an extended time. Demand destruction for oil may be somewhere above $80 per barrel and below $141 per barrel.
• Economic recovery (i.e., business as usual) will likely exacerbate the global recession by driving up oil prices.
• A managed “de-growth” is impossible, because effective mitigation of peak oil will be dependent on the implementation of mega-projects and mega-changes at the maximum possible rate with at least 20 years lead time and trillions of dollars in investments.
• Peak oil and the events associated with it will be an unprecedented discontinuity in human and geologic history.
• Adaptation is the only strategy in response to peak oil.
• Mitigation and adaptation are the only strategies for climate change.
• Peak oil crises will soon confront societies with the opportunity to recreate themselves based on their respective needs, culture, resources, and governance responses.
• The impacts of peak oil and post-peak decline will not be the same equally for everyone everywhere at any given time.
• There are probably no solutions that do not involve at the very least some major changes in lifestyles.
• The localization of economies will likely occur on a massive scale, particularly the localization of the production of food, goods, and services.
• Existential crises will soon confront societies with the opportunity to recreate themselves based on their respective needs, culture, resources, and governance responses.
• If the international community does not make a transcendent effort to cooperate to manage the transition to a non-oil based economy, it may risk a volatile, chaotic, and dangerous collapse of the global economy and world population.
• Since the advent of the Green Revolution, the global human population has increased from 2.5 billion in 1950 to nearly 7 billion today.
• Global demand for natural resources exceeded planet’s capacity to provide sustainably for the combined demands of the global population between 1970 – 1980.
• The global population is projected to grow to around 9.2 billion by 2050.
• Current trends in land, soil, water, and biodiversity loss and degradation, combined with potential climate change impacts, ocean acidification, a mass extinction event, and energy scarcity will significantly limit the human carrying capacity of the Earth.
• Based on these estimates, the global population may have nearly reached or already exceeded the planet's human carrying capacity in terms of food production.
...A New Report:
Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.
"Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President."
Senator Gary Hart
".will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur."
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world's financial system - not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet's climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world's energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen - but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. John Petersen, leading world futurist and author of "A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change", explores not only what is happening and might happen – but also what might come out of it all.
“Even for those of us who have known John Petersen over the years, his insights into our revolutionary age still are enlightening, and often astonishing. As the Paul Revere of the early 21st century, his message is: The Future is Here! He is a visionary with an ethical dimension and a too little known national asset. This deceptively short essay is a primer for an explosive future that is already upon us. It should be required reading for the next President.”
Senator Gary Hart
“…will stimulate you to think deeply about the challenges we face, the solutions we need, and the changes that should occur…”
Newt Gingrich, Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, author of Real Change
Summary: Very thoughtful analysts and theoreticians are now suggesting that we are at the beginning of a full-scale meltdown of the world’s financial system – not just a recession. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, extraordinary investor and author of The Black Swan, and mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot now believe that this financial failure has the potential to be the most significant event since the American Revolution. Couple that with a rapid shift in the planet’s climate system, rising food prices, and a reorganization of the world’s energy regime, and one has the makings of an historical shift in the way we all live that is unlike anything anyone alive has ever considered or experienced. At the same time, extraordinary breakthroughs in science and technology promise that much of what we find familiar will soon be obsolete and give themselves up to amazing new capabilities that seemed like science fiction only a handful of years ago. We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a new world, but also new humans that have a new set of values and perspectives. Leading world futurist John Petersen explores not only what is happening and might happen – but also what might come out of it all.We are in the beginning of an epochal shift that will ultimately produce not only a... more
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