Tech | August 15, 2010 | 95 comments

Water Scarcity Facing 1/3 of US Counties

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JanforGore
One out of three U.S. counties is facing a greater risk of water shortages by mid-century due to global warming, finds a new report by Tetra Tech for the Natural Resources Defense Council.

For 412 of these counties the risk of water shortages will be "extremely high," according to the report, a 14-fold increase from previous estimates.

In the Great Plains and Southwest United States, water sustainability is at extreme risk finds the report, which is based on publicly available water use data from across the United States.

"This analysis shows climate change will take a serious toll on water supplies throughout the country in the coming decades, with over one out of three U.S. counties facing greater risks of water shortages," said Dan Lashof, director of the Climate Center at NRDC. "Water shortages can strangle economic development and agricultural production and affected communities."

"As a result," he said, "cities and states will bear real and significant costs if Congress fails to take the steps necessary to slow down and reverse the warming trend."

Counties shown in dark red are at greatest risk of water shortage by 2050. (Map courtesy Tetra Tech)

The report, issued Tuesday, finds that 14 states face an extreme or high risk to water sustainability, or are likely to see limitations on water availability as demand exceeds supply by 2050.

These areas include parts of Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas.

Sujoy Roy, principal engineer and lead report author, Tetra Tech, said, "The goal of the analysis is to identify regions where potential stresses, and the need to do something about them, may be the greatest."

"We used publicly available data on current water withdrawals for different sectors of the economy, such as irrigation, cooling for power generation, and municipal supply, and estimated future demands using business-as-usual scenarios of growth," Roy explained.

"We then compared these future withdrawals to a measure of renewable water supply in 2050, based on a set of 16 global climate model projections of temperature and precipitation, to identify regions that may be stressed by water availability," Roy said. "These future stresses are related to changes in precipitation as well as the likelihood of increased demand in some regions."

The report also is based on climate projections from a set of models used in recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change work to evaluate withdrawals related to renewable water supply.

Water withdrawal will grow by 25 percent in many areas of the United States, including the arid Arizona-New Mexico area, the populated areas in the South Atlantic region, Florida, the Mississippi River basin, and Washington, D.C. and surrounding regions, the analysis projects.
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95 comments // Water Scarcity Facing 1/3 of US Counties

  • mik661
  • unclepete813
    • 0
      unclepete813  
    • Oh dont worry if you thinking about that year its just another illusion, This era is done and its about to be destroyed. earth is dead and the beast has posion life,water,food and souls here. So the only way to cleanse this ungodly place is to destroyed it and get rid of the parasites and cancer. So dont worry only the strong will survive the SUN the weak will be cast back to the caves where the belong. I love this heat i can see through the flames my Ankh-cestors teach me. peace out blood raw

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • Sad, sad, paying all your water bills ON TIME. Trust. Trusting the gov't to provide water in the future from the water bills taken out today.

      This is an outrage. Maybe they'll find TIME to work on it after they finish playing mosque around the posey. Musical mosque chairs. Spin the mosque bottle. All day. All night. Come together, right now. Beatles.

      Walk in the park [across from the mosque]. I thought their rules say heathens can't approach their buildings. Must not include NY City cabs and NY City buses and NY City hookers. And God forbid their new mosque catch fire cause I can guarantee told ya the firefighters will be sick that night.

      But I bet they'll have WATER. They better have buckets.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • Gravity_Man:

      Actually, some years ago scientists were supposed to be working on a cover material or chemical to stop evaporation from all US lakes and reservoirs. So technically this shouldn't be happening.

      And if all our water wasn't being evaporated maybe Pakistan wouldn't have been flooded near as bad. Science has dropped the ball.

      Science's best brains are working on space travel? Weapons systems and drones? Invisible armor and tanks? Hadron colliders and seed repositories? Avon lipstick and mascara?

    • 1 year ago
  • leetch
  • manny0409
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • leetch:

      "We"? Where does we come into anything? And what exactly d'ya mean by that strange word "allow"? I think people are doing what they want to do, without our permission. They ran out of Indians.

    • 1 year ago
  • manny0409
    • +1
      manny0409  
    • The underground locations where many of us get our water from are drying up and in the US, farmers waste so much water overwatering their crops and feeding their livestock that its becoming something ridiculous.

    • 1 year ago
  • EmperorThan
  • bailey78
    • 0
      bailey78  
    • What I see on the map is an area that is dry anyway. I think it is called the desert or part of the desert southwest. That area is just what it should be. Other wise many of the creatures an plants that live there would die off from the water born illness that comes along with putting water where water should not be.

    • 1 year ago
  • remanns
  • bailey78
    • -1
      bailey78  
    • remanns:

      Well thats just what they want us to see. I think it's called propaganda or scare tactics. Oh yea Texas is also a pretty dry state. Well the west half is anyway. I've headed that way a couple of times. I didn't care for it to much. To hot an dry I'm used to the muggy Gulf Coast of South Texas.

    • 1 year ago
  • remanns
  • bailey78
    • 0
      bailey78  
    • remanns:

      Right now as we speak They are trying to buy some of the water rights from Oklahoma. My brother is going to send me some stuff in the mail about how it is going to hurt the locals around the lake they are wanting to drain dry.

    • 1 year ago
  • fun_size
  • JanforGore
    • +2
      JanforGore  
    • tverdell:

      It's another human fail. In other words, we still have time to conserve and take moral steps to preserve our water sources. But it seems humans on the whole are lazy and just want to jump to the quick fix which isn't really a fix because they don't have what it takes to choose the moral decisions. Dow and other companies however are salivating at getting started on that and their own form of privitizing a public trust. We could choose to do the right thing and decrease our usage and be more responsible in what we use in industry and with the energy sources we choose as coal, oil and nuclear use much water and pollute it, but of course, we won't. We will simply continue to pollute and waste it and then think taking the band aid way out will save us.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
    • +1
      bailey78  
    • tverdell:

      One of the problems with desalination plants is what do you do with the extracts that one gets from it? When you put it back into the ocean then you are just raiseing the salinity of the oceans which in turn kills off a lot of plants and fish. When you dump it onto the Earth it kills the soil an nothing will grow. So Ya see it is a catch 22. You will have water for mankind but you will destroy the very thing thats keeping us alive. Thats the problem with desalination plants what do you do with the by product ?

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • bailey78:

      You start designing homes and buildings and skyscrapers our of salt crystals. Like they did back on Krypton before it exploded. Just add some chemicals to the salt and metal ions and all that stuff to form great crystalline cities.

      And get away from working the carbon footprint stuff like metal.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • bailey78:

      hahaha Salt can be shaped then added to whatever chemicals stops it from dissolving + causes it to harden into a CRYSTALLINE structure. Like a sand castle. Get the equation right Bailey and you're In Like Flint forever. When you die they bury ya in your house.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • Gravity_Man:

      Since Salt is rather heavy you'd want to add something that expands it out, voila lighter. Possibly a chemical that after making the walls zap an electric current through it to FLASH HARDEN~DRY IT. It would be stronger than steel.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
  • Gravity_Man
  • bailey78
  • Gravity_Man
  • alexandrek
  • bailey78
  • Paratus
  • bailey78
  • Paratus
    • +1
      Paratus  
    • bailey78:

      In the back of Mother Earth News are some well drilling rigs that can be used by a homeowner with a minimum of mechanical ability. Well pumps need a 4" hole so that would be my barometer. Where I live you need a Health department permit to have a well drilled, even for cattle. Of course, greywater systems are verboten but many people have them. Back to water, yes I am aware that in some areas the collection of water is a no-no. The water is deemed to be owned by whoever owns the water rights in that area. Suffice to say that I would not be surprised to see more and more controls in this area over the next many years.
      Thank you for the link. I will visit the site.

    • 1 year ago
  • Paratus
    • 0
      Paratus  
    • bailey78:

      In the back of Mother Earth News there are companies that make and sell home well drilling kits. Well pumps, at least the submersible ones, require a 4" hole so that would be my barometer. Around here we need a Health Department permit to drill a well, even for livestock. Of course, greywater systems are illegal as the state considers this to be dumping sewage on the land of the state. Doesn't matter, most people have this anyway.
      I have heard that in many areas it is a no-no to collect rainwater as it is considered to be the property of whoever owns the water rights to that area. I would not be surprised to see this concept expand.
      Thank you for the link.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
  • Paratus
  • bailey78
  • MrMxyzptlk
  • bailey78
  • fun_size
    • +1
      fun_size  
    • MrMxyzptlk:

      Its not something to panic over just something to keep in mind. The US although isolated and sitting on top a mountain of natural resources is not immune to problems like water shortages... especially in the arid and dry border states.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
  • MrMxyzptlk
  • fun_size
    • +1
      fun_size  
    • MrMxyzptlk:

      Yes it would seem like a no brainer except people build cities in stupid places... such as in the middle of a desert. When MILLIONS of people rely on water being imported from other places there can be a serious problem if there are disruptions to that supply.

    • 1 year ago
  • fun_size
    • 0
      fun_size  
    • bailey78:

      Oh no i know theyve always been like that. Actually i was gonna make the joke that this story was from the early 20th century but i didnt think anyone would get it but me haha

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • MrMxyzptlk:

      No need to make stuff up there IS an oxygen shortage, but right now it's at a point where it causes problems for larger people (BIG OLDER MEN) but not so much for smaller women and children. So there's an illusion that nothing's wrong.

      Look how many large men are in prison. But the mental problems are not so much from the oxygen SHORTAGE. When there's a shortage of oxygen in the brain that means there's an accompanying increase of carbon monoxide.

      Big old poisoned men commit more crimes. Killer eh?

      This fails to explain Jan though so you're safe from having to actually alter any of your cherished-to-the-bosom beliefs.

    • 1 year ago
  • leetch
  • fun_size
  • bailey78
    • -1
      bailey78  
    • leetch:

      No the Earth goes through a cycle of hot then cold wet then dry . We are seeing a cycle that is going to get hot an dry for some an wet for others.. Whats strange is so many don't want to see it for what it truely is a cycle an all natural cycle.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
  • artemis6
  • JanforGore
  • remanns
  • rodstradamus
    • 0
      rodstradamus  
    • Its so funny how they promote a water shortage, but they won't supply us with the technology that converts humidity (the water in the atmosphere) to liquid. There is free water and free energy everywhere, the technology exists to sustain everyone on the cheap, but that would save lives and promote self sufficiency, which is contrary to the New World Order agenda.

      Its much worse than Quantum of Solace; not quite Mad Max, but at least its a real environmental issue, unlike AGW Global Warming, so I thank Jan for promoting H20 over CO2, b/c I'd rather drink fresh water than pay a carbon tax to Al Gore, Ken Lay and all the other Bernie Madoffs at the UN, IMF and World Bank.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • rodstradamus:

      Global warming is a real environmental issue as well and is related to water scarcity.

      "One out of three U.S. counties is facing a greater risk of water shortages by mid-century due to global warming"

      The first line of this article.

    • 1 year ago
  • mindcruzer
    • +2
      mindcruzer  
    • rodstradamus:

      "they won't supply us with the technology that converts humidity (the water in the atmosphere) to liquid"

      A dehumidifier? Technology to pull moisture out of the air isn't exactly complicated.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • mindcruzer:

      Not to mention all the super-sized heatpumps working to strain gnats on top of every store, every Sears Roebuck, Target, and Wal-Mart in the world. Are they using that water?

      Every Sam's Club, every Penney's, every super Mall in New Jersey and Las Vegas Nevada motel chains, casinos and hospitals in the WORLD. Every one of em bleeding clean water out of the air and the people are crying about a Water Shortage?

    • 1 year ago
  • fun_size
  • mindcruzer
  • bailey78
    • 0
      bailey78  
    • Gravity_Man:

      The AC we have fills a two Gallon bucket once a day. We use it too water the plants around the yard and to make sure the cats an other critters have water. I think it is a eight or ten thousand B.T.U. unit

    • 1 year ago
  • artemis6
  • fun_size
  • JanforGore
  • bc_f
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • bc_f:

      Well I really would only think it necessary if we saw drought to the extreme as Southern Australia or China has. I would hope people's common sense would help avert such actions.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
    • 0
      bailey78  
    • bc_f:

      Just wondering How does a pool lose hundreds of gallons of water a day ? I could see it if it were to have a leak but even that would drain the pool every day. The most you will lose on evaporation is fifty or a hundred gallons a day during the peak of the summer. The pool it self may contain a hundredthousand gallons of water but I dout if it's losing that much.

    • 1 year ago
  • bc_f
  • bc_f
  • bailey78
    • 0
      bailey78  
    • bc_f:

      What about the water filtraion system? How is it to lose that much water? The pond down the road from me is no wheres near that big and it goes dry once every two or three years.

    • 1 year ago
  • bc_f
  • bailey78
  • bailey78
  • Pedroptz
  • Omnomynous
    • +1
      Omnomynous  
    • Yeah somewhere around here one county is mad at another for setting up massive wells right beside the county line.

      And certain states have been fighting over who get's what amount of flow from the rivers for years.

      We can all always do a national euthanasia program decided by lottery...

    • 1 year ago
  • mik661
    • +1
      mik661  
    • We can not continue to add billions of humans to the planet. Even the best case water conservation will not turn back the tide of climate change and population growth.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • mik661:

      http://etc.ga

      While population is a factor, it is the actions of those people that in the end bring about the change or destruction of the species. If we didn't pollute, used more water conserving irrigation practices, used only what we needed, had access to rain harvesting, waterless toilets, etc., gave more funds to upgrade infrastructrue than wars, and actually instilled in our children from a very young age the importance of conserving water I think it would go a long way to providing for the needs of all, even in places with moderate population increases. To say it is just population increases seems to negate our responsibility regardless of them.

    • 1 year ago
  • mik661
    • 0
      mik661  
    • JanforGore:

      And all of the water that you save from doing that would not provide sufficient water to the third world that they need right this minute. If you want Americans to use less water then charge them more. I happen to work quite closely with a very forward thinking water authority in the wealthies county in the US. Their motto is "all the water you need". They control over usage with a multi tier billing system which allows each residence all the water they need for a fair, affordable price but quickly becames very pricey for people with high usage. Secondly you would need to ban development in areas that dont have the water to support it. That would include Nevada, California and Arizona right off the type. Then we could move on to the water hunger agriculture and our system of shipping our food from across the globe to the local supermarket.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • JanforGore:

      On the surface, water conservation sounds good. But when you conserve water to the extreme you're also halting down on the earth's water cycle. We had a bad drought here in SW Vrginia in 2002 that suddenly ended mid-2003. I wrote an article to the newspaper about the need to keep the water moving.

      We've had plenty of rainfall here ever since. Just like the rain forest and trees in the forests. Anyone who cuts down too many invites a drought. They stopped the water cycle. You could make a good argument for returning to using clotheslines... if it wasn't for the fact that moisture is the worst "greenhouse gas".

      The worst drought-stricken areas are in Africa, so probably if we poured some think tank power into fixing Africa the rest of the planet would pull itself back on course. I imagine the flooding of Pakistan was actually aided by the droughts elsewhere.

      The way it looks from here, the airborne water is sloshing around like the planet has lost its baffling effect. As in the baffles used in tanker trucks.

      But if the US is in need of increased rainfall we need to get MORE WATER IN THE AIR and that can be done very easily with a small pipeline from Ventura California up across & partly through the Panamint Mountains over into Death Valley. Just dig out a small lake there and start the water to siphoning from the Pacific Ocean over into the lake.

      It so happens that the EVAPORATION RATE in Death Valley is maximum there => so let the sun put the ocean back up into the air and we can have more fresh water than we can use, replenish the underground water tables and even maybe flush out some of the 80,000 chemicals accumulating there too.

      Maybe even go back to having more winter snows also.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +3
      JanforGore  
    • mik661:

      "And all of the water that you save from doing that would not provide sufficient water to the third world that they need right this minute"

      That may be true, but there are things we can do: Drip irrigation is a must in Africa to conserve water. Perhaps even moving water intensive crops to areas that now have more rainfall. However, due to global warming it has shifted rainfall patterns and intensified rain events in patterns that are hard to predict so that is something we need to deal with as well.There should be a moratorium placed on dam building with solar energy becoming the predominant energy source. Also, a moratorium on companies like Shell that plunder countries and pollute their groundwater and waterways. Holding these companies accountable for their environmental crimes and using that money to bring solar energy and water conservation technologies like drip irrigation, catchement, etc. would do much to improve the situation in Africa.

    • 1 year ago
  • mik661
    • 0
      mik661  
    • JanforGore:

      israel has some cutting edge tech on drip irrigation. However, good luck in Africa. A friend of mine is a missionary in the process of building one of the only orphanages in Nigeria for children whose parents have died from aids. He has the full support of the tribal elders, local mayor and police and the state governor. two Sundays ago while driving the children to church in the van they had just purchased several men approached him and demanded the keys. They then shot him in the face with a shotgun and took it he barely survived. The governor's own chief of staff came down to supervise the investigation and stated that Joey was the primary target of the crime not stealing the van. That is just a small example of how hard it is get anything done in the third world. As corrupt as it may be Nigeria is actually rather advanced in comparison to a lot of other areas. Good luck also in holding companies such as BP or Shell accountable. They are the ones that have already trashed half of Africa. I still believe what will happen is a continuation of what is going on in Africa right now. Hill people are being crowded by farmers looking for water for the herds. Political factions are arming them and turning them against each other. There are several areas of violence right now that are being fueled by lack of water. Eventually when the food and water runs out you will see Somalia all over again throughout the continent and the only places that wont are likely to be the ones that are being exploited for their minerals and oil. That will pay for enough military force to hold on a bit longer.

    • 1 year ago
  • artemis6
  • JanforGore
    • 0
      JanforGore  
    • mik661:

      "israel has some cutting edge tech on drip irrigation."

      Too bad they won't share it. They have done much to exacerbate water scarcity and hunger in the West Bank. And I don't know, there are many NGOS getting things done in the developing world. I think there is a contingent that just doesn't want people in developing countries to get help, especially governments that thrive on keeping them down because it's good business for them. But that doesn't mean we stop fighting ther good fight.

    • 1 year ago
  • mik661
  • JanforGore
  • ampersand
    • +1
      ampersand  
    • mik661:

      Hell of an interesting story.
      Africa is a big continent but I tend to think your right about the probably worsening outcome for many African nations.
      Parts of Asia, like Pakistan and Bangladesh could easily be on the edge of on collapse as well for the same political and ecological reasons.

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • +1
      JanforGore  
    • It's another last ditch band aid effort fraught with corruption, privitization schemes, and water price hikes. However, I suppose it will have to come to that because it appears that people especially Americans just don't have the willpower to conserve anything. I suppose we will just have to get used to the idea that in years to come we will not even be able to enjoy our beaches because besides pollution they will be littered with desalination plants pumping out CO2 saturated ocean water while threatening marinelife... but then, it's only another species, and of course, human needs must come first. I honestly cannot comprehend what is so hard about people understanding the word conservation. Hypoxia is becoming more common near coastal states as well. So what happens if we also exhaust that option? And just what do the people in Oklahoma do?

      excerpt:

      "cities and states will bear real and significant costs if Congress fails to take the steps necessary to slow down and reverse the warming trend."

      And God forbid we actually care about decreasing emissions and taking responsibility for what we put in the atmosphere to lessen drought and work to increase water tables due to water evaporation. The moral obligation we have is so lost on so many.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • +1
      Gravity_Man  
    • JanforGore:

      Here's the way the snowball rolls.

      Hypoxia contributes to people becoming obese.

      Low oxygen is killing Americans slowly from obesity.

      Sugar consumption also lowers oxygen, adds to hypoxia.

      Low oxygen contributes to the high cancer rate.

      In other words we are in a Death Cycle.

    • 1 year ago
  • Gravity_Man
    • 0
      Gravity_Man  
    • Gravity_Man:

      It gets worse too. Sugar feeds bacteria in the body. The bacteria that usually turns a dead body into a coffin meal. Those bacteria are drawing against the oxygen in the body, making hypoxia much more acute.

      And cancers.

    • 1 year ago
  • artemis6
    • 0
      artemis6  
    • JanforGore:

      I do not have your contempt for people . I wanted an electric car all my life . I rent , so I do not have a say over what is done with the property where i live . I did not marry a wealthy man or have a job that profits from the system as it is , ( I suppose you think there are plenty of them ) and so do not have enough resources to get off the grid , as I would like . Simply no access to these things is easy . And for this many people to do as you would wish , it would have to be very easy . Loathe me if you like . Compassion connects people . I think more people would listen to a message delivered with it . If that is really you aim .

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • 0
      JanforGore  
    • artemis6:

      I'm talking about conserving water here and it was delivered with concern and frustration not contempt. How much money does it take to conserve water? It was in reference to desalination which I think should only be used in truly dire circumstances, and also I mentioned my concern for people in the midstates because once we exhaust all of our options and cannot use ocean water as a viable source, what do they do? You don't acknowledge there are people who are apathetic about this? Why would you think I was referring to you anyway? I would think after reading so many of my posts here you would already know where I am coming from. I'm really hurt by your comment so if that was your intention, you succeeded.

    • 1 year ago
  • artemis6
    • 0
      artemis6  
    • JanforGore:

      Dear Jan , I would much rather have you for an ally , than an adversary . I read " God forbid we actually care about decreasing emissions and taking responsibility for what we put in the atmosphere ....... the moral obligation is lost upon so many ." Out of context . I took it personally . I apologize . I hope you know , I respect you and the work you do here . I have some personal stress that slipped out where is should not have been allowed to . You did not deserve that response . I not glad I sent it . i should not have hurt you in that way .

    • 1 year ago
  • JanforGore
    • 0
      JanforGore  
    • artemis6:

      No problem. I can certainly understand personal stress. I respect you too, and actually will work on my phrasing so as not to sound so inclusive when explaining my frustration.
      Thanks.

    • 1 year ago
  • artemis6
  • JanforGore
  • artemis6
    • 0
      artemis6  
    • JanforGore:

      Doing better , actually , not tip top , and certainly little thanks to the medical profession . I studied holistic healing for over a decade , never imagined how helpful that info it would be , and a good naturopath . Thanks for the offer .

    • 1 year ago
  • Varex_Sythe
    • +2
      Varex_Sythe  
    • Though not an ideal solution, it would probably be a good idea for coastal states to really get serious about water desalination.

    • 1 year ago
  • bailey78
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